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1 April Vlg
C+ Composite 60.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

1 April Vlg · Conroe, TX 77356
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,478 sqft · Townhouse public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1978 3,999 sqft lot Est $260k · 33% under $91/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled in the gated community of April Sound, this charming 3-bed, 2-bath home boasts an open floor plan with soaring ceilings and beautiful finishes. The property offers 1478 sq ft of living space, built in 1978 on a 3999 sq ft lot. Enjoy the inviting ambiance and quality flooring throughout this sought-after residence at 1 April Village.

Key facts

  • $91 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1978

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Full ownership
  • HOA & community: April Sound POA; Quarterly association fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, sport court, tennis courts, playground, pool, golf, security/guard, and trash service; Association fee covers clubhouse, common areas, and recreation facilities

Exterior

  • Parking: No on-site parking
  • Security: Gated community with attendant
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; North-facing; Built in 1978; Single-level entry (slab foundation)
  • Construction: Cement siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Association pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Tile counters

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.1% in Conroe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#169 in TX, #4,447 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: commute F, health & safety F.
  • Montgomery ISD (rural): math 63% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #49 of 826 in TX (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Stewart Creek El (math 49% / reading 58%, grade C, #686 of 4,322 statewide, top 16%, 738 students, 46% FRL); Lake Creek H S (math 53% / reading 68%, grade C+, #268 of 1,632 statewide, top 17%, 1,649 students, 23% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.3%/yr); 1056 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $69k; list at $175k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,375 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
7.72%
Cash-on-cash
5.11%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$260,128
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9 April Vlg 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,478 (0%) 8mo $199,900 $135 93
5 April Point Dr S 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,516 (+3%) 1mo $391,500 $258 87
33 April Point North Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,502 (+2%) 2mo $230,000 $153 80
10 April Point Dr S #10 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,516 (+3%) 11mo $295,000 $195 75
52 April Hill Dr 0.20mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,408 (-5%) 8mo $248,000 $176 69
55 April Hl 0.21mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,408 (-5%) 8mo $226,000 $161 68
17 April Point Dr N 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,370 (-7%) 6mo $230,000 $168 62
116 April Point Dr N 0.31mi 3/3.0 1,624 (+10%) 3mo $222,000 $137 62
75 April Point Dr S 0.39mi 3/2.5 1,648 (+12%) 2mo $399,900 $243 59
58 April Point Dr S 0.29mi 3/2.5 1,648 (+12%) 9mo $415,000 $252 58
57 April Point Dr S 0.28mi 3/2.5 1,648 (+12%) 12mo $425,000 $258 56
116 Capetown 0.43mi 3/2.5 1,672 (+13%) 9mo $279,900 $167 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-20,868
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-23,420
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77356

Home prices YoY
-30.3%
Rents YoY
-3.3%
Active inventory
1056
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,024 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$309 /mo · $3,707/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$91
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$425
Net cashflow
$209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,760
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $308 -5% $258 +0% $209 +5% $159 +10% $109
Rent -10% $49 -5% $129 +0% $209 +5% $288 +10% $368
Rate -1.0pp $297 -0.5pp $253 base $209 +0.5pp $163 +1.0pp $117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15 April Vlg Montgomery, TX 2.0 2.0 1218 $1,650 $1.35 44d 1 0.05mi
135 April Point Dr N Montgomery, TX 3.0 3.0 1624 $1,900 $1.17 44d 1 0.25mi
130 April Point Dr N Montgomery, TX 3.0 3.0 1680 $2,250 $1.34 44d 1 0.28mi
124 April Point Dr N Montgomery, TX 4.0 3.0 1624 $2,900 $1.79 44d 1 0.31mi
124 April Point Dr S #124 Montgomery, TX 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,490 $1.15 21d 1 0.38mi
298 Capetown Way Unit A Montgomery, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,400 $1.27 44d 1 0.41mi
16915 Balmoral Montgomery, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 44d 1 0.74mi
16913 Glenheath Montgomery, TX 4.0 2.5 1700 $1,571 $0.92 44d 1 0.79mi
116 Lake View Cir Montgomery, TX 3.0 2.5 1751 $2,250 $1.28 44d 1 0.79mi
16928 Kempwood Montgomery, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 44d 1 0.89mi
16967 W Ivanhoe Montgomery, TX 3.0 2.0 1012 $1,350 $1.33 13d 1 0.90mi
16984 W Juneau Montgomery, TX 3.0 3.0 1530 $2,900 $1.90 44d 1 0.92mi
1050 S Pine Lake Rd Montgomery, TX 2.0 2.0 1052 $1,845 $1.75 25d 1 1.19mi
275 Pine Terrace Dr Unit 5106C Montgomery, TX 3.0 2.5 1773 $2,820 $1.59 44d 1 1.28mi
702 Crystal River Rd Montgomery, TX 4.0 2.5 1820 $4,000 $2.20 44d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$91 · $1,092/yr
Likely covers
security

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Pending 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Pending 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Pending 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Pending 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Pending 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $175,000 Pending 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $175,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $189,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-23
    listed $189,000 Active
  16. 2011-09-28
    soldstatus
  17. 2008-10-26
    historical
  18. 2008-08-12
    listed $114,000
  19. 1997-06-17
    soldstatus $69,426

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,707 · $309/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,707 · $309/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,290
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$3,707
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,943
− Management
−$1,943
− HOA
−$1,092
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$164
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$39
After-tax cash flow
$2,542/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery ISD
NCES district ID
4831260
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$75,596
Composite
53.55/100
National rank
#1445
State rank
#49 of 826 in TX

Livability — Conroe

Score
74/100
State rank
#169
US rank
#4447

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Conroe, TX
County
Montgomery County · 663,713 people
City population
205,417
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
32,583
Household income
$106,804
Rent vs Own
18.5% rent · 81.5% own
Severe rent burden
414.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
713,896 people
By 2030
805,263 · +12.8%
By 2040
992,708 · +39.1%
By 2050
1,179,590 · +65.2%
By 2075
1,628,084 · +128.1%
By 2100
1,937,880 · +171.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.28%
Current HPI
233.0032
Rent YoY
▼ -3.30%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+172.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $189,000 HARMLS
  • 2011-09-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-10-26 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2008-08-12 Listed $114,000 HARMLS
  • 1997-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $69,426 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,707 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…