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4520 Birkenhead Rd
D+ Composite 49.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,000

4520 Birkenhead Rd · Jacksonville, FL 32210
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,324 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1947 9,147 sqft lot Est $242k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sweet little Lakeshore bungalow priced to sell! New flooring and paint, refreshed bathroom, spacious kitchen, dining and living areas. The primary bedroom is enormous! Plenty of room for a sleeping area as well as dressing room/office/yoga/etc. Outside, you'll find a large yard with plenty of room to roam. This home is conveniently located right off of US-17. Seconds from Publix and all the great dining and shopping options!

Key facts

  • Lakeshore bungalow
  • New flooring
  • Spacious kitchen

Tags

LAKESHORE BUNGALOWNEW FLOORINGNEW EXTERIOR SIDINGREFRESHED BATHROOMSPACIOUS KITCHENLARGE YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Exterior features: 0.21-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator; Central heating; Central air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($205/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (11.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 443 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $158k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $185,930 (11.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.35%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$242,292
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4615 Sunderland Rd 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,222 (-8%) 1mo $219,000 $179 80
2211 Bayview Rd 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,269 (-4%) 1mo $125,000 $99 79
4609 Cambridge Rd 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,270 (-4%) 1mo $130,000 $102 75
4417 San Juan Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,288 (-3%) 3mo $320,000 $248 72
4637 Manchester Rd 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,429 (+8%) 5mo $265,000 $185 70
4582 Appleton Ave 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,470 (+11%) 1mo $255,000 $173 66
2107 Euclid St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,376 (+4%) 1mo $430,000 $313 66
5044 Colonial Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,366 (+3%) 2mo $250,000 $183 62
2811 Lake Shore Blvd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,363 (+3%) 4mo $247,000 $181 60
4756 Shirley Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-7%) 2mo $229,900 $187 57
4423 San Juan Ave 0.45mi 3/3.0 1,512 (+14%) 4mo $340,000 $225 44
4819 Irvington Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,144 (-14%) 1mo $197,500 $173 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-34,396
Equity at exit
$31,163
10-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-35,070
Equity at exit
$18,071

Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32210

Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
443
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,859 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,096
Tax from tax record
$269 /mo · $3,224/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$390
Net cashflow
$17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,838
Max offer price $209,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $135 -5% $76 +0% $17 +5% $-42 +10% $-101
Rent -10% $-130 -5% $-56 +0% $17 +5% $91 +10% $164
Rate -1.0pp $122 -0.5pp $70 base $17 +0.5pp $-37 +1.0pp $-92

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,250
Closing costs
$6,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4614 Birkenhead Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,700 $1.36 15d 1 0.10mi
2235 Bayview Rd Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1619 $2,595 $1.60 8d 1 0.17mi
4610 Cedarwood Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1381 $1,950 $1.41 18d 1 0.59mi
5032 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1760 $1,789 $1.02 24d 1 0.61mi
4776 Cardinal Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 959 $1,550 $1.62 24d 1 0.74mi
3434 Blanding Blvd #201 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1253 $1,800 $1.44 18d 1 0.76mi
3434 Blanding Blvd Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1101 $1,800 $1.63 4d 2 0.77mi
5140 Janice Cir S Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1215 $1,335 $1.10 22d 1 0.83mi
1760 Mayview Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1721 $2,500 $1.45 18d 1 0.86mi
5324 Fremont St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,495 $0.96 4d 1 0.87mi
5139 Camille Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,625 $1.48 2d 1 0.91mi
4523 Merrimac Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1425 $1,544 $1.08 4d 1 0.92mi
1648 Euclid St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1628 $2,395 $1.47 15d 1 0.93mi
1626 Stimson St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1368 $1,641 $1.20 22d 1 0.93mi
4608 Wheeler Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1025 $2,000 $1.95 24d 1 0.96mi
4301 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 1042 $1,606 $1.54 4d 39 0.98mi
5253 Janice Cir S Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.0 1614 $1,471 $0.91 22d 1 1.00mi
4375 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1125 $1,536 $1.37 3d 22 1.01mi
2836 Ionic Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1675 $2,600 $1.55 24d 1 1.09mi
2730 Harvard Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1800 $3,300 $1.83 18d 1 1.10mi
4455 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1045 $1,599 $1.53 2d 19 1.11mi
6026 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL 4.0 3.0 1380 $700 $0.51 24d 1 1.11mi
1650 Parrish Pl Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1387 $2,100 $1.51 24d 1 1.12mi
1554 Geraldine Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1362 $2,850 $2.09 8d 1 1.13mi
3946 Saint Johns Ave Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $2,486 $2.76 2d 18 1.16mi
1480 Stimson St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1252 $1,445 $1.15 15d 1 1.17mi
6066 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 3.0 1097 $1,800 $1.64 24d 1 1.18mi
6119 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1302 $1,395 $1.07 24d 1 1.20mi
5615 San Juan Ave #208 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1115 $1,200 $1.08 24d 1 1.22mi
2039 Niblick Dr Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 847 $1,275 $1.51 4d 10 1.23mi
4690 Homestead Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1641 $2,200 $1.34 13d 1 1.30mi
5821 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1056 $1,330 $1.26 4d 7 1.32mi
3867 Herschel St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,100 $1.92 24d 1 1.37mi
6171 Cedar Hills Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1560 $1,550 $0.99 8d 1 1.38mi
4020 Angol Pl Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1266 $1,845 $1.46 18d 1 1.39mi
1374 Murray Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1338 $1,950 $1.46 13d 1 1.40mi
3607 Colebrooke Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,590 $1.17 4d 1 1.40mi
4102 Angol Pl Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1470 $1,650 $1.12 5d 1 1.41mi
1540 Lake Shore Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1180 $1,495 $1.27 8d 1 1.42mi
1354 Stimson St Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1601 $2,100 $1.31 24d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 49 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $209,000 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $214,900 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $214,900 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $214,900 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $214,900 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $214,900 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $214,900 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,900 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $214,900 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $214,900 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,900 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $214,900 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $214,900 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,900 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    status Active
  16. 2026-05-17
    historical
  17. 2026-05-05
    price $219,000
  18. 2026-04-19
    listed $229,000 Active
  19. 2026-03-28
    historical 428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (428 chars)

