617 Ashland Dr · Dothan, AL 36301

$117,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,302 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market

Built 1998 Est $111k · 7% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.1/30.0
• DSCR +6.7/10.0
• ARV discount +4.6/15.0
• 1% rule +4.5/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

3Br House Garden District. Major Remodel. New Metal Roof, New Flooring, New paint. New Kitchen counter. Owner Finance Available. Better Hurry! Will go quickly! Call for keycode.

Key facts

• New metal roof
• New flooring
• Major remodel

Tags

• MAJOR REMODEL
• NEW METAL ROOF
• NEW FLOORING
• NEW KITCHEN COUNTER

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $169 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (4.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $112k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
• Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 410 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $815 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $112,285 (4.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.95% ✗
• Cap rate: 8.02%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.15%
• DSCR: 1.27
• GRM: 8.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $110,670
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1127 Normandale Dr	0.48mi	3/1.0	1,232 (-5%)	0mo	$130,000	$106	68
607 Arlington Ave	0.50mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,278 (-2%)	1mo	$55,000	$43	68
1117 Alpine Ln	0.43mi	3/1.0	1,370 (+5%)	10mo	$110,000	$80	63
111 Saint Johns Dr	0.51mi	3/2.0	1,284 (-1%)	9mo	$149,900	$117	62
121 Saint Johns St	0.55mi	3/1.5	1,332 (+2%)	8mo	$85,000	$64	62
113 Naomi Dr	0.45mi	3/2.0	1,399 (+8%)	1mo	$55,000	$39	62
803 Dogwood Trl	0.48mi	3/2.0	1,225 (-6%)	6mo	$105,000	$86	58
803 Dogwood Trl	0.48mi	3/2.0	1,410 (+8%)	6mo	$105,000	$74	54
1102 Deborah St	0.58mi	3/1.5	1,450 (+11%)	2mo	$122,900	$85	50
1112 Glenwood St	0.66mi	3/1.0	1,184 (-9%)	5mo	$104,900	$89	50
1125 Garden Ln	0.48mi	3/1.5	1,120 (-14%)	9mo	$132,000	$118	45
1104 Valley Forge Rd	0.75mi	3/2.0	1,488 (+14%)	10mo	$75,000	$50	29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.75×
• Total profit: $-8,368
• Equity at exit: $17,579

10-year hold

• IRR: 2.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.19×
• Total profit: $6,421
• Equity at exit: $10,194

Cash invested: $33,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36301

• Home prices YoY: -24.9%
• Active inventory: 410
• Price-to-rent: 8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,123 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$618
• Tax from tax record: −$50 /mo · $605/yr
• Insurance: −$49
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$236
• Net cashflow: $169

Break-even live

Break-even rent $909

Max offer price $117,900

Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $29,475
• Closing costs: $3,537
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 9 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
403 Holly Ln Dothan, AL	2.0	1.0–2.0	1175	$1,350	$1.15	43d	4	0.30mi
310 W Lafayette St Dothan, AL	3.0	1.0	1459	$995	$0.68	43d	1	0.73mi
1658 W Main St Dothan, AL	2.0	1.0	1000	$875	$0.88	43d	1	0.77mi
1809 Haisten Dr Dothan, AL	3.0	2.0	1345	$1,300	$0.97	43d	1	1.01mi
2004 Roebuck St Dothan, AL	3.0	1.5	1609	$1,175	$0.73	43d	1	1.08mi
193 S Saint Andrews St Dothan, AL	2.0	2.0	1100	$2,100	$1.91	43d	1	1.09mi
706 Chinook St Dothan, AL	3.0	2.0	1214	$850	$0.70	43d	1	1.18mi
806 S Ussery St Dothan, AL	3.0	1.0	934	$895	$0.96	43d	1	1.27mi
1308 Sioux St Dothan, AL	2.0	2.0	1004	$850	$0.85	43d	1	1.39mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $117,900 Active 24 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $117,900 Active 23 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $117,900 Active 22 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $117,900 Active 21 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $117,900 Active 20 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $117,900 Active 18 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $117,900 Active 17 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $117,900 Active 14 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $117,900 Active 13 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $117,900 Active 12 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $117,900 Active 9 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $117,900 Active 8 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $117,900 Active 7 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $117,900 Active 6 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $117,900 Active 5 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $117,900 Active 4 DOM
17. 2026-05-26
    listed $117,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $605 · $50/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $605 · $50/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,474
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,604
• − Property taxes: −$605
• − Insurance: −$590
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,078
• − Management: −$1,078
• − Depreciation: −$3,430
• Taxable income: $90
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$22
• After-tax cash flow: $2,009/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dothan City
• NCES district ID: 0101230
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $42,279
• Composite: 24.56/100
• National rank: #7640
• State rank: #73 of 129 in AL

Livability — Dothan

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #146
• US rank: #13662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Dothan, AL
• City population: 47,783
• Population (ZIP): 38,627

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 110,280 people
• By 2030: 112,668 · +2.2%
• By 2040: 116,149 · +5.3%
• By 2050: 117,805 · +6.8%
• By 2075: 118,577 · +7.5%
• By 2100: 110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -53.46%
• Current HPI: 161.1212
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $117,900 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $605 · -20.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.