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125 12th Ave
C+ Composite 64.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

125 12th Ave · Pitman, NJ 08071
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 974 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1900 2,121 sqft lot Est $279k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms,1 1/2 bath,side yard with shed,completely repainted with new carpeting,maintenance free with new vinyl siding,full eat in kitchen,washer,dryer,refrigerator,just move in.

Key facts

  • 2,121 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; Property condition listed as below average

Exterior

  • Parking: Two off-street parking spaces; Access via alley
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Municipal trash service; Cable internet available; Hot water and heating fueled by natural gas
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Two levels; Entry facing east (cross street: East)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Pitched roof; Building not winterized; Estimated year built
  • Exterior features: Sidewalks; Street lights; Porch(es); Shed; Wood fencing; Level lot with rear yard and side yards

Interior

  • Kitchen: Self-cleaning oven; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Fully carpeted areas
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (natural gas); Electric cooling; 100 amp electrical service
  • Interior features: Master bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Partial basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.8% in Pitman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#93 in NJ, #2,410 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living D+, commute F.
  • Pitman Boro School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #281 of 472 in NJ (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $124k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.50%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$278,564
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
125 12th Ave 0.00mi 2/1.5 974 (0%) 1mo $185,000 $190 100
328 Legion Ct 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-1%) 0mo $325,000 $339 83
105 W Holly Ave 0.17mi 2/1.0 918 (-6%) 6mo $265,000 $289 76
134 North Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,012 (+4%) 9mo $250,000 $247 74
107 Seventh Ave 0.11mi 2/1.0 909 (-7%) 10mo $260,000 $286 73
416 Wesley Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,081 (+11%) 4mo $310,000 $287 66
189 East Ave 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,116 (+15%) 1mo $257,500 $231 66
106 9th Ave 0.08mi 2/1.0 848 (-13%) 14mo $222,000 $262 61
149 N Fernwood Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-1%) 4mo $272,000 $283 57
344 Columbia Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 900 (-8%) 3mo $330,000 $367 54
405 Wesley Ave 0.21mi 2/1.0 1,111 (+14%) 13mo $171,300 $154 54
138 N Fernwood Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,064 (+9%) 6mo $385,000 $362 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-8,450
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$17,594
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08071

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,082 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$386 /mo · $4,628/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$437
Net cashflow
$297

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,706
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
136 5th Ave Pitman, NJ 2.0 1.0 836 $2,300 $2.75 1d 1 0.08mi
61 West Ave Pitman, NJ 2.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 1d 1 0.17mi
601 W Holly Ave Pitman, NJ 1.0–2.0 1.0 880 $2,264 $2.57 1d 11 0.70mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $169,900 Active
  3. 2026-04-13
    historical $169,900
  4. 2012-10-24
    soldstatus $124,000
  5. 2012-10-18
    soldstatus $124,000 Sold 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bath, side yard with shed, completely repainted with new carpeting, maintenance free with new vinyl siding, full eat in kitchen, washer, dryer, refrigerator, just move in.

  6. 2012-10-18
    soldstatus $124,000 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bath, side yard with shed, completely repainted with new carpeting, maintenance free with new vinyl siding, full eat in kitchen, washer, dryer, refrigerator, just move in.

  7. 2012-08-31
    status Under Contract 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms,1 1/2 bath,side yard with shed,completely repainted with new carpeting,maintenance free with new vinyl siding,full eat in kitchen,washer,dryer,refrigerator,just move in.

  8. 2012-08-27
    historical 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bath, side yard with shed, completely repainted with new carpeting, maintenance free with new vinyl siding, full eat in kitchen, washer, dryer, refrigerator, just move in.

  9. 2012-06-08
    listed $124,900 Active 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bath, side yard with shed, completely repainted with new carpeting, maintenance free with new vinyl siding, full eat in kitchen, washer, dryer, refrigerator, just move in.

  10. 2012-06-08
    listed $124,900 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bath, side yard with shed, completely repainted with new carpeting, maintenance free with new vinyl siding, full eat in kitchen, washer, dryer, refrigerator, just move in.

  11. 1992-06-08
    soldstatus $39,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,628 · $386/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,628 · $386/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,985
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$4,628
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,999
− Management
−$1,999
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable income
$1,050
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$252
After-tax cash flow
$3,317/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pitman Boro School District
NCES district ID
3413080
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$68,957
Composite
31.61/100
National rank
#5946
State rank
#281 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Pitman

Score
78/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#2410

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pitman, NJ
City population
9,407
Population (ZIP)
9,407

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
298,895 people
By 2030
299,031 · +0.0%
By 2040
294,020 · -1.6%
By 2050
284,188 · -4.9%
By 2075
260,720 · -12.8%
By 2100
229,565 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Two or more races 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.74%
Current HPI
327.9429
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+335.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Coming Soon $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $124,000 Public Records
  • 2012-10-18 Sold (MLS) $124,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-10-18 Sold (MLS) $124,000 TREND
  • 2012-08-31 Pending TREND
  • 2012-08-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-06-08 Listed $124,900 TREND
  • 2012-06-08 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1992-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,628 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…