626 Helen St · Kilgore, TX 75662

$159,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1962 Est $203k · 21% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +16.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +4.9/10.0
• Rent growth +4.7/5.0
• 1% rule +4.0/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This currently vacant home offers a fantastic opportunity for homeowners and investors alike. It features a practical layout for a single family home or with income potential. Heated laundry, central heat, two car carport. Located on a quiet neighborhood street and on a large lot, this home is priced to sell and won& apos; t last long. Schedule a showing and see the potential for yourself.

Key facts

• Central heat
• Heated laundry
• Large lot

Tags

• HEATED LAUNDRY
• CENTRAL HEAT
• TWO CAR CARPORT
• LARGE LOT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($141/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (10.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $144k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.2% in Kilgore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#257 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
• Kilgore ISD (town): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #498 of 826 in TX (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Kilgore Pri (664 students, 82% FRL); Kilgore Middle (math 28% / reading 37%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 885 students, 75% FRL); Kilgore H S (math 39% / reading 45%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 1,164 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 55% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 193 units permitted in Gregg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $143,893 (10.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.90% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.88%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.10%
• DSCR: 1.09
• GRM: 9.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $203,040
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1215 Andrews St	0.19mi	3/2.0	1,488 (+3%)	2mo	$210,000	$141	84
708 Richards St	0.07mi	3/2.0	1,575 (+9%)	19mo	$55,000	$35	66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -10.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.61×
• Total profit: $-17,526
• Equity at exit: $23,842

10-year hold

• IRR: 5.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.46×
• Total profit: $20,449
• Equity at exit: $13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75662

• Home prices YoY: -16.9%
• Rents YoY: 8.9%
• Active inventory: 289
• Price-to-rent: 9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,439 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax from tax record: −$153 /mo · $1,841/yr
• Insurance: −$67
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$302
• Net cashflow: $12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,424

Max offer price $159,900

Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $102	-5% $57	+0% $12	+5% $-34	+10% $-79
Rent	-10% $-102	-5% $-45	+0% $12	+5% $69	+10% $125
Rate	-1.0pp $92	-0.5pp $52	base $12	+0.5pp $-30	+1.0pp $-72

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $39,975
• Closing costs: $4,797
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
620 Riverside Dr Kilgore, TX	3.0	2.0	1376	$1,495	$1.09	15d	1	0.98mi
1707 Miles Blvd Kilgore, TX	3.0	2.0	1090	$1,445	$1.33	15d	1	1.03mi
633 Harris St Kilgore, TX	2.0	2.0	1500	$1,400	$0.93	15d	1	1.05mi
2927 Greenhills Dr Unit 2927 Kilgore, TX	2.0	2.0	1106	$1,275	$1.15	45d	1	1.28mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-22
   days on market $159,900 Active 6 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $159,900 Active 4 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $159,900 Active 3 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $159,900 Active 2 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   remarks 392-char remark
6. 2026-06-16
   listed $159,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,841 · $153/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,926 · $244/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,085/yr (+$90/mo · 58.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,267
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,957
• − Property taxes: −$1,841
• − Insurance: −$1,597
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,381
• − Management: −$1,381
• − Depreciation: −$4,652
• Taxable loss: −$2,542
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$610
• After-tax cash flow: $751/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Kilgore ISD
• NCES district ID: 4825620
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,682
• Composite: 30.72/100
• National rank: #6168
• State rank: #498 of 826 in TX

Livability — Kilgore

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #257
• US rank: #6044

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Kilgore, TX
• County: Gregg County · 128,826 people
• City population: 25,034
• Metro: Longview, TX
• Population (ZIP): 25,034
• Household income: $70,096
• Rent vs Own: 21.9% rent · 78.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 486.0

Population outlook (Gregg County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 125,947 people
• By 2030: 126,542 · +0.5%
• By 2040: 127,311 · +1.1%
• By 2050: 127,289 · +1.1%
• By 2075: 124,954 · -0.8%
• By 2100: 113,737 · -9.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 22% Black 11%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 21%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Gregg

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.5% · R 70.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -42.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+36.9 2016: R+41.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+37.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -50.09%
• Current HPI: 247.1337
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.89%
• Metro: Longview, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-16 Listed $159,900 FSBO.com
• 2024-03-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1991-12-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,841 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.