758 Brady Ave #411 · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.9/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Available - Available - Available Welcome to 758 Brady Ave – A Classic Tudor-style Apartment for sale is nestled in the historic Pelham Parkway area of the Bronx. This unique and renovated apartment offers a 2-Bedroom + an additional Home Office Space, Newly Installed Appliances, Kitchen & Bath. Situated in a well-maintained elevator building, and welcoming lobby, it also boast on-site laundry facilities, a professional management company, and responsive board. A pet-friendly building, this apartment is perfect anyone seeking comfort and tranquility. It is conveniently located near major Public Transportation while boasting neighborhood amenities like shops, parks, restaurants,
Key facts
- Tudor style
- Renovated apartment
- Built 1932
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $987 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $183k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.4%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,956/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 7650% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.70%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,250
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2102 Holland Ave Unit 6A | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 750 (0%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $207 | 85 |
| 762 Brady Ave #221 | 0.04mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 800 (+7%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $238 | 82 |
| 2104 Holland Ave Unit 4H | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 800 (+7%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $231 | 78 |
| 2102 Holland Ave Unit 1E | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 700 (-7%) | 2mo | $153,000 | $219 | 78 |
| 2165 Matthews Ave Unit 1G | 0.26mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 750 (0%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $187 | 77 |
| 2190 Boston Rd Unit 3F | 0.35mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 750 (0%) | 5mo | $200,000 | $267 | 74 |
| 760 Brady Ave #117 | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+13%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $229 | 74 |
| 2090 Barnes Ave Unit 6A | 0.11mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 800 (+7%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $231 | 74 |
| 2165 Matthews Ave Unit 2G | 0.26mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 800 (+7%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $188 | 66 |
| 2080 Barnes Ave Unit 3H | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 850 (+13%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $188 | 65 |
| 601 Pelham Pkwy N #514 | 0.47mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 795 (+6%) | 7mo | $239,000 | $301 | 58 |
| 610 Waring Ave Unit 2H | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 857 (+14%) | 0mo | $358,000 | $418 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $46,946
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.54×
- Total profit
- $193,119
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10462
- Home prices YoY
- -10.4%
- Rents YoY
- 9.4%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,956 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$621
- Net cashflow
- $987
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1250 Pelham Pkwy S Unit B Bronx, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,850 | $3.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2311 Crotona Ave Apt 2 Bronx, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $3,350 | $3.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2311 Crotona Ave Apt 1 Bronx, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $3,350 | $3.53 | 20d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-02-19status Pending
-
2026-02-12price $195,000
-
2026-02-12status Active
-
2025-10-30status Pending
-
2025-10-21price $197,000
-
2025-10-11status Active
-
2025-10-11price $200,000
-
2025-09-23status Pending
-
2025-09-18price $203,000
-
2025-09-14price $205,000
-
2025-09-02price $207,000
-
2025-08-30price $210,000
-
2025-08-28price $207,000
-
2025-08-26price $210,000
-
2025-08-25price $213,000
-
2025-08-18$217,000 Active
-
2024-11-01historical $2,200
-
2024-10-17$2,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,466
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,925
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,837
- − Management
- −$2,837
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $9,296
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,231
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,616/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,320
- Household income
- $60,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7650.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% Black 22% Asian 18% White 10% Two or more races 9% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 15%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 36% Other Indo-European 16% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.59%
- Current HPI
- 356.326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.43%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+8763.6% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-19 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-30 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $197,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-11 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-11 Price Changed $200,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-23 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-18 Price Changed $203,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-14 Price Changed $205,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $207,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-30 Price Changed $210,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $207,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-26 Price Changed $210,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-25 Price Changed $213,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-18 Listed $217,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-01 Rental Removed $2,200 ONEKEY
- 2024-10-17 Listed for Rent $2,200 ONEKEY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…