41036 Evans Rd · Hammond, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Like new mobile home sits on partially cleared property offering privacy and a peaceful setting. Features include a pergola, pool, pond, and storage shed. The property includes satsuma, plum, peach, pecan, and magnolia trees. Flood light installed for added exterior lighting. Located in flood zone x.
Key facts
- Privacy
- Pergola
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (3.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.0% in Hammond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#77 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute D+, schools D.
- Tangipahoa Parish (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #63 of 98 in LA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 526 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,085 units permitted in Tangipahoa Parish in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tangipahoa County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $175k implies a 510% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.14%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $216,030
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -18.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-24,073
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-25,610
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70454
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 526
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,693 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $128
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $249 | -5% $188 | +0% $128 | +5% $68 | +10% $7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-6 | -5% $61 | +0% $128 | +5% $195 | +10% $262 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $216 | -0.5pp $173 | base $128 | +0.5pp $83 | +1.0pp $37 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42318 Andrea Ln Ponchatoula, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $1,800 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $175,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $175,000 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Like new mobile home sits on partially cleared property offering privacy and a peaceful setting. Features include a pergola, pool, pond, and storage shed. The property includes satsuma, plum, peach, pecan, and magnolia trees. Flood light installed for added exterior lighting. Located in flood zone x.
-
2026-04-10price $175,000 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Like new mobile home sits on partially cleared property offering privacy and a peaceful setting. Features include a pergola, pool, pond, and storage shed. The property includes satsuma, plum, peach, pecan, and magnolia trees. Flood light installed for added exterior lighting. Located in flood zone x.
-
2026-03-15price $179,000 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Like new mobile home sits on partially cleared property offering privacy and a peaceful setting. Features include a pergola, pool, pond, and storage shed. The property includes satsuma, plum, peach, pecan, and magnolia trees. Flood light installed for added exterior lighting. Located in flood zone x.
-
2026-03-15price $179,000 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Like new mobile home sits on partially cleared property offering privacy and a peaceful setting. Features include a pergola, pool, pond, and storage shed. The property includes satsuma, plum, peach, pecan, and magnolia trees. Flood light installed for added exterior lighting. Located in flood zone x.
-
2026-02-27$185,000 Active 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Like new mobile home sits on partially cleared property offering privacy and a peaceful setting. Features include a pergola, pool, pond, and storage shed. The property includes satsuma, plum, peach, pecan, and magnolia trees. Flood light installed for added exterior lighting. Located in flood zone x.
-
2026-02-27$185,000 Active 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Like new mobile home sits on partially cleared property offering privacy and a peaceful setting. Features include a pergola, pool, pond, and storage shed. The property includes satsuma, plum, peach, pecan, and magnolia trees. Flood light installed for added exterior lighting. Located in flood zone x.
-
2023-02-06soldstatus $28,700 Closed
-
2023-01-05status Pending
-
2022-12-07status Active
-
2022-12-07status Pending
-
2022-09-21price $29,900
-
2022-08-16status Active
-
2022-05-02status Pending
-
2021-12-12status Active
-
2021-10-20status Pending
-
2021-09-28$35,000 Active
-
2021-09-28$29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,315
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,625
- − Management
- −$1,625
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$1,329
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$319
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,855/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tangipahoa Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201680
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,283
- Composite
- 19.94/100
- National rank
- #8676
- State rank
- #63 of 98 in LA
Livability — Hammond
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #8868
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Tangipahoa Parish · 85,958 people
- City population
- 51,394
- Metro
- Hammond, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,564
- Household income
- $71,611
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 479.0
Population outlook (Tangipahoa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,204 people
- By 2030
- 151,413 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 164,374 · +14.0%
- By 2050
- 175,427 · +21.7%
- By 2075
- 195,165 · +35.3%
- By 2100
- 201,641 · +39.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 16% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Tangipahoa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.6% · R 68.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -30.9pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+32.6 2012: R+27.7 2008: R+30.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.55%
- Current HPI
- 129.6069
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.66%
- Metro
- Hammond, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $175,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $175,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-15 Price Changed $179,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-15 Price Changed $179,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $185,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $185,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-02-06 Sold (MLS) $28,700 GSREIN
- 2023-01-05 Pending — GSREIN
- 2022-12-07 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2022-12-07 Pending — GSREIN
- 2022-09-21 Price Changed $29,900 GSREIN
- 2022-08-16 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2022-05-02 Pending — GSREIN
- 2021-12-12 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2021-10-20 Pending — GSREIN
- 2021-09-28 Listed $29,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-09-28 Listed $35,000 GSREIN
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…