18777 Kingsville St · Harper Woods, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * WOW * * 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM SUPER CLEAN RANCH IN HARPER WOODS * * LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTING * * NICELY SIZED UPDATED KITCHEN * * NICE SIZE MASTER BEDROOM WITH ONE ADDITIONAL BEDROOM * * ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE * * FENCED IN YARD * * CLOSE TO SHOPPING, PARKS AND SCHOOLS * * CLOSE TO ALL FREEWAYS * * HARPER WOODS SCHOOLS * * MOVE IN READY OR INVESTMENT READY * * DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY TODAY * *
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to schools
- Large living room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.11 acres (40 x 114)
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Other water source
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Paved road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (including bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Harper Woods School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #524 of 540 in MI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 17 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.70%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $65,612
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18700 Mccormick St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 706 (+1%) | 5mo | $63,000 | $89 | 89 |
| 18996 Roscommon St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 698 (0%) | 5mo | $98,000 | $140 | 84 |
| 18547 Mccormick St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 689 (-1%) | 7mo | $30,000 | $44 | 80 |
| 19139 Kenosha St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 681 (-2%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $140 | 79 |
| 19331 Mccormick St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-0%) | 6mo | $20,000 | $29 | 78 |
| 19379 Mccormick St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (-0%) | 4mo | $118,900 | $171 | 78 |
| 19404 Roscommon St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+0%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $121 | 75 |
| 19380 Roscommon St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 684 (-2%) | 5mo | $100,500 | $147 | 73 |
| 12505 Laing St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 752 (+8%) | 3mo | $54,600 | $73 | 64 |
| 16476 Fairmount Dr | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 713 (+2%) | 3mo | $43,900 | $62 | 62 |
| 16610 E State Fair St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+15%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $94 | 45 |
| 11624 Wayburn St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 756 (+8%) | 3mo | $17,000 | $22 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.1% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-3,087
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $17,735
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48225
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,005 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,159/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $181 | -5% $157 | +0% $133 | +5% $109 | +10% $85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $53 | -5% $93 | +0% $133 | +5% $172 | +10% $212 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $176 | -0.5pp $154 | base $133 | +0.5pp $111 | +1.0pp $88 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16241 Seven Mile E Unit 4 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $650 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $875 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,040 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 15030 Rossini Dr Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $800 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20historical
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
* * WOW * * 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM SUPER CLEAN RANCH IN HARPER WOODS * * LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTING * * NICELY SIZED UPDATED KITCHEN * * NICE SIZE MASTER BEDROOM WITH ONE ADDITIONAL BEDROOM * * ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE * * FENCED IN YARD * * CLOSE TO SHOPPING, PARKS AND SCHOOLS * * CLOSE TO ALL FREEWAYS * * HARPER WOODS SCHOOLS * * MOVE IN READY OR INVESTMENT READY * * DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY TODAY * *
-
2026-05-20$85,000 Active
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
* * WOW * * 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM SUPER CLEAN RANCH IN HARPER WOODS * * LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTING * * NICELY SIZED UPDATED KITCHEN * * NICE SIZE MASTER BEDROOM WITH ONE ADDITIONAL BEDROOM * * ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE * * FENCED IN YARD * * CLOSE TO SHOPPING, PARKS AND SCHOOLS * * CLOSE TO ALL FREEWAYS * * HARPER WOODS SCHOOLS * * MOVE IN READY OR INVESTMENT READY * * DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY TODAY * *
-
2026-05-20$85,000 Active 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
* * WOW * * 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM SUPER CLEAN RANCH IN HARPER WOODS * * LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTING * * NICELY SIZED UPDATED KITCHEN * * NICE SIZE MASTER BEDROOM WITH ONE ADDITIONAL BEDROOM * * ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE * * FENCED IN YARD * * CLOSE TO SHOPPING, PARKS AND SCHOOLS * * CLOSE TO ALL FREEWAYS * * HARPER WOODS SCHOOLS * * MOVE IN READY OR INVESTMENT READY * * DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY TODAY * *
-
2026-05-20historical
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
* * WOW * * 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATHROOM SUPER CLEAN RANCH IN HARPER WOODS * * LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH ABUNDANT LIGHTING * * NICELY SIZED UPDATED KITCHEN * * NICE SIZE MASTER BEDROOM WITH ONE ADDITIONAL BEDROOM * * ONE CAR DETACHED GARAGE * * FENCED IN YARD * * CLOSE TO SHOPPING, PARKS AND SCHOOLS * * CLOSE TO ALL FREEWAYS * * HARPER WOODS SCHOOLS * * MOVE IN READY OR INVESTMENT READY * * DON'T MISS YOUR CHANCE ON THIS OPPORTUNITY TODAY * *
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2026-05-19status Active
-
2026-05-18historical
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2026-03-24$85,000 Active
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2026-03-24$85,000 Active
-
2026-03-24historical
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2026-03-24historical
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2026-03-02$87,999 Active
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2026-03-02$87,999 Active
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2024-07-27historical $1,150
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2024-07-24price $1,150
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2024-07-11$1,250
-
2024-07-11historical $1,250
-
2024-06-22$1,250
-
2024-06-06status Pending
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2024-06-06status Pending
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2024-05-29soldstatus $88,000 Sold
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2024-05-29soldstatus $88,000 Closed
-
2024-05-17status Active
-
2024-05-17status Active
-
2024-03-20status Pending
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2024-03-20status Pending
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2024-03-08$85,000 Active
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2024-03-08$85,000 Active
-
2017-02-17soldstatus $24,000 Sold
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2017-02-17soldstatus $24,000 Closed
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2017-01-25status Pending
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2017-01-25status Pending
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2016-12-15$24,900 Active
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2016-12-15$24,900 Active
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2014-08-21soldstatus $18,000
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2014-08-21soldstatus $18,000
-
2014-08-01historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,159 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,159 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,060
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$2,159
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$965
- − Management
- −$965
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $312
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$75
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,519/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harper Woods School District
- NCES district ID
- 2617760
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,155
- Composite
- 8.8/100
- National rank
- #9892
- State rank
- #524 of 540 in MI
Livability — Harper Woods
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5054
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harper Woods, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 16,098
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,098
- Household income
- $61,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 410.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.40%
- Current HPI
- 181.4961
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.10%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+372.2% since first listed38 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-20 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-24 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-24 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-24 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $87,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-02 Listed $87,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-27 Rental Removed $1,150 REALSOURCE
- 2024-07-24 Price Changed $1,150 REALSOURCE
- 2024-07-11 Listed for Rent $1,250 REALSOURCE
- 2024-07-11 Rental Removed $1,250 APPFOLIO
- 2024-06-22 Listed for Rent $1,250 APPFOLIO
- 2024-06-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-05-29 Sold (MLS) $88,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-05-29 Sold (MLS) $88,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-05-17 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2024-05-17 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-20 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-03-08 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-08 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-02-17 Sold (MLS) $24,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-02-17 Sold (MLS) $24,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-01-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-01-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-12-15 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-12-15 Listed $24,900 REALCOMP
- 2014-08-21 Sold (MLS) $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-08-21 Sold (MLS) $18,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-08-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-06-26 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-06-26 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,159 · -35.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…