🏷️ Likely Rental
48 E Cardinal Ln · Lawrenceville, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained 2018 double-wide manufactured/mobile home located in Lawrenceville, conveniently near many shopping, dining and major highways with few minutes to Lawrenceville parkway, Pleasant Hill Rd, I85, Costco Duluth, commercial centers, office. .. making daily living easy and accessible. This home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms with approximately 1,500 square feet of living space, an open-concept layout, large kitchen, separate laundry room and comfortable living area. All appliances (fridge, washer, dryer) will stay with the home. Land lease is currently $913.75/month (including trash $22.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Fitness center
- Community amenities
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $686 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 3.7% in Lawrenceville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in GA, #473 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
- Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bethesda Elementary School (math 26% / reading 28%, grade F, #689 of 1,228 statewide, top 58%, 1,148 students, 78% FRL); Sweetwater Middle School (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #240 of 470 statewide, top 51%, 1,480 students, 85% FRL); Berkmar High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 3,029 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 47% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 21% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Gwinnett County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.8%/yr); 540 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 39d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.62%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $290,812
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -55.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3481 Dianthus Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,704 (+18%) | 2mo | $299,900 | $176 | 54 |
| 214 Lester Rd NW | 0.80mi | 3/2.0 | 1,365 (-6%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $158 | 54 |
| 111 Omega Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,716 (+18%) | 1mo | $326,500 | $190 | 53 |
| 3095 Dunlin Lake Way | 1.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (+8%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $217 | 50 |
| 3224 Glenloch Pl | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 1,580 (+9%) | 2mo | $286,000 | $181 | 48 |
| 56 Dempsey Dr | 1.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+16%) | 1mo | $328,000 | $195 | 39 |
| 2765 Avalon Meadows Ln | 1.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,758 (+21%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $208 | 38 |
| 3172 Glenloch Pl | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,766 (+22%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $170 | 38 |
| 805 Pleasant Hill Rd NW #132 | 0.86mi | 3/2.5 | 1,794 (+24%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $156 | 36 |
| 805 Pleasant Hill Rd #173 | 0.82mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,172 (-19%) | 0mo | $255,000 | $218 | 35 |
| 3081 Hillwood Dr | 1.02mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,728 (+19%) | 2mo | $331,250 | $192 | 34 |
| 3220 Bethesda Park Ct | 1.50mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,663 (+15%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $195 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $16,778
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $48,278
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30044
- Rents YoY
- -2.8%
- Active inventory
- 540
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,006 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $686
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $776 | -5% $731 | +0% $686 | +5% $641 | +10% $596 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $528 | -5% $607 | +0% $686 | +5% $765 | +10% $844 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $751 | -0.5pp $719 | base $686 | +0.5pp $652 | +1.0pp $618 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 Sunnyside Dr Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,151 | $1.31 | 67d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 363 Brook Lea Cv Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1702 | $1,950 | $1.15 | 9d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3317 Fernview Dr Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $2,050 | $1.10 | 38d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3789 Lawrenceville Hwy Lawrenceville, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1082 | $1,848 | $1.71 | 0d | 29 | 0.47mi |
| 500 Pleasant Hill Rd NW Lilburn, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1032 | $2,068 | $2.00 | 0d | 32 | 0.62mi |
| 3208 Glenloch Pl Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1576 | $1,925 | $1.22 | 73d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3174 Glenloch Pl Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1534 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3160 Glenloch Pl Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1534 | $2,560 | $1.67 | 93d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 838 Stillwater Ln Lawrenceville, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,399 | $1.17 | 10d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 679 Burnt Creek Dr NW Unit NA Lilburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1329 | $2,050 | $1.54 | 53d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 679 Burnt Creek Dr NW Lilburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1329 | $2,050 | $1.54 | 73d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4007 Burns Rd NW Lilburn, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 93d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 123 Sir Gregory Mnr Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1102 | $1,680 | $1.52 | 30d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 728 Burnt Creek Dr NW Unit B Lilburn, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 54d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3328 Vintage Pointe Ct Lawrenceville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1724 | $1,850 | $1.07 | 93d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4122 Johns St NW Lilburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,950 | $1.29 | 17d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4122 Johns St NW Lilburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $2,095 | $1.39 | 73d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3498 Hidden Valley Cir Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1742 | $2,195 | $1.26 | 36d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1271 Vintage Pointe Dr Lawrenceville, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 62d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1271 Vintage Pointe Dr Lawrenceville, GA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1248 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 10d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1229 Vintage Pointe Dr Lawrenceville, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1380 | $1,700 | $1.23 | 38d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3645 McClaren Way Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1816 | $2,150 | $1.18 | 73d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3210 Fescue Cir Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $2,040 | $1.35 | 12d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 156 Bethesda Church Rd Lawrenceville, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $2,010 | $1.46 | 1d | 6 | 1.33mi |
| 886 Martin Heights Dr NW Unit B Lawrenceville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,475 | $1.53 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3022 Cruse Rd NW Unit A Lawrenceville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 931 | $1,395 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3090 Meadowview Ln Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,766 | $1.27 | 27d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3175 Haverhill Rowe Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1852 | $2,100 | $1.13 | 73d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 230 Mahone Dr Lilburn, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1843 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 54d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3095 Haverhill Rowe Lawrenceville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $2,300 | $1.46 | 48d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $130,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $130,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $130,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $130,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $130,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $130,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $130,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $130,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $130,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $130,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $130,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $130,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $130,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $130,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-03-25$135,000 New 816-char remark
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2026-03-25$135,000 Active 816-char remark
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2026-03-24historical $135,000 816-char remark
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2026-03-24historical $135,000 816-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,067
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,925
- − Management
- −$1,925
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $6,552
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,573
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,659/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained 2018 double-wide manufactured home is move-in ready with good condition and minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Resale Replace countertops — Modernizes kitchen and adds value ↑
- Resale Replace flooring — Freshens up living areas and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gwinnett County
- NCES district ID
- 1302550
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,416
- Composite
- 36.5/100
- National rank
- #4648
- State rank
- #32 of 174 in GA
Livability — Lawrenceville
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #473
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Gwinnett County · 1,106,028 people
- City population
- 276,247
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 101,475
- Household income
- $77,321
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 18% of renters
Population outlook (Gwinnett County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,106,028 people
- By 2030
- 1,211,414 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 1,422,277 · +28.6%
- By 2050
- 1,623,204 · +46.8%
- By 2075
- 2,105,240 · +90.3%
- By 2100
- 2,443,321 · +120.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 28% White 21% Asian 14% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 30% Vietnamese 5% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Gwinnett
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.5) · D 57.6% · R 41.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +26.8pp toward D · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: 16.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.5 2020: D+18.3 2016: D+5.8 2012: R+9.4 2008: R+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -304.00%
- Current HPI
- 241.2788
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.78%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-3.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-12 Listed $130,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-06-27 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $130,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $130,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $135,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-24 Coming Soon — GAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…