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4939 Reidland Rd
B- Composite 69.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

4939 Reidland Rd · Reidland, KY 42003
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,174 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1961 6,970 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4939 Reidland Road Paducah. Located on a triangular shaped lot at the intersection of Reidland Rd and Martin Rd. Home features 2-3 bedrooms 1 bath, open living, dining & kitchen area. Equal Housing Opportunity. Sold in its current as is where is condition. HUD#201-519082.

Key facts

  • Rental addition
  • Blank canvas
  • Kitchen empty

Tags

RENOVATION PROJECTRENTAL ADDITIONBLANK CANVASHEAVY LIFTING OF DEMOLITIONINTERIOR CLEARED OUTKITCHEN EMPTY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Single story
  • Construction: Block and vinyl siding construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Level, corner lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Storm windows

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.0% vs local median 3.8% in Reidland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#162 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Mccracken County (town): math 41% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 165 in KY (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Reidland Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #434 of 676 statewide, top 69%, 587 students, 70% FRL); Reidland Middle School (math 36% / reading 47%, grade F, #51 of 217 statewide, top 24%, 330 students, 64% FRL); Mccracken County High School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #58 of 254 statewide, top 27%, 1,999 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 41% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 268 active listings in the ZIP; 187 units permitted in McCracken County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McCracken County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $35k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,475 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.22%
Cap rate
28.02%
Cash-on-cash
77.60%
DSCR
4.45
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$76,310
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4939 Reidland Rd 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,174 (0%) 0mo $28,000 $24 100
5225 Reidland Rd 0.54mi 2/1.0 1,178 (+0%) 8mo $76,000 $65 68
5045 I.c. Ave 0.32mi 2/1.0 1,000 (-15%) 9mo $55,000 $55 53
205 Myrna Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,342 (+14%) 24mo $125,000 $93 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
77.6%
Equity multiple
4.54×
Total profit
$34,717
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
81.2%
Equity multiple
9.40×
Total profit
$82,310
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42003

Home prices YoY
-19.8%
Active inventory
268
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,127 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $699/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$634

Break-even live

Break-even rent $325
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $35,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $35,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $35,000 Active 8 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $35,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-28
    listed $35,000 Active
  16. 2020-03-20
    soldstatus $19,000 278-char remark
    Show marketing remark (278 chars)

    4939 Reidland Road Paducah. Located on a triangular shaped lot at the intersection of Reidland Rd and Martin Rd. Home features 2-3 bedrooms 1 bath, open living, dining & kitchen area. Equal Housing Opportunity. Sold in its current as is where is condition. HUD#201-519082.

  17. 2019-11-14
    listed $20,000 278-char remark
    Show marketing remark (278 chars)

    4939 Reidland Road Paducah. Located on a triangular shaped lot at the intersection of Reidland Rd and Martin Rd. Home features 2-3 bedrooms 1 bath, open living, dining & kitchen area. Equal Housing Opportunity. Sold in its current as is where is condition. HUD#201-519082.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$699 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$699 · $58/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,521
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$699
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,082
− Management
−$1,082
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$7,505
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,801
After-tax cash flow
$5,804/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mccracken County
NCES district ID
2103960
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$49,976
Composite
39.84/100
National rank
#3871
State rank
#16 of 165 in KY

Livability — Reidland

Score
70/100
State rank
#162
US rank
#8099

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Reidland, KY
Population (ZIP)
29,384

Population outlook (McCracken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
64,237 people
By 2030
63,468 · -1.2%
By 2040
61,221 · -4.7%
By 2050
58,432 · -9.0%
By 2075
52,668 · -18.0%
By 2100
44,517 · -30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McCracken

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.9% · R 66.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.9 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+32.5 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.31%
Current HPI
236.3013
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+75.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $35,000 WKRMLS
  • 2020-03-20 Sold (MLS) $19,000 WKRMLS
  • 2019-11-14 Listed $20,000 WKRMLS

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $699 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…