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501 Sfc 342
B- Composite 66.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.6/10.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$85,000

501 Sfc 342 · Forrest City, AR 72335
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Manufactured public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1997

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

FOR SALE! ??501 CR-342 Forrest City, AR 72335 ??1248 Sq Ft ??0.93 acres +/- ???3 bed ??2 bath ??Carport and shed ??Large back deck KITCHEN APPLIANCES INCLUDED! $87,500.00 Call or text 870-317-2844 for more info or to schedule a showing!

Key facts

  • Large back deck
  • Carport and shed
  • Built 1997

Tags

LARGE BACK DECKKITCHEN APPLIANCES INCLUDEDCARPORT AND SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#297 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Forrest City School District (town): math 12% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #230 of 238 in AR (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in St. Francis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Francis County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.15%
Cash-on-cash
17.36%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$8,174
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$35,428
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72335

Home prices YoY
-4.9%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,179 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $403 -5% $374 +0% $344 +5% $315 +10% $286
Rent -10% $251 -5% $298 +0% $344 +5% $391 +10% $437
Rate -1.0pp $387 -0.5pp $366 base $344 +0.5pp $322 +1.0pp $300

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-05-26
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,153
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,275
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,132
− Management
−$1,132
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$2,954
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$709
After-tax cash flow
$3,423/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Forrest City School District
NCES district ID
0506270
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$31,153
Composite
9.07/100
National rank
#9871
State rank
#230 of 238 in AR

Livability — Forrest City

Score
59/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#20349

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
16,514

Population outlook (St. Francis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,387 people
By 2030
23,269 · -4.6%
By 2040
21,122 · -13.4%
By 2050
19,281 · -20.9%
By 2075
15,222 · -37.6%
By 2100
11,449 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Francis

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 48.6% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.8pp toward R · 2008: 16.5pp · 2024: 0.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.7 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+11.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+16.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -6.86%
Current HPI
133.8115
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $85,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $54 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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