735 Sheffield Ave · Springfield, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Alert! This cozy Florida home needs a little TLC but otherwise is rental ready with a metal roof and 2019 HVAC system. Covered front and rear porches, a partially fenced yard, covered parking, and 2 storage sheds for convenience. 1 shed is newer and has power and AC. This property is centrally located near Rutherford High School, and in a quickly improving neighborhood, 2 brand new homes being built next door! This home will not qualify for most loans, and seller is not offering repairs. Firm price and likely cash only.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Covered parking
- 2019 hvac system
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.7% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 261 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.14%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $114,051
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -12.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 735 Sheffield Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (0%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $131 | 99 |
| 3733 E 9th St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 645 (-8%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $225 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $7,283
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $27,516
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32401
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,393 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,336/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $423
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $480 | -5% $452 | +0% $423 | +5% $395 | +10% $367 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $313 | -5% $368 | +0% $423 | +5% $478 | +10% $533 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $474 | -0.5pp $449 | base $423 | +0.5pp $397 | +1.0pp $371 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3719 E 8th Ct Panama City, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-03-04$100,000 Active 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
Investor Alert! This cozy Florida home needs a little TLC but otherwise is rental ready with a metal roof and 2019 HVAC system. Covered front and rear porches, a partially fenced yard, covered parking, and 2 storage sheds for convenience. 1 shed is newer and has power and AC. This property is centrally located near Rutherford High School, and in a quickly improving neighborhood, 2 brand new homes being built next door! This home will not qualify for most loans, and seller is not offering repairs. Firm price and likely cash only.
-
2022-08-01soldstatus $75,000
-
2022-07-29soldstatus $75,000 Closed 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Cash Only Buyer sold As Is. Seller to make no repairs. Metal Roof. Newer shed is negotiable. Newer ac and handler.
-
2022-07-19status Pending 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Cash Only Buyer sold As Is. Seller to make no repairs. Metal Roof. Newer shed is negotiable. Newer ac and handler.
-
2022-07-07price $99,000 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Cash Only Buyer sold As Is. Seller to make no repairs. Metal Roof. Newer shed is negotiable. Newer ac and handler.
-
2022-06-22$110,000 Active 114-char remark
Show marketing remark (114 chars)
Cash Only Buyer sold As Is. Seller to make no repairs. Metal Roof. Newer shed is negotiable. Newer ac and handler.
-
2000-02-22soldstatus $33,900
-
2000-02-18soldstatus $33,900
-
1999-06-21$35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,336 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,336 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,336
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,338
- − Management
- −$1,338
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $3,698
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$888
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,192/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #826
- US rank
- #20265
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, FL
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,947
- Household income
- $52,523
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 935.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.12%
- Current HPI
- 290.3312
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.45%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+185.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $100,000 CPARMLS
- 2022-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-29 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CPARMLS
- 2022-07-19 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2022-07-07 Price Changed $99,000 CPARMLS
- 2022-06-22 Listed $110,000 CPARMLS
- 2000-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $33,900 Public Records
- 2000-02-18 Sold (MLS) $33,900 CPARMLS
- 1999-06-21 Listed $35,000 CPARMLS
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,336 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…