15009 E Plz #188 · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $508 – $851
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home offers comfort, space, and pride of ownership throughout. The home features a spacious living area, a functional kitchen, and a bonus 3 seasons room. The primary bedroom includes a primary bathroom, while the additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Recent care and upkeep are evident throughout making this home move-in ready. With a practical layout and inviting atmosphere, this property is a great opportunity for comfortable living.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Move-in ready
- Primary bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Meadowbrook association; Monthly association fee of $594 covering common area maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Not new / not a model; Single-story (living area entirely above grade)
- Construction: Built in 1985; No foundation
- Exterior features: Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Freezer; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main floor; All bedrooms on the main floor
- Bathrooms: Two total bathrooms (one full, one three-quarter); Both main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No fireplaces; Enclosed porch
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Millard Public Schools (urban): math 58% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #13 of 111 in NE (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Bryan Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #346 of 502 statewide, top 74%, 381 students, 57% FRL); Harry Andersen Middle School (math 43% / reading 49%, grade D+, #60 of 128 statewide, top 48%, 911 students, 31% FRL); Millard South High School (math 51% / reading 54%, grade C-, #97 of 261 statewide, top 37%, 2,607 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 13% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 59% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Millard Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.55%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $58,368
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15115 Howe Plz #108 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 1mo | $52,000 | $43 | 94 |
| 3951 South 151 Plz #86 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 8mo | $35,000 | $29 | 91 |
| 15058 Howe Plz | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 7mo | $58,500 | $48 | 89 |
| 15107 Atlas Plz #15 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+3%) | 13mo | $60,000 | $48 | 78 |
| 15016 Atlas Plz #228 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (-10%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $55 | 72 |
| 15012 Atlas Plz #229 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-5%) | 22mo | $67,000 | $58 | 67 |
| 15170 D Plz | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-14%) | 7mo | $96,000 | $92 | 62 |
| 15024 D Plaza Lot 60 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-13%) | 15mo | $38,500 | $36 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-8,527
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-3,375
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68144
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,686 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$594
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $116
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $179 | -5% $147 | +0% $116 | +5% $85 | +10% $54 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-17 | -5% $50 | +0% $116 | +5% $183 | +10% $250 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $162 | -0.5pp $139 | base $116 | +0.5pp $93 | +1.0pp $69 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3820 S 148th Ave Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $2,195 | $2.13 | 4d | 20 | 1.00mi |
| 4865 Marshall Dr Unit 109 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $995 | $1.21 | 11d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 15950 Wright Plz Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1032 | $1,725 | $1.67 | 4d | 13 | 1.08mi |
| 13615 Spring St Omaha, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,050 | $1.37 | 20d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5380 S 156th Ct Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1088 | $1,815 | $1.67 | 4d | 10 | 1.36mi |
| 2222 S 142nd Ct Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 772 | $1,320 | $1.71 | 4d | 20 | 1.39mi |
| 14735 W Plz Omaha, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1469 | $1,680 | $1.14 | 4d | 12 | 1.48mi |
| 14010 Dorcas Plz Omaha, NE | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 720 | $1,771 | $2.46 | 4d | 25 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $594 · $7,128/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$89,900 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,228
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,618
- − Management
- −$1,618
- − HOA
- −$7,128
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $414
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$99
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,297/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Millard Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3173740
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,146
- Composite
- 53.23/100
- National rank
- #1500
- State rank
- #13 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,732
- Household income
- $83,576
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1113.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, United Kingdom, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -228.19%
- Current HPI
- 249.064
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $89,900 GPRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…