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Estimated Payments From 1 0 | 59165 Faye 316
C- Composite 50.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$27,900

Estimated Payments From 1 0 | 59165 Faye 316 · New Haven, MI 48048
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,088 sqft · Manufactured · 85 Days on market
Built 2026 $26/sqft · 17% below area Est $34k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful Landscaping | 1997 Fairmont

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 84 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $28k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $865 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $28k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 43.5% vs local median 4.1% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#650 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • New Haven Community Schools (suburban): math 25% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #305 of 540 in MI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $193 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $837 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $26,226 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.80%
Cap rate
43.50%
Cash-on-cash
132.87%
DSCR
6.91
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$33,654
List price
$27,900
Delta
-17.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
59491 Julie Ln 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,078 (-1%) 9mo $37,500 $35 76
33006 Primrose Ct 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,250 (+15%) 13mo $86,000 $69 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.48×
Total profit
$50,591
Equity at exit
$4,160
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.73×
Total profit
$115,076
Equity at exit
$2,412

Cash invested: $7,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48048

Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,339 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$146
Tax est. 1.5%
$35 /mo · $418/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$865

Break-even live

Break-even rent $244
Max offer price $27,900
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $884 -5% $875 +0% $865 +5% $855 +10% $846
Rent -10% $759 -5% $812 +0% $865 +5% $918 +10% $971
Rate -1.0pp $879 -0.5pp $872 base $865 +0.5pp $858 +1.0pp $850

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,975
Closing costs
$837
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
32631 Cary Ln N New Haven, MI 4.0 2.0 1056 $1,339 $1.27 0d 1 0.21mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $27,900 Active 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $27,900 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $27,900 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $27,900 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $27,900 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-04-16
    status Active 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    Beautiful Landscaping | 1997 Fairmont

  7. 2026-04-16
    historical 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    Beautiful Landscaping | 1997 Fairmont

  8. 2026-04-08
    status Active 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    Beautiful Landscaping | 1997 Fairmont

  9. 2026-04-08
    historical 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    Beautiful Landscaping | 1997 Fairmont

  10. 2026-03-10
    listed $27,900 Active 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    Beautiful Landscaping | 1997 Fairmont

  11. 2008-01-11
    historical
  12. 2007-11-20
    listed $11,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,068
− Mortgage interest
−$1,563
− Property taxes
−$418
− Insurance
−$140
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,285
− Management
−$1,285
− Depreciation
−$812
Taxable income
$10,565
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,536
After-tax cash flow
$7,844/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Haven Community Schools
NCES district ID
2625230
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$64,247
Composite
29.17/100
National rank
#6575
State rank
#305 of 540 in MI

Livability — New Haven

Score
57/100
State rank
#650
US rank
#22110

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Haven, MI
City population
11,065
Population (ZIP)
11,065

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Italian 7% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -147.74%
Current HPI
242.3675
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+134.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-16 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-08 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-04-08 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $27,900 Zillow
  • 2008-01-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-11-20 Listed $11,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…