994 Owens St · Alexander City, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 56.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Family home place has had many memories made here. This one needs some TLC but would make a great starter home or rental investment. Being sold AS IS.
Key facts
- 0.4 acre lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 85 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: On waterfront
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning units; Space heater for heating
- Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring; Nine total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $585 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 0.6% in Alexander City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#426 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Alexander City (town): math 18% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #77 of 129 in AL (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 205 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Tallapoosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tallapoosa County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.59%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $254,760
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1140 Elk Dr | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,420 (-8%) | 5mo | $102,900 | $72 | 43 |
| 1233 Elk Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,338 (-13%) | 9mo | $221,000 | $165 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $26,723
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 41.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.91×
- Total profit
- $71,177
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35010
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,223 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$13 /mo · $156/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $585
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $622 | -5% $604 | +0% $585 | +5% $567 | +10% $549 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $489 | -5% $537 | +0% $585 | +5% $634 | +10% $682 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $618 | -0.5pp $602 | base $585 | +0.5pp $568 | +1.0pp $551 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $65,000
-
2026-03-24$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $156 · $13/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $266 · $22/mo
- Expected delta
- +$110/yr (+$9/mo · 70.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 56% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,677
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$156
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,174
- − Management
- −$1,174
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $6,316
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,516
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,508/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alexander City
- NCES district ID
- 0100030
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,482
- Composite
- 23.49/100
- National rank
- #7871
- State rank
- #77 of 129 in AL
Livability — Alexander City
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #426
- US rank
- #23127
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alexander City, AL
- City population
- 19,619
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,619
Population outlook (Tallapoosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,909 people
- By 2030
- 37,413 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 33,935 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 30,467 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 22,716 · -41.6%
- By 2100
- 15,167 · -61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tallapoosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.6) · D 24.9% · R 74.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -49.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.6 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+32.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.88%
- Current HPI
- 170.2791
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-13.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $65,000 LMMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $75,000 LMMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…