256 Kelly St · Luzerne, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SHORT SALE possibility!!! Beautifully maintained home in a friendly neighborhood. It is inviting and features spacious living areas, an updated kitchen, and a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, parks, and easy highway access.
Key facts
- Nearby shops
- Private backyard
- Nearby parks
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#391 in PA, #3,538 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, commute F.
- Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 310 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 310 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.40%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $156,907
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -4.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 820 North St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,440 (+0%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $94 | 76 |
| 750 Miller St | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,250 (-13%) | 1mo | $176,000 | $141 | 73 |
| 548 Miller St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (+4%) | 7mo | $105,000 | $70 | 73 |
| 276 Academy St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-1%) | 11mo | $228,000 | $161 | 69 |
| 659 Miller St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (+14%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $113 | 66 |
| 385 Vaughn St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,368 (-5%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $88 | 63 |
| 49 Linden St | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,548 (+8%) | 11mo | $143,000 | $92 | 56 |
| 508 Slocum Street St | 0.22mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,604 (+12%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $118 | 53 |
| 270 Miller St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,618 (+13%) | 6mo | $214,500 | $133 | 41 |
| 138 Perrin St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-10%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $123 | 41 |
| 167 Hemlock St | 0.72mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,505 (+5%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $159 | 40 |
| 641 Main St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,238 (-14%) | 6mo | $96,000 | $78 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $87,059
- Equity at exit
- $135,132
- IRR
- 22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.01×
- Total profit
- $252,222
- Equity at exit
- $291,417
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18709
- Home prices YoY
- 12.7%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,423 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$191 /mo · $2,296/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $84
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1154 Murray St Kingston, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,600 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 321 Shoemaker St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1598 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 20d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 942 Wyoming Ave Unit A Forty Fort, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1054 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9 Snowden St Forty Fort, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 109 Penn St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 109 Penn St Unit 1 Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 256 E Grove St Kingston, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 27 1/2 Penn St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 59 Price St Unit 2 Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 27 Penn St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1225 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 98 E Walnut St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 20d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 47 Price St Apt 2 Kingston, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 41 Pulaski St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1292 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 20d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 36 Pulaski St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,600 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 182 Roosevelt St Kingston, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,625 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 104 Meyers St Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 341 Hughes St Unit 1 Swoyersville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,175 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 151 E Walnut St Kingston, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 157 E Walnut St Kingston, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 365 N Maple Ave Kingston, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 20d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
SHORT SALE possibility!!! Beautifully maintained home in a friendly neighborhood. It is inviting and features spacious living areas, an updated kitchen, and a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, parks, and easy highway access.
-
2025-11-24price $150,000 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
SHORT SALE possibility!!! Beautifully maintained home in a friendly neighborhood. It is inviting and features spacious living areas, an updated kitchen, and a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, parks, and easy highway access.
-
2025-10-17status Active 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
SHORT SALE possibility!!! Beautifully maintained home in a friendly neighborhood. It is inviting and features spacious living areas, an updated kitchen, and a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, parks, and easy highway access.
-
2025-09-22status Pending 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
SHORT SALE possibility!!! Beautifully maintained home in a friendly neighborhood. It is inviting and features spacious living areas, an updated kitchen, and a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, parks, and easy highway access.
-
2025-09-06status Active 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
SHORT SALE possibility!!! Beautifully maintained home in a friendly neighborhood. It is inviting and features spacious living areas, an updated kitchen, and a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, parks, and easy highway access.
-
2025-08-27status Pending 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
SHORT SALE possibility!!! Beautifully maintained home in a friendly neighborhood. It is inviting and features spacious living areas, an updated kitchen, and a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, parks, and easy highway access.
-
2025-08-21price $153,000 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
SHORT SALE possibility!!! Beautifully maintained home in a friendly neighborhood. It is inviting and features spacious living areas, an updated kitchen, and a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, parks, and easy highway access.
-
2025-07-17price $158,000 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
SHORT SALE possibility!!! Beautifully maintained home in a friendly neighborhood. It is inviting and features spacious living areas, an updated kitchen, and a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, parks, and easy highway access.
-
2025-06-25price $165,000 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
SHORT SALE possibility!!! Beautifully maintained home in a friendly neighborhood. It is inviting and features spacious living areas, an updated kitchen, and a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, parks, and easy highway access.
-
2025-06-09$175,000 Active 297-char remark
Show marketing remark (297 chars)
SHORT SALE possibility!!! Beautifully maintained home in a friendly neighborhood. It is inviting and features spacious living areas, an updated kitchen, and a private backyard perfect for relaxing or entertaining, Enjoy the convenience of nearby shops, restaurants, parks, and easy highway access.
-
2022-07-22soldstatus $148,400
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2022-07-20soldstatus $148,400 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Give us a call to see this home in Luzerne. Inside, you will find 3 bedrooms with closets, an updated eat-in kitchen with first floor laundry, and 1.75 baths! The outdoor space for this cute home features a nice patio area with a nice sized fenced in yard. There is also a possibility to make off street parking but was never needed! Low Taxes!
-
2022-06-02$129,900 344-char remark
Show marketing remark (344 chars)
Give us a call to see this home in Luzerne. Inside, you will find 3 bedrooms with closets, an updated eat-in kitchen with first floor laundry, and 1.75 baths! The outdoor space for this cute home features a nice patio area with a nice sized fenced in yard. There is also a possibility to make off street parking but was never needed! Low Taxes!
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2006-03-15soldstatus $16,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,296 · $191/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,333 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- +$37/yr (+$3/mo · 1.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,078
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,296
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,366
- − Management
- −$1,366
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,466
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$352
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,358/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wyoming Valley West SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225950
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,437
- Composite
- 25.38/100
- National rank
- #7470
- State rank
- #445 of 539 in PA
Livability — Luzerne
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #391
- US rank
- #3538
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Luzerne, PA
- City population
- 2,959
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,959
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 18% Scotch-Irish 8% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 28.54%
- Current HPI
- 254.1718
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+837.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — LCAR
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $150,000 LCAR
- 2025-10-17 Relisted — LCAR
- 2025-09-22 Pending — LCAR
- 2025-09-06 Relisted — LCAR
- 2025-08-27 Pending — LCAR
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $153,000 LCAR
- 2025-07-17 Price Changed $158,000 LCAR
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $165,000 LCAR
- 2025-06-09 Listed $175,000 LCAR
- 2022-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $148,400 Public Records
- 2022-07-20 Sold (MLS) $148,400 LCAR
- 2022-06-02 Listed $129,900 LCAR
- 2006-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2026): $2,296 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…