10178 Collins Ave #202 · Bal Harbour, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- Appreciation +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
$359,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AMAZING LOCATION !!!AND GREAT INVESTMENT !! ONE OF THE BEST AREA IN ALL MIAMI , BEAUTIFUL AND COZY BOUTIQUE BUILDING , VERY BRIGHT UNIT AND SPACIOUS , 1 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, CEDAR WALK- IN CLOSET , WOOD FLOOR , COVER PARKING SPACE AND VERY SECURE BUILDING , GREAT FOR INVESTORS , UNIT HAS A CURRENT TENANT , LEASE EXPIRES ON 2022 LOW MAINT. 1 BLOCK FROM BAL HARBOUR SHOPS, SUPERMARKETS, A + SCHOOLS , RESTAURANTS AND CAFES, 5 DIFERENT HOUSES OF WORSHIP . DIRECT ENTRANCE TROUGH OCEANIA TO THE BEACH , BRING YOUR OFFER , CASH DEAL ONLY , BEST INVESTMENT IN THE AREA - CALL LA FOR SHOWING. unit is with tenant , do not disturbed needs 24 hrs. to show .
Key facts
- Covered parking
- Beach access
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease considered; Pets allowed with restrictions
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $354; HOA includes amenities and hot water
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned covered parking; 1 covered parking space; 1-car garage
- Home design: Attached property; 2 stories; Entry on level 2
- Construction: Block construction; Resale
- Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric air conditioning; Electric heating
- Interior features: Unfurnished; First floor entry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $360k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $360k).
- Recommended offer: $317k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#217 in FL, #3,392 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 522 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,393/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($90k/yr) (locally 774% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (6.1% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($317k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 15552% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $220k; list at $360k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.64%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.12% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $107,955
- Equity at exit
- $229,133
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.82×
- Total profit
- $284,104
- Equity at exit
- $417,984
Cash invested: $100,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33154
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.3%
- Active inventory
- 522
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,393 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,888
- Tax from tax record
- −$437 /mo · $5,242/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$354
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$922
- Net cashflow
- $215
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,998
- Closing costs
- $10,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $354 · $4,248/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $359,990 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $359,990 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $359,990 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $359,990 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $359,990 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $359,990 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $359,990 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $359,990 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $359,990 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $359,990 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $359,990 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $359,990 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $359,990 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-01-28price $2,100
-
2025-12-17$2,300
-
2025-12-16$359,990 Active
-
2024-12-30historical $2,000
-
2024-11-13$2,000
-
2024-11-12historical $2,300
-
2024-08-02$2,300
-
2024-08-01historical $2,300
-
2024-03-26price $2,300
-
2024-03-05$2,500
-
2024-03-05historical $2,500
-
2023-12-25$2,800
-
2021-03-01soldstatus $220,000 Closed 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
AMAZING LOCATION !!!AND GREAT INVESTMENT !! ONE OF THE BEST AREA IN ALL MIAMI , BEAUTIFUL AND COZY BOUTIQUE BUILDING , VERY BRIGHT UNIT AND SPACIOUS , 1 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, CEDAR WALK- IN CLOSET , WOOD FLOOR , COVER PARKING SPACE AND VERY SECURE BUILDING , GREAT FOR INVESTORS , UNIT HAS A CURRENT TENANT , LEASE EXPIRES ON 2022 LOW MAINT. 1 BLOCK FROM BAL HARBOUR SHOPS, SUPERMARKETS, A + SCHOOLS , RESTAURANTS AND CAFES, 5 DIFERENT HOUSES OF WORSHIP . DIRECT ENTRANCE TROUGH OCEANIA TO THE BEACH , BRING YOUR OFFER , CASH DEAL ONLY , BEST INVESTMENT IN THE AREA - CALL LA FOR SHOWING. unit is with tenant , do not disturbed needs 24 hrs. to show .
-
2021-01-07price $228,000 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
AMAZING LOCATION !!!AND GREAT INVESTMENT !! ONE OF THE BEST AREA IN ALL MIAMI , BEAUTIFUL AND COZY BOUTIQUE BUILDING , VERY BRIGHT UNIT AND SPACIOUS , 1 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, CEDAR WALK- IN CLOSET , WOOD FLOOR , COVER PARKING SPACE AND VERY SECURE BUILDING , GREAT FOR INVESTORS , UNIT HAS A CURRENT TENANT , LEASE EXPIRES ON 2022 LOW MAINT. 1 BLOCK FROM BAL HARBOUR SHOPS, SUPERMARKETS, A + SCHOOLS , RESTAURANTS AND CAFES, 5 DIFERENT HOUSES OF WORSHIP . DIRECT ENTRANCE TROUGH OCEANIA TO THE BEACH , BRING YOUR OFFER , CASH DEAL ONLY , BEST INVESTMENT IN THE AREA - CALL LA FOR SHOWING. unit is with tenant , do not disturbed needs 24 hrs. to show .
