7902 Nagle Ave Unit 2S · Burbank, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$234,870
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOVE IN CONDITION SPACIOUS 2ND FLOOR UNIT WITH 2 BATHS, IN UNIT LAUNDRY,PLENTY OF CLOSETS AND CABINETS IN KITCHEN, GARAGE. CLOSE TO TRANSPORTATION.
Key facts
- $200 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1999
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.4% in Burbank — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#132 in IL, #2,422 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Reavis Twp Hsd 220 (suburban): math 18% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #420 of 620 in IL (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $112k; list at $235k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.89%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-6,958
- Equity at exit
- $35,020
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $34,189
- Equity at exit
- $20,307
Cash invested: $65,764 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60459
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,735 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,726/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$200
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$574
- Net cashflow
- $487
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,718
- Closing costs
- $7,046
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7847 Melvina Ave Burbank, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $3,900 | $3.69 | 1d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 6048 W 79th St Unit 3 Burbank, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 5d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6101 W 82nd Pl Burbank, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $2,900 | $2.71 | 1d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7700 S Harlem Ave Apt 1C Bridgeview, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7139 W 74th St Chicago, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1323 | $2,700 | $2.04 | 7d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7732 Lotus Ave Burbank, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $2,475 | $2.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7732 Lotus Ave Burbank, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $2,475 | $2.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5834 W 89th Pl Oak Lawn, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,150 | $1.95 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $200 · $2,400/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-18status Pending
-
2026-04-10$234,870 Active
-
2015-08-18soldstatus $112,000
-
2015-08-04soldstatus $112,000 Closed Sale 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
MOVE IN CONDITION SPACIOUS 2ND FLOOR UNIT WITH 2 BATHS, IN UNIT LAUNDRY,PLENTY OF CLOSETS AND CABINETS IN KITCHEN, GARAGE. CLOSE TO TRANSPORTATION.
-
2015-06-26historical Contingent 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
MOVE IN CONDITION SPACIOUS 2ND FLOOR UNIT WITH 2 BATHS, IN UNIT LAUNDRY,PLENTY OF CLOSETS AND CABINETS IN KITCHEN, GARAGE. CLOSE TO TRANSPORTATION.
-
2015-06-04price $120,000 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
MOVE IN CONDITION SPACIOUS 2ND FLOOR UNIT WITH 2 BATHS, IN UNIT LAUNDRY,PLENTY OF CLOSETS AND CABINETS IN KITCHEN, GARAGE. CLOSE TO TRANSPORTATION.
-
2015-04-09$125,000 New 147-char remark
Show marketing remark (147 chars)
MOVE IN CONDITION SPACIOUS 2ND FLOOR UNIT WITH 2 BATHS, IN UNIT LAUNDRY,PLENTY OF CLOSETS AND CABINETS IN KITCHEN, GARAGE. CLOSE TO TRANSPORTATION.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,726 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,529 · $294/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,803/yr (+$150/mo · 104.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,818
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,726
- − Insurance
- −$1,174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,625
- − Management
- −$2,625
- − HOA
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$6,833
- Taxable income
- $2,278
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$547
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,299/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Reavis Twp Hsd 220
- NCES district ID
- 1733270
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,732
- Composite
- 17.94/100
- National rank
- #8994
- State rank
- #420 of 620 in IL
Livability — Burbank
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #132
- US rank
- #2422
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burbank, IL
- City population
- 28,822
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,822
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 44% Two or more races 21% Asian 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Armenian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 39% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Arabic 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.56%
- Current HPI
- 223.2294
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+87.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed $234,870 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
- 2015-08-04 Sold (MLS) $112,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-26 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-04 Price Changed $120,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-09 Listed $125,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+12.7%/yrLatest (2023): $1,726 · -11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…