3731 Ridge Rd · Duson, LA 70578

$185,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · Manufactured · 9 Days on market

Manufactured home Built 2004

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +7.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +1.7/10.0
• 1% rule +1.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Discover your own private country retreat in the Scott/Rayne area. This beautiful 3+ acre property offers the perfect blend of peace, privacy, and outdoor luxury. The property features a 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom mobile home, accessed by a long private driveway that creates a truly secluded feel from the moment you arrive. Designed for both everyday living and entertaining, this property includes an impressive 30x40 shop with 2 regular doors, 2 roll-up doors, and 30x40 lean-tos on both sides with concrete flooring. You & acirc; & euro; & trade; ll also love the outdoor kitchen, large covered parking area, charming small red barn, and a stunning 1-acre pond that adds the perfect fini

Key facts

• Small red barn
• 3 acre property
• 30x40 shop

Tags

• 3 ACRE PROPERTY
• LONG PRIVATE DRIVEWAY
• 30X40 SHOP
• OUTDOOR KITCHEN
• LARGE COVERED PARKING AREA
• SMALL RED BARN

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-220 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (21.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (37.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $115k (37.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#134 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: J. Wallace James Elementary School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #147 of 646 statewide, top 23%, 939 students, 64% FRL); Judice Middle School (math 26% / reading 36%, grade F, #110 of 218 statewide, top 51%, 463 students, 61% FRL); Acadiana High School (math 31% / reading 29%, grade F, #125 of 265 statewide, top 47%, 1,813 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $115,109 (37.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.62% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.86%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.11%
• DSCR: 0.77
• GRM: 13.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -25.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.15×
• Total profit: $-44,088
• Equity at exit: $27,584

10-year hold

• IRR: -21.2%
• Equity multiple: -0.10×
• Total profit: $-56,766
• Equity at exit: $15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 70578

• Active inventory: 97
• Price-to-rent: 13.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,151 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$970
• Tax from tax record: −$83 /mo · $990/yr
• Insurance: −$77
• HOA: −$0
• Lot rent leased land?: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$242
• Net cashflow: $-220

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,430

Max offer price $146,069

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-116	-5% $-168	+0% $-220	+5% $-273	+10% $-325
Rent	-10% $-311	-5% $-266	+0% $-220	+5% $-175	+10% $-129
Rate	-1.0pp $-127	-0.5pp $-173	base $-220	+0.5pp $-268	+1.0pp $-317

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $46,250
• Closing costs: $5,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $185,000 Active 9 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $185,000 Active 6 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $185,000 Active 5 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $185,000 Active 4 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $185,000 Active 3 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   remarks 687-char remark
7. 2026-06-13
   listed $185,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $990 · $83/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,017 · $85/mo
• Expected delta: +$27/yr (+$2/mo · 2.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 47% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,813
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,363
• − Property taxes: −$990
• − Insurance: −$925
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,105
• − Management: −$1,105
• − Depreciation: −$5,382
• Taxable loss: −$6,057
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,454
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,191/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lafayette Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200870
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -32.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -24.00%
• Median HH income: $50,238
• Composite: 36.15/100
• National rank: #4741
• State rank: #19 of 98 in LA

Livability — Duson

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #134
• US rank: #12322

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 16,279

Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 280,930 people
• By 2030: 301,092 · +7.2%
• By 2040: 339,456 · +20.8%
• By 2050: 375,156 · +33.5%
• By 2075: 451,672 · +60.8%
• By 2100: 497,203 · +77.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 71% Black 21% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 15%
• Foreign-born: 0%
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -77.19%
• Current HPI: 118.9619
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

+105.8% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-13 Listed $185,000 FSBO.com
• 2009-09-28 Listed $110,000 AcadianaMLS
• 2008-05-01 Listed $89,900 AcadianaMLS
• 2007-10-26 Listed $89,900 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $990 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.