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18777 Kingsville St
D+ Composite 46.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

18777 Kingsville St · Harper Woods, MI 48225
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 698 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1940 4,792 sqft lot Est $66k · 30% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * WOW * * 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM SUPER CLEAN RANCH IN HARPER WOODS * * LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTING * * NICELY SIZED UPDATED KITCHEN * * NICE SIZE MASTER BEDROOM WITH ONE ADDITIONAL BEDROOM * * ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE * * FENCED IN YARD * * CLOSE TO SHOPPING, PARKS AND SCHOOLS * * CLOSE TO ALL FREEWAYS * * HARPER WOODS SCHOOLS * * MOVE IN READY OR INVESTMENT READY * * DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY TODAY * *

Key facts

  • Close to parks
  • Close to schools
  • Large living room

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMUPDATED KITCHENFENCED IN YARDCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO PARKSCLOSE TO SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.11 acres (40 x 114)
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Other water source
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (including bedrooms and living areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Harper Woods School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #524 of 540 in MI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 17 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
8.17%
Cash-on-cash
6.70%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$65,612
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18700 Mccormick St 0.11mi 2/1.0 706 (+1%) 5mo $63,000 $89 89
18996 Roscommon St 0.24mi 2/1.0 698 (0%) 5mo $98,000 $140 84
18547 Mccormick St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (+1) 689 (-1%) 7mo $30,000 $44 80
19139 Kenosha St 0.23mi 2/1.0 681 (-2%) 7mo $95,000 $140 79
19331 Mccormick St 0.34mi 2/1.0 696 (-0%) 6mo $20,000 $29 78
19379 Mccormick St 0.37mi 2/1.0 696 (-0%) 4mo $118,900 $171 78
19404 Roscommon St 0.44mi 2/1.0 700 (+0%) 4mo $85,000 $121 75
19380 Roscommon St 0.42mi 2/1.0 684 (-2%) 5mo $100,500 $147 73
12505 Laing St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 752 (+8%) 3mo $54,600 $73 64
16476 Fairmount Dr 0.68mi 2/1.0 713 (+2%) 3mo $43,900 $62 62
16610 E State Fair St 0.55mi 2/1.0 800 (+15%) 7mo $75,000 $94 45
11624 Wayburn St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 756 (+8%) 3mo $17,000 $22 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-3,087
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$17,735
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48225

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,005 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$180 /mo · $2,159/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$133

Break-even live

Break-even rent $837
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $181 -5% $157 +0% $133 +5% $109 +10% $85
Rent -10% $53 -5% $93 +0% $133 +5% $172 +10% $212
Rate -1.0pp $176 -0.5pp $154 base $133 +0.5pp $111 +1.0pp $88

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16241 Seven Mile E Unit 4 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $650 $1.00 45d 1 0.24mi
12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 610 $875 $1.43 45d 1 0.61mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 14d 1 0.67mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 45d 1 0.67mi
15030 Rossini Dr Unit 2 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 720 $800 $1.11 45d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on marketlisting id $85,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    historical
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    * * WOW * * 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM SUPER CLEAN RANCH IN HARPER WOODS * * LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTING * * NICELY SIZED UPDATED KITCHEN * * NICE SIZE MASTER BEDROOM WITH ONE ADDITIONAL BEDROOM * * ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE * * FENCED IN YARD * * CLOSE TO SHOPPING, PARKS AND SCHOOLS * * CLOSE TO ALL FREEWAYS * * HARPER WOODS SCHOOLS * * MOVE IN READY OR INVESTMENT READY * * DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY TODAY * *

  16. 2026-05-20
    listed $85,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    * * WOW * * 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM SUPER CLEAN RANCH IN HARPER WOODS * * LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTING * * NICELY SIZED UPDATED KITCHEN * * NICE SIZE MASTER BEDROOM WITH ONE ADDITIONAL BEDROOM * * ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE * * FENCED IN YARD * * CLOSE TO SHOPPING, PARKS AND SCHOOLS * * CLOSE TO ALL FREEWAYS * * HARPER WOODS SCHOOLS * * MOVE IN READY OR INVESTMENT READY * * DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY TODAY * *

