4903 Lake Ridge Rd Unit GE · Orlando, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo offering modern finishes and true move-in-ready convenience. This stunning unit has been completely updated with a brand-new roof, new A/C system, new water heater, new cabinets, and brand-new appliances. The kitchen features elegant granite countertops and contemporary finishes throughout the home. Spacious layout with updated bathrooms, fresh upgrades, and low-maintenance living make this property perfect for homeowners or investors alike. Conveniently located and ready for immediate occupancy — just bring your furniture and move in!
Key facts
- New a/c system
- New water heater
- New cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total acreage less than 1/4 acre; Paved road access
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $353 (includes common area taxes and insurance); Association required — Acorn Village Management Inc.; Pets allowed with breed restrictions; Lease restrictions apply
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Residential condominium; 2 total stories; Faces west
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built as part of a multi-story building
- Exterior features: Balcony; Exterior lighting; Sidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-875/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (7.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $139k (7.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.0% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 251 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.08%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-33,573
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -38.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.27×
- Total profit
- $-53,097
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32808
- Home prices YoY
- -22.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 251
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,666 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$353
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $-73
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $31 | -5% $-21 | +0% $-73 | +5% $-125 | +10% $-176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-204 | -5% $-139 | +0% $-73 | +5% $-7 | +10% $59 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3 | -0.5pp $-35 | base $-73 | +0.5pp $-112 | +1.0pp $-151 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4907 Lake Ridge Rd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 947 | $1,475 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4758 Muir Village Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $2,063 | $1.88 | 15d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 4793 N Pine Hills Rd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,554 | $1.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4793 N Pine Hills Rd Orlando, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,449 | $1.52 | 17d | 56 | 0.13mi |
| 4793 N Pine Hills Rd Unit 41-101 Pine Hills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1019 | $1,649 | $1.62 | 8d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4990 North Ln Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 432 | $1,230 | $2.85 | 21d | 5 | 0.38mi |
| 4501 Landing Dr Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 787 | $1,417 | $1.80 | 3d | 18 | 0.58mi |
| 4901 Bottlebrush Ln Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $1,775 | $2.13 | 2d | 17 | 0.59mi |
| 5249 Champagne Cir Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,795 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5300 Cinderlane Pkwy Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 824 | $1,880 | $2.28 | 3d | 2 | 1.08mi |
| 3285 Split Willow Dr Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,400 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5175 Cinderlane Pkwy Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 751 | $1,565 | $2.08 | 3d | 27 | 1.10mi |
| 5234 Journal Ave Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,600 | $2.22 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5536 Cinderlane Pkwy Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1077 | $1,699 | $1.58 | 2d | 7 | 1.14mi |
| 4358 South Lake Orlando Pkwy Unit 3-3 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,800 | $1.65 | 8d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3043 Willow Bend Blvd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3071 Willow Bend Blvd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,525 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2920 Eastern Willow Ave Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 868 | $1,500 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4705 Almond Willow Dr Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,600 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5200 N Orange Blossom Trl Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $1,108 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $353 · $4,236/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-07$149,900 Active
-
2026-02-28historical
-
2026-01-13price $155,999
-
2025-10-14price $159,900
-
2025-08-26price $179,900
-
2025-08-19status Active
-
2025-08-11historical
-
2025-07-29price $182,900
-
2025-05-28price $183,900
-
2025-02-06$185,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,990
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,599
- − Management
- −$1,599
- − HOA
- −$4,236
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$3,200
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$768
- After-tax cash flow
- $-107/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully remodeled 2-bedroom, 2-bath condo is move-in ready with modern finishes and low-maintenance living.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Orlando
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orlando, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 964,969
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,203
- Household income
- $49,700
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4039.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 20% Lithuanian 1% Scandinavian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 18% Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.15%
- Current HPI
- 376.3801
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.27%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-19.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-28 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $155,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-26 Price Changed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-19 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-11 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-29 Price Changed $182,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $183,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-06 Listed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…