1601 N College Ave #308 · Fort Collins, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property sold off market, entered for comparable purposes. Nicely updated and in great condition. Screened in back porch, garden and attached one car garage.
Key facts
- 3780.68 acre lot
- Built 1991
- Listed 171 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Minimal flood or C rating
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No designated parking features listed
- Utilities: City water with a water meter; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Manufactured home; Level lot and level driveway; Residential zoning
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition/other roof
- Exterior features: Patio (enclosed); Land lease; Paved lot with street lighting; Security gate
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Electric fireplace
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Window coverings; Fire alarm
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 2.6% in Fort Collins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#11 in CO, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Putnam Elementary School (math 5% / reading 17%, grade F, #879 of 966 statewide, top 94%, 306 students, 88% FRL); Poudre High School (math 36% / reading 59%, grade D, #131 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 1,663 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 24% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Poudre School District R-1 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.58%
- DSCR
- 3.21
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $65,280
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1601 N College Ave #217 | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,130 (+4%) | 12mo | $26,000 | $23 | 82 |
| 1601 N College Ave #299 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,024 (-6%) | 2mo | $32,000 | $31 | 79 |
| 1601 N College Ave #11 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-12%) | 9mo | $11,000 | $11 | 73 |
| 2025 N College Ave Lot 258 | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (-2%) | 13mo | $90,000 | $85 | 63 |
| 1601 N College Ave #330 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 938 (-14%) | 11mo | $19,500 | $21 | 63 |
| 1601 N College Ave #352 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 952 (-12%) | 17mo | $35,000 | $37 | 60 |
| 1601 N College Ave #274 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 938 (-14%) | 12mo | $67,000 | $71 | 60 |
| 2025 N College Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (-2%) | 10mo | $69,900 | $66 | 60 |
| 1601 N College Ave #224 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 980 (-10%) | 22mo | $40,000 | $41 | 58 |
| 1601 N College Ave #270 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 938 (-14%) | 21mo | $67,500 | $72 | 50 |
| 2025 N College Ave #243 | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 924 (-15%) | 11mo | $55,000 | $60 | 44 |
| 301 Spaulding Ln #35 | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 938 (-14%) | 22mo | $90,000 | $96 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $53,990
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 54.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.63×
- Total profit
- $141,890
- Equity at exit
- $7,781
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80524
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,987 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $231/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $1,041
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,092 | -5% $1,067 | +0% $1,041 | +5% $1,016 | +10% $990 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $884 | -5% $963 | +0% $1,041 | +5% $1,120 | +10% $1,198 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,087 | -0.5pp $1,064 | base $1,041 | +0.5pp $1,018 | +1.0pp $994 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1601 N College Ave Unit 273A Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,150 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1601 N College Ave #60 Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,150 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 328 Butch Cassidy Dr Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $2,285 | $1.76 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 432 Sundance Cir N Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1331 Redwood St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1154 | $1,598 | $1.38 | 15d | 2 | 0.59mi |
| 240 Osiander St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $2,878 | $2.26 | 15d | 7 | 0.64mi |
| 802 Heschel St Unit C Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1254 | $2,700 | $2.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 831 Mangold Ln Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1437 | $2,695 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 311 N Mason St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 645 | $2,115 | $3.28 | 15d | 7 | 1.15mi |
| 310 N Mason St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 690 | $2,339 | $3.39 | 15d | 8 | 1.17mi |
| 302 N Meldrum St #204 Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1205 | $2,800 | $2.32 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 281 Willow St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 694 | $2,766 | $3.99 | 15d | 20 | 1.23mi |
| 2636 Terry Lake Rd Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $1,825 | $2.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 527 West St Unit 2 Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 308 West St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,500 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 612 9th St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,800 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,999 Active 172 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $89,999 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,999 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $89,999 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $89,999 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-14pricedays on market $89,999 Active 164 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $94,999 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $94,999 Active 160 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $94,999 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $94,999 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,999 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,999 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $94,999 Active 152 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $94,999 Active 151 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $94,999 Active 150 DOM
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2026-02-12price $94,999
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2026-01-01$105,000 Active
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2025-12-27historical $105,000
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2022-09-09soldstatus $102,000 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Property sold off market, entered for comparable purposes. Nicely updated and in great condition. Screened in back porch, garden and attached one car garage.
-
2022-08-29$105,000 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Property sold off market, entered for comparable purposes. Nicely updated and in great condition. Screened in back porch, garden and attached one car garage.
-
2022-08-25historical
-
2022-07-31status Active
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2022-07-31status Active
-
2022-07-23status Pending Accepting Backup Offers
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2022-07-23historical Active - Backup
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2022-07-12$105,000 Active
-
2022-07-01$105,000 Active
-
2022-06-30soldstatus $99,000 Sold
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2022-05-26historical Active - Backup
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2022-05-04$99,000 Active
-
2022-01-04historical
-
2021-08-11historical Active - Backup
-
2021-06-16status Active
-
2021-06-02historical
-
2021-06-01price $80,000
-
2020-12-03price $82,000
-
2020-10-14$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $231 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $495 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$264/yr (+$22/mo · 114.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,847
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$231
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,908
- − Management
- −$1,908
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $11,691
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,806
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,689/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poudre School District R-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803990
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,281
- Composite
- 45.5/100
- National rank
- #2610
- State rank
- #10 of 86 in CO
Livability — Fort Collins
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #1750
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Collins, CO
- County
- Larimer County · 338,255 people
- City population
- 202,303
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,030
- Household income
- $85,035
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1860.0
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Portuguese 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -581.67%
- Current HPI
- 274.4026
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.13%
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+11.8% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $94,999 IRES
- 2026-01-01 Listed $105,000 IRES
- 2025-12-27 Coming Soon $105,000 IRES
- 2022-09-09 Sold (MLS) $102,000 IRES
- 2022-08-29 Listed $105,000 IRES
- 2022-08-25 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2022-07-31 Relisted — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-31 Relisted — IRES
- 2022-07-23 Pending — REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-23 Contingent — IRES
- 2022-07-12 Listed $105,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-01 Listed $105,000 IRES
- 2022-06-30 Sold (MLS) $99,000 IRES
- 2022-05-26 Contingent — IRES
- 2022-05-04 Listed $99,000 IRES
- 2022-01-04 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2021-08-11 Contingent — IRES
- 2021-06-16 Relisted — IRES
- 2021-06-02 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2021-06-01 Price Changed $80,000 IRES
- 2020-12-03 Price Changed $82,000 IRES
- 2020-10-14 Listed $85,000 IRES
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $231 · +140.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…