6314 Crestville St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$132,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming single-story home in Houston’s established Southcrest neighborhood featuring approximately 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, and a spacious lot. Built in 1949, this property offers classic character with convenient access to Downtown Houston, the Texas Medical Center, major highways, shopping, schools, and nearby parks. Situated in a growing area with ongoing redevelopment and new investment nearby.
Key facts
- Convenient access
- Spacious lot
- Downtown houston
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Seller disclosure available
- Financial info: Lease not considered
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: No on-site parking
- Security: No security features provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story (entry level not specified); Built in 1949
- Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation; Construction materials: Unknown
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen details provided
- Bedrooms: No bedroom count provided
- Flooring: No flooring information provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: 3 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $132k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Sterling H S (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,421 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 71% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,546/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $913 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.24%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $169,449
- List price
- $132,000
- Delta
- -22.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5942 Southridge St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,039 (-9%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $101 | 71 |
| 6111 Cavanaugh St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,136 (-1%) | 8mo | $144,900 | $128 | 61 |
| 5905 Southmont St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,286 (+12%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $132 | 60 |
| 5950 Southville St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,165 (+2%) | 14mo | $86,000 | $74 | 58 |
| 6018 Beekman Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,202 (+5%) | 9mo | $242,000 | $201 | 56 |
| 6229 Cavalier St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+5%) | 9mo | $255,000 | $213 | 53 |
| 6527 Beekman Rd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,182 (+3%) | 13mo | $115,000 | $97 | 52 |
| 5303 Dewberry St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-8%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $124 | 50 |
| 5342 Dewberry St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+9%) | 13mo | $224,000 | $179 | 48 |
| 5234 Browncroft St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,096 (-4%) | 12mo | $199,800 | $182 | 47 |
| 5823 Southgood St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+13%) | 1mo | $217,900 | $168 | 39 |
| 6818 Kassarine Pass | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,233 (+8%) | 13mo | $215,000 | $174 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,513
- Equity at exit
- $19,682
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $31,995
- Equity at exit
- $11,413
Cash invested: $36,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77033
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,546 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$692
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,272/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $293 | -5% $256 | +0% $218 | +5% $181 | +10% $143 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $96 | -5% $157 | +0% $218 | +5% $279 | +10% $340 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $285 | -0.5pp $252 | base $218 | +0.5pp $184 | +1.0pp $149 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,000
- Closing costs
- $3,960
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5835 Southmont St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2162 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,190 | $0.90 | 6d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 5571 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,214 | $0.92 | 11d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 422 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,190 | $0.90 | 8d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2187 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,220 | $0.92 | 0d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,210 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5537 Bataan Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5520 Griggs Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,241 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5520 Griggs Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,241 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,225 | $0.93 | 12d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,214 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5610 Royal Palms St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5954 Doolittle Blvd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $1,575 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5123 Dewberry St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1391 | $2,400 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5154 Griggs Rd Unit CAVE Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,420 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5116 Griggs Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,316 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3810 Weslow St Unit B Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,149 | $1.24 | 8d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3810 Weslow St Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,449 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5918 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5924 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5924 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 6528 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 0d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6528 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4942 Bataan Rd Unit 77033 Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6532 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 19d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5818 Glenhurst Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5101 Martin Luther King Blvd Unit MO54 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,210 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5942 Ridgeway Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,250 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4977 Martin Luther King Blvd Houston, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1396 | $870 | $0.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $132,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $132,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $132,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $132,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $132,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $132,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $132,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $132,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $132,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $132,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $132,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$132,000 Active 403-char remark
-
2025-09-25historical $1,395
-
2025-09-18$1,395
-
2025-09-17historical $1,395
-
2025-08-28price $1,395
-
2025-07-20$1,495
-
2024-05-15historical $1,325
-
2024-05-03$1,325
-
2020-03-02soldstatus
-
2008-01-17soldstatus
-
2007-03-13soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,272 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,416 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- +$144/yr (+$12/mo · 6.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,549
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,394
- − Property taxes
- −$2,272
- − Insurance
- −$1,458
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,484
- − Management
- −$1,484
- − Depreciation
- −$3,840
- Taxable income
- $618
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$148
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,469/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,154
- Household income
- $38,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1728.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.49%
- Current HPI
- 212.6472
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+9862.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $132,000 HARMLS
- 2025-09-25 Rental Removed $1,395 HARMLS
- 2025-09-18 Listed for Rent $1,395 HARMLS
- 2025-09-17 Rental Removed $1,395 HARMLS
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $1,395 HARMLS
- 2025-07-20 Listed for Rent $1,495 HARMLS
- 2024-05-15 Rental Removed $1,325 HARMLS
- 2024-05-03 Listed for Rent $1,325 HARMLS
- 2020-03-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-01-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-03-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,272 · -11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…