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303 W Market St
B Composite 73.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$79,900

303 W Market St · Forest City, IL 61532-0000
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,228 sqft · SingleFamily · 89 Days on market
Built 1899 0.96 ac lot $65/sqft · at area comps Est $83k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you are looking for a property that is setting on a fenced .9 of an acre on the edge of town, you need to take a look at 303 North Market Street in Forest City. While the home needs some TLC, has a lot to offer including an upgraded roof, a furnace that is 6 months old, and replacement windows on the main level. We would ask that option one be selected on any inspections. Selling AS IS.

Key facts

  • Fenced .9 of an acre
  • All appliances stay
  • Upgraded roof

Tags

FENCED .9 OF AN ACREUPGRADED ROOFFURNACE THAT IS 6 MONTHS OLDALL APPLIANCES STAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,219 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Midwest Central CUSD 191 (rural): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #398 of 620 in IL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mason County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
13.87%
Cash-on-cash
27.07%
DSCR
2.20
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$82,916
List price
$79,900
Delta
-3.64%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.0%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$41,745
Equity at exit
$35,926
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
5.63×
Total profit
$103,534
Equity at exit
$55,367

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61532-0000

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,246 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $331/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$505

Break-even live

Break-even rent $607
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $550 -5% $527 +0% $505 +5% $482 +10% $459
Rent -10% $406 -5% $455 +0% $505 +5% $554 +10% $603
Rate -1.0pp $545 -0.5pp $525 base $505 +0.5pp $484 +1.0pp $463

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,900 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 85 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 83 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,900 Active 78 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 72 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 70 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 69 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 68 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
  18. 2026-03-24
    listed $99,900 Active 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    If you are looking for a property that is setting on a fenced .9 of an acre on the edge of town, you need to take a look at 303 North Market Street in Forest City. While the home needs some TLC, has a lot to offer including an upgraded roof, a furnace that is 6 months old, and replacement windows on the main level. We would ask that option one be selected on any inspections. Selling AS IS.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$331 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,072 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$741/yr (+$62/mo · 224.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,955
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$331
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,196
− Management
−$1,196
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$5,032
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,208
After-tax cash flow
$4,849/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Midwest Central CUSD 191
NCES district ID
1743962
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$52,499
Composite
18.97/100
National rank
#8852
State rank
#398 of 620 in IL

Livability — Forest City

Score
56/100
State rank
#1219
US rank
#22940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Forest City, IL

Population outlook (Mason County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,087 people
By 2030
11,283 · -6.7%
By 2040
9,766 · -19.2%
By 2050
8,421 · -30.3%
By 2075
5,785 · -52.1%
By 2100
3,888 · -67.8%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $99,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $331 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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