Multi-family
243 Florida Ave · Shenandoah Heights, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Just the property you have been looking for!!! this move in ready is waiting for a new owner, lots of updates throughout the property, 3 car garage, large yard, and lots more! Dont wait to see this property!
Key facts
- Lots of updates
- Above ground pool
- Large yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $140k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#996 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Shenandoah Valley SD (town): math 20% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #454 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $150k implies a 369% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.77%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,245
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -17.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212 E Lloyd St | 0.64mi | 3/— | 1,200 (-2%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $25 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $35,464
- Equity at exit
- $74,690
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $103,206
- Equity at exit
- $121,086
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17976
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,081/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $167
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 W Arlington St Shenandoah, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Just the property you have been looking for!!! this move in ready is waiting for a new owner, lots of updates throughout the property, 3 car garage, large yard, and lots more! Dont wait to see this property!
-
2026-05-12price $150,000 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Just the property you have been looking for!!! this move in ready is waiting for a new owner, lots of updates throughout the property, 3 car garage, large yard, and lots more! Dont wait to see this property!
-
2026-04-10price $155,000 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Just the property you have been looking for!!! this move in ready is waiting for a new owner, lots of updates throughout the property, 3 car garage, large yard, and lots more! Dont wait to see this property!
-
2026-03-18$160,000 Active 207-char remark
Show marketing remark (207 chars)
Just the property you have been looking for!!! this move in ready is waiting for a new owner, lots of updates throughout the property, 3 car garage, large yard, and lots more! Dont wait to see this property!
-
2016-01-22historical
-
2014-11-14soldstatus $32,000
-
2014-08-15historical
-
2014-04-18$42,500
-
2014-03-31historical
-
2013-09-24$45,000
-
2013-08-18$42,500
-
2011-04-21soldstatus $21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,081 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,725 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- +$645/yr (+$54/mo · 59.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,081
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$485
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$116
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,118/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shenandoah Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221490
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,968
- Composite
- 23.58/100
- National rank
- #7851
- State rank
- #454 of 539 in PA
Livability — Shenandoah Heights
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #996
- US rank
- #10978
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shenandoah Heights, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,988
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 30% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.84%
- Current HPI
- 308.8036
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+614.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $150,000 LCAR
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $155,000 LCAR
- 2026-03-18 Listed $160,000 LCAR
- 2016-01-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 2014-08-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-04-18 Listed $42,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-03-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-09-24 Listed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-08-18 Listed $42,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,081 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…