4021 Mulberry Rd · Merriam Woods, MO 65740

$150,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,150 sqft · Other · 3 Days on market

Built 2016 3,920 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.4/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.5/10.0
• 1% rule +5.4/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautiful 3 bedroom, 2 bath residence that is truly move in ready. From the moment you arrive, you'll be drawn to the inviting front porch, the perfect spot to enjoy your morning coffee or relax at the end of the day. Inside, you'll find a spotless interior with updated finishes and a functional layout designed for comfortable living. Recently upgraded with fresh paint and new luxury vinyl flooring, this home offers a clean, modern feel throughout. The spacious living, dining, and kitchen areas create a warm and welcoming atmosphere, while the well maintained bedrooms and bathrooms provide plenty of space for family and guests. Combining charm, comfort, and convenience,

Key facts

• Updated finishes
• Front porch
• 3,920 sq ft lot

Tags

• FRONT PORCH
• UPDATED FINISHES
• LUXURY VINYL FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 100 (0.09 acre)

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway
• Security: Smoke detector(s)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property
• Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Covered front porch; Deck; Wooded lot with few trees; Level terrain; County road frontage

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven; Free-standing electric oven; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: Bedrooms include walk-in closet(s)
• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: High-speed internet; Tile countertops; Walk-in closet(s); Insulated, double-pane windows; Smoke detector(s)
• Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#444 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Branson R-IV (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #44 of 324 in MO (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Branson Jr. High (math 48% / reading 49%, grade C-, #81 of 391 statewide, top 21%, 724 students, 51% FRL); Branson High (math 42% / reading 56%, grade D, #145 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 1,423 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 331 units permitted in Taney County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Taney County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.85%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.56%
• DSCR: 1.25
• GRM: 8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 28.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.24×
• Total profit: $94,122
• Equity at exit: $135,132

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.7%
• Equity multiple: 7.37×
• Total profit: $267,465
• Equity at exit: $291,417

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 65740

• Home prices YoY: 11.6%
• Active inventory: 99
• Price-to-rent: 8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,559 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$327
• Net cashflow: $195

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312

Max offer price $150,000

Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $298	-5% $247	+0% $195	+5% $143	+10% $91
Rent	-10% $72	-5% $133	+0% $195	+5% $256	+10% $318
Rate	-1.0pp $270	-0.5pp $233	base $195	+0.5pp $156	+1.0pp $116

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-21
   statusdays on market $150,000 Pending 3 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   remarks 699-char remark
4. 2026-06-17
   listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,704
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$2,250
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,496
• − Management: −$1,496
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable loss: −$54
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$13
• After-tax cash flow: $2,350/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Branson R-IV
• NCES district ID: 2905760
• Math proficiency: 48% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $41,473
• Composite: 41.96/100
• National rank: #3347
• State rank: #44 of 324 in MO

Livability — Merriam Woods

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #444
• US rank: #18151

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Merriam Woods, MO
• City population: 3,495
• Population (ZIP): 3,495

Population outlook (Taney County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 59,017 people
• By 2030: 61,235 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 65,225 · +10.5%
• By 2050: 68,842 · +16.6%
• By 2075: 77,705 · +31.7%
• By 2100: 82,002 · +38.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Taney

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+59.3) · D 19.9% · R 79.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -37.2pp · 2024: -59.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+59.3 2020: R+57.7 2016: R+59.3 2012: R+47.4 2008: R+37.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 30.18%
• Current HPI: 291.5553
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

+30.4% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $150,000 SOMO
• 2022-09-28 Listed $115,000 SOMO
• 1993-02-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $228 · -10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.