    Sweet little Lakeshore bungalow priced to sell! New flooring and paint, refreshed bathroom, spacious kitchen, dining and living areas. The primary bedroom is enormous! Plenty of room for a sleeping area as well as dressing room/office/yoga/etc. Outside, you'll find a large yard with plenty of room to roam. This home is conveniently located right off of US-17. Seconds from Publix and all the great dining and shopping options!

  20. 2026-02-18
    price $199,000 428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (428 chars)

    Sweet little Lakeshore bungalow priced to sell! New flooring and paint, refreshed bathroom, spacious kitchen, dining and living areas. The primary bedroom is enormous! Plenty of room for a sleeping area as well as dressing room/office/yoga/etc. Outside, you'll find a large yard with plenty of room to roam. This home is conveniently located right off of US-17. Seconds from Publix and all the great dining and shopping options!

  21. 2026-02-06
    status Active 428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (428 chars)

    Sweet little Lakeshore bungalow priced to sell! New flooring and paint, refreshed bathroom, spacious kitchen, dining and living areas. The primary bedroom is enormous! Plenty of room for a sleeping area as well as dressing room/office/yoga/etc. Outside, you'll find a large yard with plenty of room to roam. This home is conveniently located right off of US-17. Seconds from Publix and all the great dining and shopping options!

  22. 2026-01-30
    historical Active Under Contract 428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (428 chars)

    Sweet little Lakeshore bungalow priced to sell! New flooring and paint, refreshed bathroom, spacious kitchen, dining and living areas. The primary bedroom is enormous! Plenty of room for a sleeping area as well as dressing room/office/yoga/etc. Outside, you'll find a large yard with plenty of room to roam. This home is conveniently located right off of US-17. Seconds from Publix and all the great dining and shopping options!

  23. 2026-01-09
    listed $210,000 Active 428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (428 chars)

    Sweet little Lakeshore bungalow priced to sell! New flooring and paint, refreshed bathroom, spacious kitchen, dining and living areas. The primary bedroom is enormous! Plenty of room for a sleeping area as well as dressing room/office/yoga/etc. Outside, you'll find a large yard with plenty of room to roam. This home is conveniently located right off of US-17. Seconds from Publix and all the great dining and shopping options!

  24. 2021-08-19
    soldstatus $158,000
  25. 2021-07-30
    soldstatus $158,000 Sold 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Great Location! Home is located close to Ortega, shopping, Restaurants and NAS JAX. Nice size lot with fenced in private back yard. Spacious kitchen. Family room and dining room. Roof 5 years old. Electric has been updated to code. Please have proof of funds and pre approval ready before making your appointment.

