1924 E Brill Trl · Newaygo, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
Key facts
- 0.74 acre lot
- Built 1995
- Listed 101 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.3% in Newaygo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#470 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities D-.
- White Cloud Public Schools (rural): math 17% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #436 of 540 in MI (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Newaygo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Newaygo County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $100k implies a 412% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.07%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $9,121
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $40,418
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49349
- Home prices YoY
- -14.1%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,255 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $332/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $398
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $455 | -5% $426 | +0% $398 | +5% $370 | +10% $341 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $299 | -5% $348 | +0% $398 | +5% $448 | +10% $497 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $448 | -0.5pp $423 | base $398 | +0.5pp $372 | +1.0pp $346 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 101 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $99,900 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-04-28price $99,900 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-04-28price $99,900
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-03-28price $109,900 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-03-27price $109,900 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-03-27price $109,900
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-03-07price $119,900 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-03-06price $119,900 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-03-06status Active 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-03-06status Active 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-03-06price $119,900
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-03-06status Active
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-02-09status Pending 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-02-09status Pending 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-02-09status Pending
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-01-30$139,900 Active 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-01-30$139,900 Active 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2026-01-30$139,900 Active
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Welcome to this affordable and amazing opportunity. This home with a little TLC will make for a great home! A perfect investment for all buyers. Secluded but near a camp ground for year round fun!
-
2016-09-13soldstatus $19,500
-
2015-10-10historical
-
2015-10-09historical
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2015-09-08price $23,900
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2015-09-03$29,900 Active
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2015-04-09$23,900
-
2014-12-12historical
-
2013-12-31historical
-
2013-06-11$55,000
-
2013-06-11$55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $332 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $935 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- +$603/yr (+$50/mo · 182.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,056
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$332
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,204
- − Management
- −$1,204
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $3,313
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$795
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- White Cloud Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2636060
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,178
- Composite
- 20.36/100
- National rank
- #8601
- State rank
- #436 of 540 in MI
Livability — Newaygo
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #13352
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,059
Population outlook (Newaygo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,371 people
- By 2030
- 44,879 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 41,107 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 36,800 · -20.6%
- By 2075
- 27,507 · -40.7%
- By 2100
- 18,600 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 9% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Newaygo
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.8) · D 27.9% · R 70.7% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.2pp toward R · 2008: -4.6pp · 2024: -42.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.8 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+39.6 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.33%
- Current HPI
- 270.7935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+81.6% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $109,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-06 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-06 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $119,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-06 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-09 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-09 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-09 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $139,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-30 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $19,500 Public Records
- 2015-10-10 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2015-10-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-09-08 Price Changed $23,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2015-09-03 Listed $29,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2015-04-09 Listed $23,900 REALCOMP
- 2014-12-12 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2013-12-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-06-11 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2013-06-11 Listed $55,000 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
-6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $332 · -78.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…