125 12th Ave · Pitman, NJ
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 55.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms,1 1/2 bath,side yard with shed,completely repainted with new carpeting,maintenance free with new vinyl siding,full eat in kitchen,washer,dryer,refrigerator,just move in.
Key facts
- 2,121 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Property condition listed as below average
Exterior
- Parking: Two off-street parking spaces; Access via alley
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Municipal trash service; Cable internet available; Hot water and heating fueled by natural gas
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Two levels; Entry facing east (cross street: East)
- Construction: Frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Pitched roof; Building not winterized; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Street lights; Porch(es); Shed; Wood fencing; Level lot with rear yard and side yards
Interior
- Kitchen: Self-cleaning oven; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Fully carpeted areas
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (natural gas); Electric cooling; 100 amp electrical service
- Interior features: Master bathroom; Eat-in kitchen; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.8% in Pitman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#93 in NJ, #2,410 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living D+, commute F.
- Pitman Boro School District (suburban): math 18% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #281 of 472 in NJ (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $124k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.50%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $278,564
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 12th Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 974 (0%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $190 | 100 |
| 328 Legion Ct | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-1%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $339 | 83 |
| 105 W Holly Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 918 (-6%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $289 | 76 |
| 134 North Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,012 (+4%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $247 | 74 |
| 107 Seventh Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 909 (-7%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $286 | 73 |
| 416 Wesley Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 1,081 (+11%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $287 | 66 |
| 189 East Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,116 (+15%) | 1mo | $257,500 | $231 | 66 |
| 106 9th Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 848 (-13%) | 14mo | $222,000 | $262 | 61 |
| 149 N Fernwood Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-1%) | 4mo | $272,000 | $283 | 57 |
| 344 Columbia Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-8%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $367 | 54 |
| 405 Wesley Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 1,111 (+14%) | 13mo | $171,300 | $154 | 54 |
| 138 N Fernwood Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,064 (+9%) | 6mo | $385,000 | $362 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-8,450
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $17,594
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08071
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,082 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$386 /mo · $4,628/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $297
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136 5th Ave Pitman, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $2,300 | $2.75 | 1d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 61 West Ave Pitman, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 1d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 601 W Holly Ave Pitman, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $2,264 | $2.57 | 1d | 11 | 0.70mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-30$169,900 Active
-
2026-04-13historical $169,900
-
2012-10-24soldstatus $124,000
-
2012-10-18soldstatus $124,000 Sold 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bath, side yard with shed, completely repainted with new carpeting, maintenance free with new vinyl siding, full eat in kitchen, washer, dryer, refrigerator, just move in.
-
2012-10-18soldstatus $124,000 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bath, side yard with shed, completely repainted with new carpeting, maintenance free with new vinyl siding, full eat in kitchen, washer, dryer, refrigerator, just move in.
-
2012-08-31status Under Contract 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (206 chars)
Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms,1 1/2 bath,side yard with shed,completely repainted with new carpeting,maintenance free with new vinyl siding,full eat in kitchen,washer,dryer,refrigerator,just move in.
-
2012-08-27historical 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bath, side yard with shed, completely repainted with new carpeting, maintenance free with new vinyl siding, full eat in kitchen, washer, dryer, refrigerator, just move in.
-
2012-06-08$124,900 Active 206-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bath, side yard with shed, completely repainted with new carpeting, maintenance free with new vinyl siding, full eat in kitchen, washer, dryer, refrigerator, just move in.
-
2012-06-08$124,900 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Cute as a button features 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 bath, side yard with shed, completely repainted with new carpeting, maintenance free with new vinyl siding, full eat in kitchen, washer, dryer, refrigerator, just move in.
-
1992-06-08soldstatus $39,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,628 · $386/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,628 · $386/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,985
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$4,628
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,999
- − Management
- −$1,999
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable income
- $1,050
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$252
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,317/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pitman Boro School District
- NCES district ID
- 3413080
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,957
- Composite
- 31.61/100
- National rank
- #5946
- State rank
- #281 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Pitman
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #2410
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pitman, NJ
- City population
- 9,407
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,407
Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 298,895 people
- By 2030
- 299,031 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 294,020 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 284,188 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 260,720 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 229,565 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Two or more races 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.74%
- Current HPI
- 327.9429
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+335.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-13 Coming Soon $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $124,000 Public Records
- 2012-10-18 Sold (MLS) $124,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-10-18 Sold (MLS) $124,000 TREND
- 2012-08-31 Pending — TREND
- 2012-08-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-06-08 Listed $124,900 TREND
- 2012-06-08 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1992-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,628 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…