  26. 2021-07-23
    status Pending 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Great Location! Home is located close to Ortega, shopping, Restaurants and NAS JAX. Nice size lot with fenced in private back yard. Spacious kitchen. Family room and dining room. Roof 5 years old. Electric has been updated to code. Please have proof of funds and pre approval ready before making your appointment.

  27. 2021-07-05
    historical Active - Contingent 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Great Location! Home is located close to Ortega, shopping, Restaurants and NAS JAX. Nice size lot with fenced in private back yard. Spacious kitchen. Family room and dining room. Roof 5 years old. Electric has been updated to code. Please have proof of funds and pre approval ready before making your appointment.

  28. 2021-06-30
    price $165,000 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Great Location! Home is located close to Ortega, shopping, Restaurants and NAS JAX. Nice size lot with fenced in private back yard. Spacious kitchen. Family room and dining room. Roof 5 years old. Electric has been updated to code. Please have proof of funds and pre approval ready before making your appointment.

  29. 2021-06-22
    price $170,000 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Great Location! Home is located close to Ortega, shopping, Restaurants and NAS JAX. Nice size lot with fenced in private back yard. Spacious kitchen. Family room and dining room. Roof 5 years old. Electric has been updated to code. Please have proof of funds and pre approval ready before making your appointment.

  30. 2021-06-18
    listed $175,000 Active 319-char remark
    Show marketing remark (319 chars)

    Great Location! Home is located close to Ortega, shopping, Restaurants and NAS JAX. Nice size lot with fenced in private back yard. Spacious kitchen. Family room and dining room. Roof 5 years old. Electric has been updated to code. Please have proof of funds and pre approval ready before making your appointment.

  31. 2010-04-29
    historical
  32. 2010-04-26
    soldstatus $35,900
  33. 2010-03-17
    listed $31,900
  34. 2008-07-10
    historical
  35. 2008-04-02
    listed $115,100
  36. 2007-04-16
    soldstatus $122,000
  37. 2007-04-12
    soldstatus $122,000
  38. 2006-12-02
    listed $129,500
  39. 2003-06-23
    historical
  40. 2003-06-19
    soldstatus $69,900
  41. 2003-02-11
    listed $69,900
  42. 2001-12-14
    soldstatus $75,000
  43. 2001-12-11
    soldstatus $51,000
  44. 2001-10-11
    listed $54,900
  45. 1999-09-07
    soldstatus $69,000
  46. 1995-12-28
    soldstatus $58,000
  47. 1995-09-26
    soldstatus $31,700
  48. 1993-07-23
    soldstatus $36,800
  49. 1984-02-01
    soldstatus $31,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,224 · $269/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,224 · $269/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,312
− Mortgage interest
−$11,707
− Property taxes
−$3,224
− Insurance
−$1,045
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,785
− Management
−$1,785
− Depreciation
−$6,080
Taxable loss
−$3,314
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$795
After-tax cash flow
$1,001/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
65,729
Household income
$61,050
Rent vs Own
42.6% rent · 57.4% own
Severe rent burden
3605.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -314.81%
Current HPI
281.2688
Rent YoY
▲ 2.11%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+595.2% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-05-17 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $219,000 realMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Listed $229,000 realMLS
  • 2026-03-28 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $199,000 realMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Contingent realMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $210,000 realMLS
  • 2021-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $158,000 Public Records
  • 2021-07-30 Sold (MLS) $158,000 realMLS
  • 2021-07-23 Pending realMLS
  • 2021-07-05 Contingent realMLS
  • 2021-06-30 Price Changed $165,000 realMLS
  • 2021-06-22 Price Changed $170,000 realMLS
  • 2021-06-18 Listed $175,000 realMLS
  • 2010-04-29 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2010-04-26 Sold (MLS) $35,900 realMLS
  • 2010-03-17 Listed $31,900 realMLS
  • 2008-07-10 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2008-04-02 Listed $115,100 realMLS
  • 2007-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
  • 2007-04-12 Sold (MLS) $122,000 realMLS
  • 2006-12-02 Listed $129,500 realMLS
  • 2003-06-23 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2003-06-19 Sold (MLS) $69,900 realMLS
  • 2003-02-11 Listed $69,900 realMLS
  • 2001-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2001-12-11 Sold (MLS) $51,000 realMLS
  • 2001-10-11 Listed $54,900 realMLS
  • 1999-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 1995-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
  • 1995-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $31,700 Public Records
  • 1993-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $36,800 Public Records
  • 1984-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,224 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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