1519 Lansing Ave · Portsmouth, VA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bring your imagination and make this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home your own! Situated in the heart of Portsmouth offering over 2,000 square feet of living space on a 0.23-acre lot, this home is brimming with potential! This property provides an excellent canvas for customization and value-add improvements. Conveniently located near dining, shopping, and more! Call today for more information and to schedule your tour!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $687 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Brighton Elementary (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,069 of 1,108 statewide, top 97%, 411 students, 97% FRL); I.C. Norcom High (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #301 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 1,043 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 60% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,269/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1727% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.99%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $351,428
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1519 Lansing Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 2,156 (0%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $77 | 100 |
| 1410 Lansing Ave | 0.09mi | 4/2.5 | 2,000 (-7%) | 0mo | $331,900 | $166 | 81 |
| 1415 Des Moines Ave | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 | 1,890 (-12%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $177 | 71 |
| 1710 Atlanta Ave | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 | 2,400 (+11%) | 3mo | $381,749 | $159 | 68 |
| 1611 Highland Ave | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 | 2,152 (-0%) | 1mo | $349,900 | $163 | 68 |
| 2100 Elm Ave | 0.38mi | 4/3.5 | 1,988 (-8%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $133 | 62 |
| 1213 Centre Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,100 (-3%) | 1mo | $344,000 | $164 | 58 |
| 2407 Lincoln St | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,896 (-12%) | 3mo | $294,000 | $155 | 55 |
| 1912 County St | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 | 1,988 (-8%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $156 | 54 |
| 604 Yorktown Ave | 0.57mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,990 (-8%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $166 | 51 |
| 2331 Azalea Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,872 (-13%) | 0mo | $283,900 | $152 | 51 |
| 1211 Centre Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,000 (-7%) | 3mo | $339,000 | $170 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $19,387
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $76,359
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23704
- Home prices YoY
- -4.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,269 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$228 /mo · $2,740/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$476
- Net cashflow
- $687
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $774 | -5% $731 | +0% $687 | +5% $643 | +10% $599 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $507 | -5% $597 | +0% $687 | +5% $776 | +10% $866 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $765 | -0.5pp $726 | base $687 | +0.5pp $647 | +1.0pp $606 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1508 Richmond Ave Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1447 Talley Cir Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2111 Atlanta Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $2,395 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1321 Columbia St Unit 1533640P Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $5,609 | $3.55 | 8d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2215 Atlanta Ave Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1628 | $2,150 | $1.32 | 8d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1440 Lasalle Ave Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 20149 County St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1738 | $2,400 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 919 Jefferson St Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2026 | $2,500 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1409 Wilcox Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2211 North St Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 17d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1611 McDaniel St Unit A Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 8d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 148 Owens St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,350 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 414 London St Unit 3 Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1522 Barron St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1920 | $2,795 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 528 Hampton Pl Unit 3 Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,000 | $1.21 | 18d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 511 Hampton Pl Unit B Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3000 | $3,450 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 511 Hampton Pl Unit A Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,950 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 403 Court St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2380 | $1,950 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 112 Idlewood Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $2,200 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3401 Brighton St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1439 | $2,195 | $1.53 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-01status Under Contract
-
2026-03-12$155,000 Active
-
2026-02-20soldstatus $184,024
-
2021-08-19soldstatus $179,900
-
2021-07-21status Under Contract
-
2021-07-08historical Active Under Contract
-
2021-07-01$179,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,740 · $228/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,740 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,228
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,740
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,178
- − Management
- −$2,178
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $6,165
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,480
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,761/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portsmouth City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103000
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4071
- State rank
- #107 of 131 in VA
Livability — Portsmouth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #5381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portsmouth, VA
- County
- Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
- City population
- 96,366
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,207
- Household income
- $49,583
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1727.0
Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,730 people
- By 2030
- 96,760 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 96,573 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 95,606 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 93,579 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 83,756 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.69%
- Current HPI
- 322.7335
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.31%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
-13.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $155,000 REINMLS
- 2026-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $184,024 Public Records
- 2021-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $179,900 Public Records
- 2021-07-21 Pending — REINMLS
- 2021-07-08 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2021-07-01 Listed $179,900 REINMLS
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,740 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…