117 S Central Ave · Connersville, IN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 2,178 sq ft lot
- Built 1895
- Listed 119 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($720 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.9% in Connersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#313 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, schools D-.
- Fayette County School Corporation (town): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #206 of 301 in IN (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 20 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.01%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $47,448
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- 26.45%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1022 W 8th St St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 840 (+5%) | 0mo | $121,000 | $144 | 56 |
| 617 Sherman Dr | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (-10%) | 0mo | $47,000 | $65 | 56 |
| 600 Oak St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 768 (-4%) | 20mo | $27,500 | $36 | 49 |
| 533 W 8th St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (-10%) | 8mo | $94,000 | $131 | 46 |
| 829 Walnut St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (-10%) | 11mo | $24,294 | $34 | 40 |
| 722 Maple St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (-10%) | 12mo | $32,500 | $45 | 40 |
| 1017-1019 Grand Ave | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 720 (-10%) | 2mo | $30,500 | $42 | 38 |
| 827 Walnut St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (-10%) | 15mo | $30,000 | $42 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $104
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $12,774
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47331
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $720 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$151
- Net cashflow
- $154
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 430 N Central Ave Apt 103 Connersville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $700 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 309 W 11th St Connersville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $900 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 701 S Fountain St Connersville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $550 | $0.92 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $60,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-02-18$60,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,639
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$691
- − Management
- −$691
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $951
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$228
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,621/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
The home requires moderate renovations, focusing on exterior repairs and landscaping to significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Severe peeling
- Major exterior paint — Peeling paint
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Re-siding exterior — Improves structural integrity and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Severe peeling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior paint · Peeling paint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Re-siding exterior — Improves structural integrity and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803510
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,669
- Composite
- 28.81/100
- National rank
- #6659
- State rank
- #206 of 301 in IN
Livability — Connersville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #313
- US rank
- #12417
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Connersville, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,769
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,758 people
- By 2030
- 20,673 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 18,335 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 16,056 · -26.2%
- By 2075
- 11,030 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 6,800 · -68.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.3) · D 21.2% · R 77.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.8pp toward R · 2008: -5.6pp · 2024: -56.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+48.1 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.33%
- Current HPI
- 252.3898
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Listed $60,000 RRELMS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…