439 Mulberry Ct · Poinciana, FL 34759

$229,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,273 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 177 Days on market

Built 2023 7,710 sqft lot $85/mo HOA · 4% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +10.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +4.3/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• 1% rule +3.3/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• DSCR +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Under Construction. The beautiful Vero plan by LGI Homes is ideally located in the stunning community of Poinciana. This new one-story home features an open floor plan, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. The Vero comes fully stocked with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy-efficient appliances, spacious countertops, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. Exceptional features of this home include a spacious master suite, a dining area, a covered back patio as well as front yard landscaping. In addition, Poinciana offers residents a premier location with easy access to amenity-packed parks, sports courts, multiple playgrounds, conservation areas, and world-class amusement parks.

Key facts

• Spacious backyard
• Granite countertops
• 7,710 sq ft lot

Tags

• SPACIOUS BACKYARD
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLAN
• BRIGHT AND AIRY LIVING AREA
• EASY ACCESS TO HIGHWAYS

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
• HOA & community: HOA: Association of Poinciana Villages; HOA required with $85 monthly fee; Pets allowed

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage (20 x 20)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public and private utilities available
• Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; North-facing
• Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on 0.18-acre lot
• Exterior features: Asphalt road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Kitchen and family room combined; Sliding doors
• Laundry & utility: Inside laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-140 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (10.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (16.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $191k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.2% in Poinciana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#859 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Laurel Elementary School (math 26% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 1,058 students, 50% FRL); Lake Marion Creek Middle School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #522 of 571 statewide, top 93%, 1,044 students, 58% FRL); New Beginnings High School (math 5% / reading 8%, grade F, #655 of 667 statewide, top 98%, 753 students, 66% FRL, charter) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 1155 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $191,081 (16.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.83% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.56%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.63%
• DSCR: 0.88
• GRM: 10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.48% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -13.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.46×
• Total profit: $-34,521
• Equity at exit: $50,064

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.35×
• Total profit: $-41,452
• Equity at exit: $48,248

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34759

• Home prices YoY: -0.5%
• Rents YoY: 1.1%
• Active inventory: 1155
• Price-to-rent: 10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,911 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,201
• Tax from tax record: −$269 /mo · $3,222/yr
• Insurance: −$95
• HOA: −$85
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$401
• Net cashflow: $-140

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,088

Max offer price $204,212

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-11	-5% $-76	+0% $-140	+5% $-205	+10% $-270
Rent	-10% $-291	-5% $-216	+0% $-140	+5% $-65	+10% $11
Rate	-1.0pp $-25	-0.5pp $-82	base $-140	+0.5pp $-200	+1.0pp $-260

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $57,250
• Closing costs: $6,870
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
352 Kingfish Dr Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1670	$1,950	$1.17	25d	1	0.41mi
1402 Kissimmee Ct Kissimmee, FL	4.0	3.0	1800	$1,850	$1.03	23d	1	0.45mi
1406 Orlando Pl Poinciana, FL	3.0	2.0	1257	$1,450	$1.15	5d	1	0.48mi
1417 Kissimmee Ct Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1535	$1,629	$1.06	25d	1	0.49mi
557 Peace Dr Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1547	$1,699	$1.10	4d	1	0.50mi
260 Grouper Ct Kissimmee, FL	2.0	2.0	1130	$1,400	$1.24	4d	1	0.58mi
205 Dogfish Ln Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1578	$1,680	$1.06	15d	1	0.58mi
223 Grouper Ct Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1475	$1,595	$1.08	25d	1	0.59mi
1701 Pilchard Dr Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1720	$2,050	$1.19	25d	1	0.59mi
320 Kingfish Dr Kissimmee, FL	3.0	3.0	1606	$1,795	$1.12	25d	1	0.61mi
1731 Minnow Ct Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1209	$1,750	$1.45	25d	1	0.63mi
1805 Hudson Ct Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1531	$1,835	$1.20	25d	1	0.65mi
1364 Congo Dr Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1667	$1,750	$1.05	5d	1	0.65mi
310 Dogfish Way Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1700	$1,950	$1.15	25d	1	0.68mi
241 Grouper Ct Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1762	$2,000	$1.14	25d	1	0.71mi
1851 Superior Ct Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1661	$1,800	$1.08	25d	1	0.72mi
321 Drum Ln Poinciana, FL	3.0	2.0	1785	$1,715	$0.96	20d	1	0.72mi
1662 Redfin Dr Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.5	1852	$1,940	$1.05	25d	1	0.77mi
1660 Redfin Dr Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1661	$1,975	$1.19	5d	1	0.77mi
1658 Redfin Dr Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1661	$1,810	$1.09	5d	1	0.78mi
1884 Snapper Dr Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1682	$1,985	$1.18	16d	1	0.80mi
202 Snapper Way Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1670	$2,050	$1.23	5d	1	0.80mi
308 Bass Ct Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1614	$2,100	$1.30	5d	1	0.88mi
308 Bass Ct Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1613	$1,850	$1.15	25d	1	0.88mi
1243 Amazon Ln Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1580	$1,835	$1.16	5d	1	0.96mi
1613 Sail Dr Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1711	$1,625	$0.95	25d	1	0.97mi
1912 Manatee Dr Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.5	1420	$1,995	$1.40	25d	1	0.98mi
1907 Manatee Dr Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1803	$1,795	$1.00	25d	1	0.98mi
313 Amberjack Ct Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1243	$1,750	$1.41	25d	1	0.99mi
1707 Sail Ct Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.5	1823	$2,015	$1.11	5d	1	1.01mi
116 Sail Way Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1661	$1,805	$1.09	13d	1	1.04mi
1951 Michigan Dr Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1562	$2,060	$1.32	15d	1	1.05mi
106 Herring Ln Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1062	$1,575	$1.48	4d	1	1.06mi
1637 Sail Dr Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1250	$1,720	$1.38	5d	1	1.06mi
104 Herring Ln Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1699	$1,925	$1.13	5d	1	1.07mi
407 Arkansas Ct Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1858	$1,600	$0.86	13d	1	1.13mi
12 Herring Ct Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1055	$1,613	$1.53	25d	1	1.14mi
319 Erie Ct Kissimmee, FL	3.0	2.0	1310	$1,815	$1.39	25d	1	1.16mi
307 Michigan Ln Kissimmee, FL	4.0	2.0	1673	$1,744	$1.04	15d	1	1.16mi
14201 Indian Creek Dr #14201 Poinciana, FL	3.0	2.0	1218	$1,450	$1.19	25d	1	1.16mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $85 · $1,020/yr
• Likely covers: landscaping

