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813 Churchill Dr
C+ Composite 61.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

813 Churchill Dr · Charleston, WV 25314
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,246 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1951 10,454 sqft lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

23 Hour Listing.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 22 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pad
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Two-story single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Composition/shingle roof; Full basement
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.8% in Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in WV, #524 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Overbrook Elementary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #23 of 377 statewide, top 7%, 349 students, 0% FRL); John Adams Middle School (math 45% / reading 63%, grade B-, #2 of 109 statewide, top 1%, 705 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 56% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+21 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Kanawha County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $123,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.93%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$291,980
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1440 Wilkie Dr 0.14mi 4/2.5 2,292 (+2%) 11mo $325,000 $142 79
508 Spotswood Rd 0.23mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,300 (+2%) 6mo $300,000 $130 71
820 Gordon Dr 0.38mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,356 (+5%) 4mo $275,000 $117 59
619 Churchill Dr 0.27mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,000 (-11%) 3mo $203,000 $102 58
323 Mckinley Ave 0.60mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,300 (+2%) 9mo $253,000 $110 54
705 Churchill Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,576 (+15%) 11mo $180,000 $70 50
606 Fort Hill Dr 0.71mi 4/2.5 2,372 (+6%) 7mo $420,000 $177 50
795 Echo Rd 0.72mi 4/3.0 2,064 (-8%) 2mo $235,000 $114 47
409 Sheridan Cir 0.53mi 4/3.0 2,472 (+10%) 11mo $340,000 $138 46
109 Hillview Dr 0.65mi 4/3.0 2,057 (-8%) 10mo $306,000 $149 44
201 Sheridan Cir 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,000 (-11%) 10mo $315,500 $158 39
947 Gordon Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,933 (-14%) 2mo $242,900 $126 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$44
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$26,155
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25314

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,437 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,301/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,033
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  17. 2026-05-27
    listed $135,000 Active
  18. 2024-12-19
    soldstatus $120,000 Closed 16-char remark
    Show marketing remark (16 chars)

    23 Hour Listing.

  19. 2024-12-05
    listed $149,000 Active 16-char remark
    Show marketing remark (16 chars)

    23 Hour Listing.

  20. 2006-04-25
    soldstatus $145,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,301 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,301 · $108/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,238
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,301
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,379
− Management
−$1,379
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$1,916
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$460
After-tax cash flow
$3,366/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — Charleston

Score
85/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#524

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Charleston, WV
City population
33,502
Population (ZIP)
15,742

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 5% Asian 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.67%
Current HPI
164.9358
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-6.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $135,000 KVBOR
  • 2024-12-19 Sold (MLS) $120,000 KVBOR
  • 2024-12-05 Listed $149,000 KVBOR
  • 2006-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,301 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…