313 Felix St · Thomasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
313 Felix St. - 2BR/1Bath home priced to sell. Great home for small family or an investor. Additional lot is included. This home is right across the street from a park. Lots of potential - call your favorite agent to see today.
Key facts
- Additional lot
- 0.28 acre lot
- Built 1930
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.7% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#77 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, commute F.
- Thomasville City (town): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #87 of 174 in GA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 203 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 213 units permitted in Thomas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Thomas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $120k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.44%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,562
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- 21.65%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Wolfe St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 944 (-1%) | 6mo | $177,000 | $188 | 77 |
| 614 Wolfe St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 936 (-2%) | 2mo | $57,000 | $61 | 76 |
| 210 Old Albany Rd | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 1,044 (+9%) | 22mo | $100,000 | $96 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $18,720
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $65,272
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31792
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,645 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $250/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $600
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813 N Spair St Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,500 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 403 Remington Ave Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,575 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $119,900 Pending 76 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $119,900 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
313 Felix St. - 2BR/1Bath home priced to sell. Great home for small family or an investor. Additional lot is included. This home is right across the street from a park. Lots of potential - call your favorite agent to see today.
-
2026-03-25status Active 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
313 Felix St. - 2BR/1Bath home priced to sell. Great home for small family or an investor. Additional lot is included. This home is right across the street from a park. Lots of potential - call your favorite agent to see today.
-
2026-03-17historical 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
313 Felix St. - 2BR/1Bath home priced to sell. Great home for small family or an investor. Additional lot is included. This home is right across the street from a park. Lots of potential - call your favorite agent to see today.
-
2026-03-12price $139,900 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
313 Felix St. - 2BR/1Bath home priced to sell. Great home for small family or an investor. Additional lot is included. This home is right across the street from a park. Lots of potential - call your favorite agent to see today.
-
2026-03-11price $99,000 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
313 Felix St. - 2BR/1Bath home priced to sell. Great home for small family or an investor. Additional lot is included. This home is right across the street from a park. Lots of potential - call your favorite agent to see today.
-
2026-03-04$139,900 Active 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
313 Felix St. - 2BR/1Bath home priced to sell. Great home for small family or an investor. Additional lot is included. This home is right across the street from a park. Lots of potential - call your favorite agent to see today.
-
2025-06-30$139,900 Active
-
1984-10-01soldstatus $36,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $250 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,103 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$853/yr (+$71/mo · 340.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,738
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$250
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,579
- − Management
- −$1,579
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $5,526
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,326
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,872/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thomasville City
- NCES district ID
- 1304950
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,040
- Composite
- 26.85/100
- National rank
- #7106
- State rank
- #87 of 174 in GA
Livability — Thomasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #6678
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thomasville, GA
- County
- Thomas County · 22,962 people
- City population
- 22,962
- Metro
- Thomasville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,962
- Household income
- $50,460
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Thomas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,303 people
- By 2030
- 45,052 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 44,034 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 42,310 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 37,569 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 30,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 47% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Thomas
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+21.8 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.17%
- Current HPI
- 228.0107
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Thomasville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+226.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $119,900 TABRMLS
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — TABRMLS
- 2026-03-17 Delisted — TABRMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $139,900 TABRMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $99,000 TABRMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $139,900 TABRMLS
- 2025-06-30 Listed $139,900 TABRMLS
- 1984-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $250 · +21.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…