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202 W Walnut St
C- Composite 50.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,000

202 W Walnut St · Akron, IN 46910
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,886 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1900 8,451 sqft lot Est $174k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,886 sq ft of comfortable living space in a quiet Akron neighborhood. Bright interiors feature spacious living areas, a functional layout, and plenty of natural light. The kitchen provides ample storage and flows easily into the dining space, ideal for everyday living. Generous bedrooms and a versatile layout add flexibility for your needs. Convenient location near local amenities. Property sold AS-IS

Key facts

  • 8,451 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($817/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (18.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#44 in IN, #3,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Tippecanoe Valley School Corporation (rural): math 40% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #126 of 301 in IN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mentone Elementary School (math 52% / reading 37%, grade F, #379 of 994 statewide, top 41%, 440 students, 54% FRL); Tippecanoe Valley Middle School (math 38% / reading 39%, grade F, #132 of 330 statewide, top 41%, 409 students, 58% FRL); Tippecanoe Valley High School (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #143 of 369 statewide, top 44%, 545 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $121,377 (18.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.84%
Cash-on-cash
1.96%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$173,512
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 W Walnut St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,896 (+0%) 0mo $149,000 $79 99
308 S Pine St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,824 (-3%) 3mo $172,000 $94 69
110 N Whittenberger St 0.12mi 3/1.0 2,022 (+7%) 13mo $180,000 $89 68
710 E Rochester St. St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,805 (-4%) 1mo $172,000 $95 67
306 W Rochester St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,650 (-12%) 8mo $150,000 $91 64
306 E Rochester St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,685 (-11%) 9mo $155,000 $92 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-19,877
Equity at exit
$22,216
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-11,999
Equity at exit
$12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46910

Home prices YoY
-13.1%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,214 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $568/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,128
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $152 -5% $110 +0% $68 +5% $26 +10% $-16
Rent -10% $-28 -5% $20 +0% $68 +5% $116 +10% $164
Rate -1.0pp $143 -0.5pp $106 base $68 +0.5pp $29 +1.0pp $-10

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-26
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-17
    listed $149,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$568 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$917 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$349/yr (+$29/mo · 61.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,565
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$568
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,165
− Management
−$1,165
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable loss
−$1,759
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$422
After-tax cash flow
$1,239/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tippecanoe Valley School Corporation
NCES district ID
1811370
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$49,697
Composite
35.29/100
National rank
#4969
State rank
#126 of 301 in IN

Livability — Akron

Score
77/100
State rank
#44
US rank
#3242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Akron, IN
Population (ZIP)
3,125

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,537 people
By 2030
19,013 · -2.7%
By 2040
17,959 · -8.1%
By 2050
17,038 · -12.8%
By 2075
15,117 · -22.6%
By 2100
13,179 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.2) · D 23.7% · R 74.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.2pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -51.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.2 2020: R+48.2 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+33.2 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.71%
Current HPI
262.777
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $149,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $568 · -6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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