Listing history 36 events

1. 2026-06-22
   statusdays on market $229,000 Pending 177 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $229,000 Active 176 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $229,000 Active 175 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $229,000 Active 174 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $229,000 Active 173 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $229,000 Active 171 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $229,000 Active 168 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $229,000 Active 167 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   pricedays on market $229,000 Active 166 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 165 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $250,000 Active 162 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 160 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 159 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 158 DOM
15. 2026-03-31
    price $250,000
16. 2026-03-24
    status Active
17. 2026-03-24
    price $220,000
18. 2026-02-02
    status Pending
19. 2026-01-15
    status Active
20. 2026-01-09
    price $215,000
21. 2026-01-09
    status Active
22. 2025-05-21
    status Pending
23. 2025-04-18
    price $250,000
24. 2025-03-10
    listed $270,000 Active
25. 2023-10-25
    soldstatus $304,900 Closed 702-char remark

    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Under Construction. The beautiful Vero plan by LGI Homes is ideally located in the stunning community of Poinciana. This new one-story home features an open floor plan, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. The Vero comes fully stocked with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy-efficient appliances, spacious countertops, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. Exceptional features of this home include a spacious master suite, a dining area, a covered back patio as well as front yard landscaping. In addition, Poinciana offers residents a premier location with easy access to amenity-packed parks, sports courts, multiple playgrounds, conservation areas, and world-class amusement parks.

26. 2023-09-11
    status Pending 702-char remark

    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Under Construction. The beautiful Vero plan by LGI Homes is ideally located in the stunning community of Poinciana. This new one-story home features an open floor plan, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. The Vero comes fully stocked with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy-efficient appliances, spacious countertops, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. Exceptional features of this home include a spacious master suite, a dining area, a covered back patio as well as front yard landscaping. In addition, Poinciana offers residents a premier location with easy access to amenity-packed parks, sports courts, multiple playgrounds, conservation areas, and world-class amusement parks.

27. 2023-09-07
    price $306,900 702-char remark

    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Under Construction. The beautiful Vero plan by LGI Homes is ideally located in the stunning community of Poinciana. This new one-story home features an open floor plan, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. The Vero comes fully stocked with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy-efficient appliances, spacious countertops, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. Exceptional features of this home include a spacious master suite, a dining area, a covered back patio as well as front yard landscaping. In addition, Poinciana offers residents a premier location with easy access to amenity-packed parks, sports courts, multiple playgrounds, conservation areas, and world-class amusement parks.