  17. 2026-05-20
    listed $85,000 Active 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    * * WOW * * 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM SUPER CLEAN RANCH IN HARPER WOODS * * LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTING * * NICELY SIZED UPDATED KITCHEN * * NICE SIZE MASTER BEDROOM WITH ONE ADDITIONAL BEDROOM * * ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE * * FENCED IN YARD * * CLOSE TO SHOPPING, PARKS AND SCHOOLS * * CLOSE TO ALL FREEWAYS * * HARPER WOODS SCHOOLS * * MOVE IN READY OR INVESTMENT READY * * DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY TODAY * *

  18. 2026-05-20
    historical
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    * * WOW * * 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM SUPER CLEAN RANCH IN HARPER WOODS * * LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTING * * NICELY SIZED UPDATED KITCHEN * * NICE SIZE MASTER BEDROOM WITH ONE ADDITIONAL BEDROOM * * ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE * * FENCED IN YARD * * CLOSE TO SHOPPING, PARKS AND SCHOOLS * * CLOSE TO ALL FREEWAYS * * HARPER WOODS SCHOOLS * * MOVE IN READY OR INVESTMENT READY * * DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY TODAY * *

  19. 2026-05-19
    status Active
  20. 2026-05-18
    historical
  21. 2026-03-24
    listed $85,000 Active
  22. 2026-03-24
    listed $85,000 Active
  23. 2026-03-24
    historical
  24. 2026-03-24
    historical
  25. 2026-03-02
    listed $87,999 Active
  26. 2026-03-02
    listed $87,999 Active
  27. 2024-07-27
    historical $1,150
  28. 2024-07-24
    price $1,150
  29. 2024-07-11
    listed $1,250
  30. 2024-07-11
    historical $1,250
  31. 2024-06-22
    listed $1,250
  32. 2024-06-06
    status Pending
  33. 2024-06-06
    status Pending
  34. 2024-05-29
    soldstatus $88,000 Sold
  35. 2024-05-29
    soldstatus $88,000 Closed
  36. 2024-05-17
    status Active
  37. 2024-05-17
    status Active
  38. 2024-03-20
    status Pending
  39. 2024-03-20
    status Pending
  40. 2024-03-08
    listed $85,000 Active
  41. 2024-03-08
    listed $85,000 Active
  42. 2017-02-17
    soldstatus $24,000 Sold
  43. 2017-02-17
    soldstatus $24,000 Closed
  44. 2017-01-25
    status Pending
  45. 2017-01-25
    status Pending
  46. 2016-12-15
    listed $24,900 Active
  47. 2016-12-15
    listed $24,900 Active
  48. 2014-08-21
    soldstatus $18,000
  49. 2014-08-21
    soldstatus $18,000
  50. 2014-08-01
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,159 · $180/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,159 · $180/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,060
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$2,159
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$965
− Management
−$965
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$312
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$75
After-tax cash flow
$1,519/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harper Woods School District
NCES district ID
2617760
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$46,155
Composite
8.8/100
National rank
#9892
State rank
#524 of 540 in MI

Livability — Harper Woods

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5054

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harper Woods, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
16,098
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
16,098
Household income
$61,750
Rent vs Own
33.8% rent · 66.2% own
Severe rent burden
410.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.40%
Current HPI
181.4961
Rent YoY
▲ 5.10%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+372.2% since first listed
38 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $87,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $87,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-07-27 Rental Removed $1,150 REALSOURCE
  • 2024-07-24 Price Changed $1,150 REALSOURCE
  • 2024-07-11 Listed for Rent $1,250 REALSOURCE
  • 2024-07-11 Rental Removed $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-22 Listed for Rent $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-06-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-06-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-05-29 Sold (MLS) $88,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-29 Sold (MLS) $88,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-05-17 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2024-05-17 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-03-20 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-03-20 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-03-08 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-03-08 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-02-17 Sold (MLS) $24,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-02-17 Sold (MLS) $24,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-01-25 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-01-25 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2016-12-15 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-12-15 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
  • 2014-08-21 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-08-21 Sold (MLS) $18,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-08-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-06-26 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-06-26 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,159 · -35.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…