🏷️ Likely Rental
2331 E Federal St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
An established mixed-use building in Baltimore’s Broadway East neighborhood. It qualifies for owner-occupant FHA financing since the majority of the building is residential. Get the building + reno money rolled into a single mortgage using FHA’s 203k loan program. Seller seeks to rent-back the 1st floor store for $1,000/month for the first 6 months. Bring this retail store back to life or use it as space for your business. The property includes a spacious one-bedroom apartment above the store. The property needs renovation. It is eligible for FHA’s 203k renovation loan program. The renovation money is rolled into the loan. Any buyer eligible for a normal FHA mortgage can use it. This is a standard 30-year mortgage program. Assuming a reno budget of $115k, the monthly payments on this mortgage would be $1,625/month. The area has high foot traffic and it offers both stability and growth potential. The foot and vehicle traffic is high enough that a local carwashing business chose this location in summer 2025. Come see it today.
Key facts
- Built 1914
- Listed 165 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $452 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $123 of equity ($691 loan paydown + $-568 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.36%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,563
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -47.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2709 E Hoffman St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (+8%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $137 | 68 |
| 3338 Elmora Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 896 (+15%) | 2mo | $149,500 | $167 | 37 |
| 3315 Lyndale Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 896 (+15%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $162 | 36 |
| 3409 Lyndale Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 896 (+15%) | 6mo | $66,000 | $74 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.57% appreciation · 5.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $26,412
- Equity at exit
- $26,229
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $84,029
- Equity at exit
- $29,367
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21213
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,388 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $940/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $452
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $508 | -5% $480 | +0% $452 | +5% $423 | +10% $395 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $342 | -5% $397 | +0% $452 | +5% $507 | +10% $561 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $502 | -0.5pp $477 | base $452 | +0.5pp $426 | +1.0pp $399 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1600 N Chester St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $636 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2221 E Preston St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $1,200 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1323 N Kenwood Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1323 N Kenwood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1060 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2125 Cliftwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,450 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2000 E North Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 639 | $836 | $1.31 | 5d | 4 | 0.42mi |
| 1401 N Potomac St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,099 | $1.57 | 18d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1310 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1756 E North Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1310 N Ellwood Ave #1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3221 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,700 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3343 Ravenwood Ave Unit 3343 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 948 | $1,855 | $1.96 | 18d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3315 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 896 | $1,650 | $1.84 | 18d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 720 N Port St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1923 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 862 | $1,770 | $2.05 | 20d | 2 | 0.67mi |
| 1923 Ashland Ave Unit 401 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,795 | $2.11 | 20d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 712 N Duncan St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1209 N Caroline St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,300 | $2.17 | 5d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 531 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 502 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 827 | $1,250 | $1.51 | 20d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1222 N Spring St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 802 N Broadway Unit B Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,800 | $1.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 802 N Broadway #1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,800 | $1.61 | 18d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 415 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 402 N Milton Ave Unit 402B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,290 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 415 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 400 N Rose St #1 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,080 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 520 N Decker Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3902 Erdman Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3902 Erdman Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,175 | $1.68 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 233 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 934 | $1,750 | $1.87 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 224 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $1,875 | $1.67 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1010 N Central Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,650 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2608 E Fayette St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3646 Lyndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $1,475 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 127 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 107 N Port St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 870 | $1,995 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 108 N Madeira St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3727 Bonview Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,199 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1418 E Monument St Baltimore, MD | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1265 | $1,283 | $1.01 | 15d | 5 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2025-12-19$100,000 Active 1059-char remark
Show marketing remark (1059 chars)
An established mixed-use building in Baltimore’s Broadway East neighborhood. It qualifies for owner-occupant FHA financing since the majority of the building is residential. Get the building + reno money rolled into a single mortgage using FHA’s 203k loan program. Seller seeks to rent-back the 1st floor store for $1,000/month for the first 6 months. Bring this retail store back to life or use it as space for your business. The property includes a spacious one-bedroom apartment above the store. The property needs renovation. It is eligible for FHA’s 203k renovation loan program. The renovation money is rolled into the loan. Any buyer eligible for a normal FHA mortgage can use it. This is a standard 30-year mortgage program. Assuming a reno budget of $115k, the monthly payments on this mortgage would be $1,625/month. The area has high foot traffic and it offers both stability and growth potential. The foot and vehicle traffic is high enough that a local carwashing business chose this location in summer 2025. Come see it today.
-
2025-12-19historical $100,000 1059-char remark
Show marketing remark (1059 chars)
An established mixed-use building in Baltimore’s Broadway East neighborhood. It qualifies for owner-occupant FHA financing since the majority of the building is residential. Get the building + reno money rolled into a single mortgage using FHA’s 203k loan program. Seller seeks to rent-back the 1st floor store for $1,000/month for the first 6 months. Bring this retail store back to life or use it as space for your business. The property includes a spacious one-bedroom apartment above the store. The property needs renovation. It is eligible for FHA’s 203k renovation loan program. The renovation money is rolled into the loan. Any buyer eligible for a normal FHA mortgage can use it. This is a standard 30-year mortgage program. Assuming a reno budget of $115k, the monthly payments on this mortgage would be $1,625/month. The area has high foot traffic and it offers both stability and growth potential. The foot and vehicle traffic is high enough that a local carwashing business chose this location in summer 2025. Come see it today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $940 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,015 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$75/yr (+$6/mo · 8.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,650
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$940
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,332
- − Management
- −$1,332
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $4,036
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$969
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,452/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,058
- Household income
- $51,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1868.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Current HPI
- 427.4453
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.25%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-19 Listed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-19 Coming Soon $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+18.7%/yrLatest (2025): $940 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…