2856 Bluebonnet Dr #2 · Henderson, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
TLC needed, but the potential is undeniable! This condo in a community with many amenities and this 2-bed, 2-bath home offers a functional layout with a fireplace-accented living room, kitchen with solid countertops and pantry, and a primary suite with double sinks. Spacious covered patio/ balcony. Close to schools, shopping, and dining. Bring your vision and make this one shine!
Key facts
- $353 HOA
- Parking
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $110k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#18 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, schools A-, employment A-; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
- Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.08%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $400
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $15,422
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89074
- Home prices YoY
- -24.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 293
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,834 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$353
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $336
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $412 | -5% $374 | +0% $336 | +5% $298 | +10% $260 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $191 | -5% $263 | +0% $336 | +5% $408 | +10% $481 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $391 | -0.5pp $364 | base $336 | +0.5pp $307 | +1.0pp $278 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2840 Bluebonnet Dr Henderson, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,850 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2840 Bluebonnet Dr Henderson, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,750 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2975 Bluegrass Ln Henderson, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1181 | $1,562 | $1.32 | 3d | 2 | 0.06mi |
| 2750 Carnation Ln #4 Henderson, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1211 | $1,800 | $1.49 | 8d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2825 Bluegrass Ln Henderson, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,425 | $1.48 | 2d | 4 | 0.27mi |
| 2303 Radiant Beam Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $2,000 | $1.51 | 11d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 148 Triberg Ct Henderson, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $3,500 | $2.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2784 Fountain Ridge Ln Henderson, NV | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1411 | $2,775 | $1.97 | 18d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2764 Fountain Vista Ln Unit FV Henderson, NV | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 328 Mali Heights Ct Henderson, NV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $2,015 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 105 Gooseberry Ln Henderson, NV | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1311 | $2,000 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 122 Jessup Rd Henderson, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1128 | $1,872 | $1.66 | 2d | 6 | 0.69mi |
| 7450 S Eastern Ave Las Vegas, NV | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1317 | $1,550 | $1.18 | 2d | 4 | 0.69mi |
| 7450 S Eastern Ave Las Vegas, NV | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1441 | $1,650 | $1.15 | 44d | 3 | 0.69mi |
| 2675 Windmill Pkwy Henderson, NV | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $1,864 | $1.53 | 4d | 18 | 0.74mi |
| 2723 Lovington Dr Henderson, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 8d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2121 E Warm Springs Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $1,648 | $1.77 | 3d | 15 | 0.77mi |
| 2810 Briar Knoll Dr Henderson, NV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1331 | $1,945 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2831 Mill Point Dr Henderson, NV | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1247 | $1,795 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2530 Grange Ave Henderson, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $2,295 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 8805 Jeffreys St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1183 | $1,575 | $1.33 | 44d | 3 | 1.01mi |
| 8805 Jeffreys St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1183 | $1,450 | $1.23 | 8d | 3 | 1.01mi |
| 117 Tapatio St Henderson, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,795 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7220 Paradise Bay Dr Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2180 E Warm Springs Rd Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,706 | $1.69 | 2d | 9 | 1.05mi |
| 350 Keating St Henderson, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,270 | $1.66 | 2d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2526 Wolverton Ave Henderson, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $2,200 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2427 Cliffwood Dr Henderson, NV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1313 | $2,200 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 334 Carrington St Henderson, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,395 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8676 Little Fox St Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1006 | $1,840 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 8400 S Maryland Pkwy Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 943 | $1,754 | $1.86 | 2d | 23 | 1.20mi |
| 2385 Cliffwood Dr Henderson, NV | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1313 | $2,125 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8610 S Maryland Pkwy Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $1,824 | $1.96 | 4d | 16 | 1.33mi |
| 381 Abbington St Henderson, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,850 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1450 E Pebble Rd Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 667 | $1,997 | $2.99 | 2d | 45 | 1.42mi |
| 2538 Furnace Creek Ave Henderson, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,000 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 7250 Hardtack Cir Las Vegas, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $3,195 | $2.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $353 · $4,236/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-14$110,000
-
2026-05-14historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,010
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,761
- − Management
- −$1,761
- − HOA
- −$4,236
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $2,690
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$646
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This townhouse requires moderate repairs and maintenance to enhance its curb appeal and resale value. A fresh coat of paint, trimming the bushes, and updating the exterior lighting can significantly improve its overall condition and marketability.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior lighting — The exterior lighting fixture appears to be in good condition.
- Minor landscaping — Some bushes need trimming for better curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — A fresh coat of paint can significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and resale value.
- Rental trim bushes — Well-maintained landscaping can attract more renters and improve the home's rental value.
- Both update exterior lighting — Modernizing the exterior lighting can improve both the home's curb appeal and its rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior lighting · The exterior lighting fixture appears to be in good condition. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · Some bushes need trimming for better curb appeal. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — A fresh coat of paint can significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and resale value. ↑
- Rental trim bushes — Well-maintained landscaping can attract more renters and improve the home's rental value. ↑
- Both update exterior lighting — Modernizing the exterior lighting can improve both the home's curb appeal and its rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clark County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200060
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,611
- Composite
- 26.48/100
- National rank
- #7211
- State rank
- #11 of 17 in NV
Livability — Henderson
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #5605
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Henderson, NV
- County
- Clark County · 2,306,105 people
- City population
- 344,778
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,388
- Household income
- $87,407
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2188.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,504,101 people
- By 2030
- 2,693,770 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 3,061,208 · +22.2%
- By 2050
- 3,400,072 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 4,139,522 · +65.3%
- By 2100
- 4,596,916 · +83.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Asian 8% Black 6% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 11% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+10.7 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.61%
- Current HPI
- 267.1362
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.12%
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2026-05-14 Listed $110,000 GLVAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…