-
2020-12-07price $225,000 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
AMAZING LOCATION !!!AND GREAT INVESTMENT !! ONE OF THE BEST AREA IN ALL MIAMI , BEAUTIFUL AND COZY BOUTIQUE BUILDING , VERY BRIGHT UNIT AND SPACIOUS , 1 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, CEDAR WALK- IN CLOSET , WOOD FLOOR , COVER PARKING SPACE AND VERY SECURE BUILDING , GREAT FOR INVESTORS , UNIT HAS A CURRENT TENANT , LEASE EXPIRES ON 2022 LOW MAINT. 1 BLOCK FROM BAL HARBOUR SHOPS, SUPERMARKETS, A + SCHOOLS , RESTAURANTS AND CAFES, 5 DIFERENT HOUSES OF WORSHIP . DIRECT ENTRANCE TROUGH OCEANIA TO THE BEACH , BRING YOUR OFFER , CASH DEAL ONLY , BEST INVESTMENT IN THE AREA - CALL LA FOR SHOWING. unit is with tenant , do not disturbed needs 24 hrs. to show .
-
2020-11-10historical
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2020-11-08$225,555 Active 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
AMAZING LOCATION !!!AND GREAT INVESTMENT !! ONE OF THE BEST AREA IN ALL MIAMI , BEAUTIFUL AND COZY BOUTIQUE BUILDING , VERY BRIGHT UNIT AND SPACIOUS , 1 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, CEDAR WALK- IN CLOSET , WOOD FLOOR , COVER PARKING SPACE AND VERY SECURE BUILDING , GREAT FOR INVESTORS , UNIT HAS A CURRENT TENANT , LEASE EXPIRES ON 2022 LOW MAINT. 1 BLOCK FROM BAL HARBOUR SHOPS, SUPERMARKETS, A + SCHOOLS , RESTAURANTS AND CAFES, 5 DIFERENT HOUSES OF WORSHIP . DIRECT ENTRANCE TROUGH OCEANIA TO THE BEACH , BRING YOUR OFFER , CASH DEAL ONLY , BEST INVESTMENT IN THE AREA - CALL LA FOR SHOWING. unit is with tenant , do not disturbed needs 24 hrs. to show .
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2020-09-09price $224,999
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2020-08-27price $225,000
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2020-08-25price $228,500
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2020-07-31price $230,000
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2020-04-02price $235,000
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2020-03-31price $245,000
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2020-03-31price $235,000
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2018-04-27price $245,000
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2018-03-11price $245,888
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2018-01-23price $244,888
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2017-12-17price $245,000
-
2017-11-10price $245,770
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2017-07-13price $248,770
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2017-06-02status Active
-
2017-05-30historical
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2017-04-19status Active
-
2017-04-09historical
-
2016-12-21status Active
-
2016-12-11historical
-
2016-11-20price $248,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,242 · $437/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,242 · $437/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,711
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,165
- − Property taxes
- −$5,242
- − Insurance
- −$6,918
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,217
- − Management
- −$4,217
- − HOA
- −$4,248
- − Depreciation
- −$10,472
- Taxable loss
- −$2,768
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$664
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,244/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bal Harbour
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #3392
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bal Harbour, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 14,572
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,572
- Household income
- $89,563
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 774.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (53%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 25% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 12% Salvadoran 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 7% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 46% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 41% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.12%
- Current HPI
- 454.1747
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.30%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-98.0% since first listed45 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $2,100 MARMLS
- 2025-12-17 Listed for Rent $2,300 MARMLS
- 2025-12-16 Listed $359,990 MARMLS
- 2024-12-30 Rental Removed $2,000 MARMLS
- 2024-11-13 Listed for Rent $2,000 MARMLS
- 2024-11-12 Rental Removed $2,300 MARMLS
- 2024-08-02 Listed for Rent $2,300 MARMLS
- 2024-08-01 Rental Removed $2,300 MARMLS
- 2024-03-26 Price Changed $2,300 MARMLS
- 2024-03-05 Listed for Rent $2,500 MARMLS
- 2024-03-05 Rental Removed $2,500 MARMLS
- 2023-12-25 Listed for Rent $2,800 MARMLS
- 2021-03-01 Sold (MLS) $220,000 MARMLS
- 2021-01-07 Price Changed $228,000 MARMLS
- 2020-12-07 Price Changed $225,000 MARMLS
- 2020-11-10 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2020-11-08 Listed $225,555 MARMLS
- 2020-09-09 Price Changed $224,999 MARMLS
- 2020-08-27 Price Changed $225,000 MARMLS
- 2020-08-25 Price Changed $228,500 MARMLS
- 2020-07-31 Price Changed $230,000 MARMLS
- 2020-04-02 Price Changed $235,000 MARMLS
- 2020-03-31 Price Changed $245,000 MARMLS
- 2020-03-31 Price Changed $235,000 MARMLS
- 2018-04-27 Price Changed $245,000 MARMLS
- 2018-03-11 Price Changed $245,888 MARMLS
- 2018-01-23 Price Changed $244,888 MARMLS
- 2017-12-17 Price Changed $245,000 MARMLS
- 2017-11-10 Price Changed $245,770 MARMLS
- 2017-07-13 Price Changed $248,770 MARMLS
- 2017-06-02 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2017-05-30 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2017-04-19 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2017-04-09 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2016-12-21 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2016-12-11 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2016-11-20 Price Changed $248,000 MARMLS
- 2016-10-13 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2016-09-19 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2016-09-07 Listed $250,000 MARMLS
- 2016-02-03 Sold (MLS) $215,000 MARMLS
- 2016-01-20 Pending — MARMLS
- 2015-12-22 Listed $215,000 MARMLS
- 2012-04-21 Sold (MLS) $92,000 MARMLS
- 2012-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,242 · +40.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…