2806 NE Euclid · Lawton, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment opportunity alert! Highest and best offers due by 11/24/25 at 5pm. This property is being sold as is. Call or text 620-290-3770 to see this property with plenty of potential or contact your realtor.
Key facts
- 7,830 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1983
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 covered spaces (2 total parking spaces); Garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric service
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Brick veneer construction
- Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built with brick veneer
- Exterior features: Storm door(s); Public maintained road; City street frontage; R-1 single family zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Electric cooling
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 6.1% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
- Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Carriage Hills Es (math 27% / reading 17%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 311 students, 0% FRL); Macarthur Ms (math 16% / reading 31%, grade F, #113 of 345 statewide, top 34%, 865 students, 0% FRL); Macarthur Hs (math 19% / reading 34%, grade F, #139 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 1,163 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 208 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.72%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $118,116
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2711 NE Euclid | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+4%) | 6mo | $122,000 | $102 | 85 |
| 2626 NE Euclid Ave | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-5%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $95 | 81 |
| 409 NE 27th St | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-5%) | 3mo | $107,000 | $97 | 78 |
| 2628 NE Euclid Ave | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-5%) | 10mo | $99,500 | $90 | 74 |
| 2609 NE Euclid | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (+11%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $112 | 71 |
| 2620 NE Euclid Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,311 (+13%) | 6mo | $171,000 | $130 | 66 |
| 2508 NE Dearborn Ave | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-14%) | 4mo | $73,000 | $73 | 58 |
| 2905 NE Lakeview Cir | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+12%) | 17mo | $164,900 | $127 | 53 |
| 119 SE Surrey Ln | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-5%) | 19mo | $130,000 | $118 | 46 |
| 115 SE Coachman | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-14%) | 3mo | $131,500 | $132 | 43 |
| 210 SE Coachman Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-5%) | 19mo | $90,000 | $82 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-5,041
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $2,746
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73507
- Home prices YoY
- -23.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 208
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,185 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,245/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $238
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending
-
2026-03-31soldstatus $95,000
-
2026-01-23historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-11-13$105,000 Active
-
2005-09-08soldstatus $85,000
-
2004-02-17soldstatus $70,000
-
1998-04-03soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,245 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,245 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,221
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,245
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,138
- − Management
- −$1,138
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $1,240
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$297
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,560/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawton
- NCES district ID
- 4017250
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,618
- Composite
- 19.68/100
- National rank
- #8732
- State rank
- #137 of 270 in OK
Livability — Lawton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #15131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawton, OK
- County
- Comanche County · 96,361 people
- City population
- 89,233
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,046
- Household income
- $62,132
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 979.0
Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 124,518 people
- By 2030
- 124,231 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 122,193 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 120,368 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 120,492 · -3.2%
- By 2100
- 123,113 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Black 13% Native American 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comanche
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.48%
- Current HPI
- 127.057
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.25%
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+46.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — LBRMLS
- 2026-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2026-01-23 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2025-11-13 Listed $105,000 LBRMLS
- 2005-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2004-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1998-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,245 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…