28. 2023-09-06
    price $304,900 702-char remark

    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Under Construction. The beautiful Vero plan by LGI Homes is ideally located in the stunning community of Poinciana. This new one-story home features an open floor plan, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. The Vero comes fully stocked with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy-efficient appliances, spacious countertops, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. Exceptional features of this home include a spacious master suite, a dining area, a covered back patio as well as front yard landscaping. In addition, Poinciana offers residents a premier location with easy access to amenity-packed parks, sports courts, multiple playgrounds, conservation areas, and world-class amusement parks.

29. 2023-08-07
    price $309,900 702-char remark

    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Under Construction. The beautiful Vero plan by LGI Homes is ideally located in the stunning community of Poinciana. This new one-story home features an open floor plan, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. The Vero comes fully stocked with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy-efficient appliances, spacious countertops, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. Exceptional features of this home include a spacious master suite, a dining area, a covered back patio as well as front yard landscaping. In addition, Poinciana offers residents a premier location with easy access to amenity-packed parks, sports courts, multiple playgrounds, conservation areas, and world-class amusement parks.

30. 2023-07-06
    price $305,900 702-char remark

    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Under Construction. The beautiful Vero plan by LGI Homes is ideally located in the stunning community of Poinciana. This new one-story home features an open floor plan, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. The Vero comes fully stocked with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy-efficient appliances, spacious countertops, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. Exceptional features of this home include a spacious master suite, a dining area, a covered back patio as well as front yard landscaping. In addition, Poinciana offers residents a premier location with easy access to amenity-packed parks, sports courts, multiple playgrounds, conservation areas, and world-class amusement parks.

31. 2023-06-13
    price $304,900 702-char remark

    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Under Construction. The beautiful Vero plan by LGI Homes is ideally located in the stunning community of Poinciana. This new one-story home features an open floor plan, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. The Vero comes fully stocked with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy-efficient appliances, spacious countertops, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. Exceptional features of this home include a spacious master suite, a dining area, a covered back patio as well as front yard landscaping. In addition, Poinciana offers residents a premier location with easy access to amenity-packed parks, sports courts, multiple playgrounds, conservation areas, and world-class amusement parks.

32. 2023-05-12
    listed $302,900 Active 702-char remark

    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Under Construction. The beautiful Vero plan by LGI Homes is ideally located in the stunning community of Poinciana. This new one-story home features an open floor plan, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. The Vero comes fully stocked with over $10,000 in upgrades including energy-efficient appliances, spacious countertops, brushed nickel hardware and an attached two-car garage. Exceptional features of this home include a spacious master suite, a dining area, a covered back patio as well as front yard landscaping. In addition, Poinciana offers residents a premier location with easy access to amenity-packed parks, sports courts, multiple playgrounds, conservation areas, and world-class amusement parks.

33. 2021-12-17
    soldstatus $45,000
34. 2008-06-16
    soldstatus $20,000 15-char remark

    Show marketing remark (15 chars)

    Residential Lot

35. 2006-08-02
    listed $28,900 15-char remark

    Show marketing remark (15 chars)

    Residential Lot

36. 2005-03-25
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,222 · $269/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,222 · $269/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,930
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,828
• − Property taxes: −$3,222
• − Insurance: −$1,145
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,834
• − Management: −$1,834
• − HOA: −$1,020
• − Depreciation: −$6,662
• Taxable loss: −$5,616
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,348
• After-tax cash flow: $-336/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Polk
• NCES district ID: 1201590
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $43,979
• Composite: 34.74/100
• National rank: #5132
• State rank: #62 of 73 in FL

Livability — Poinciana

• Score: 57/100
• State rank: #859
• US rank: #21760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Poinciana, FL
• County: Polk County · 740,051 people
• City population: 91,336
• Metro: Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
• Population (ZIP): 44,568
• Household income: $69,373
• Rent vs Own: 20.4% rent · 79.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1186.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 752,975 people
• By 2030: 804,621 · +6.9%
• By 2040: 906,117 · +20.3%
• By 2050: 1,000,476 · +32.9%
• By 2075: 1,197,520 · +59.0%
• By 2100: 1,271,518 · +68.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 55% White 21% Two or more races 20% Black 19%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 38% Cuban 6% Dominican 3%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
• Foreign-born: 17% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 49% English-only · Spanish 48% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.48%
• Current HPI: 276.6861
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.14%
• Metro: Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1462.5% since first listed

22 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-31 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-24 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-24 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-02 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-15 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-09 Price Changed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-09 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-21 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-04-18 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-03-10 Listed $270,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-10-25 Sold (MLS) $304,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-09-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-09-07 Price Changed $306,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-09-06 Price Changed $304,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-08-07 Price Changed $309,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-07-06 Price Changed $305,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-06-13 Price Changed $304,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-05-12 Listed $302,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
• 2008-06-16 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-08-02 Listed $28,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2005-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+33.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,222 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.