3604 Pearson Cir · Guntersville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 18.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$137,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment or purchase opportunity on this 4 bedroom, 1 bath Brick Ranch home. Screen back porch, partial basement, Metal roof and Carport on a Corner Lot. ** Presently Rented for past 3+ years, tenants are on time with rent!
Key facts
- Large covered porch
- Spacious kitchen
- Brick home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $137k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $137k).
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.1% in Guntersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#323 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D.
- Guntersville City (town): math 27% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #28 of 129 in AL (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 467 active listings in the ZIP; 163 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $947 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.66%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $7,625
- Equity at exit
- $20,427
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $44,982
- Equity at exit
- $11,845
Cash invested: $38,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35976
- Home prices YoY
- -25.1%
- Active inventory
- 467
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,693 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$718
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,117/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $469
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $546 | -5% $507 | +0% $469 | +5% $430 | +10% $391 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $335 | -5% $402 | +0% $469 | +5% $535 | +10% $602 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $538 | -0.5pp $503 | base $469 | +0.5pp $433 | +1.0pp $397 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,250
- Closing costs
- $4,110
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $137,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $137,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $137,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $137,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $137,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $137,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $137,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$137,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,117 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,117 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 18% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,313
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,674
- − Property taxes
- −$1,117
- − Insurance
- −$685
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,625
- − Management
- −$1,625
- − Depreciation
- −$3,985
- Taxable income
- $3,601
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$864
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,759/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guntersville City
- NCES district ID
- 0101690
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,203
- Composite
- 33.36/100
- National rank
- #5482
- State rank
- #28 of 129 in AL
Livability — Guntersville
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #323
- US rank
- #19857
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Guntersville, AL
- City population
- 16,604
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,604
Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,402 people
- By 2030
- 98,138 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 98,502 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 97,024 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 89,334 · -8.3%
- By 2100
- 74,749 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marshall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.7) · D 13.8% · R 85.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: -56.4pp · 2024: -71.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.7 2020: R+68.7 2016: R+69.5 2012: R+60.1 2008: R+56.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.75%
- Current HPI
- 223.0157
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+5.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $137,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $139,000 VMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $149,900 VMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $160,000 VMLS
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $170,000 VMLS
- 2025-11-29 Listed $180,000 VMLS
- 2024-03-14 Sold (MLS) $125,000 VMLS
- 2024-01-23 Contingent — VMLS
- 2024-01-22 Listed $129,990 VMLS
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,117 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…