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4721 Coco Palm Dr 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 37.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

4721 Coco Palm Dr · Sebring, FL 33870
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,326 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 262 Days on market
Built 1992 0.26 ac lot ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newer style home, centrally located close to parks, lakes and commerce. This home features a split floor plan, with comfortable size living room, and kitchen, attached two car garage and rear screened in porch. Additional features include fenced in yard three bedrooms and two bathrooms.

Key facts

  • Fenced in yard
  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

EXISTING CONCRETE FOUNDATIONFENCED IN YARDSUPER CONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking; Detached parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer not available; No sewer (other)
  • Home design: Residential single-family home; Under construction; Zoned R1; 75 ft frontage; Paved road access
  • Construction: Construction materials: see remarks
  • Exterior features: No patio or porch; No pool

Interior

  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heating
  • Interior features: Under construction; Other flooring; Total of 2 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $65,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $213,486.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-648/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.3% in Sebring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#618 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 475 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.08%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$213,486
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2003 Roseland Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+1%) 8mo $170,000 $126 65
1301 Ebro Ct 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,266 (-4%) 5mo $205,000 $162 59
1480 Las Villas Blvd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,330 (+0%) 12mo $219,000 $165 57
1514 Las Villas Blvd 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,330 (+0%) 21mo $219,000 $165 56
1478 Las Villas Blvd 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,330 (+0%) 14mo $219,000 $165 55
1476 Las Villas Blvd 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,330 (+0%) 14mo $219,000 $165 54
1518 Las Villas Blvd 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-10%) 10mo $180,000 $150 50
1494 Las Villas Blvd 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-2%) 21mo $209,000 $161 50
1729 Warfield Pl 0.69mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+9%) 4mo $155,000 $108 45
1916 Melady Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-10%) 10mo $180,000 $150 42
1470 Las Villas Blvd 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,205 (-9%) 16mo $189,000 $157 37
1816 Steiner Ave 0.69mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,134 (-14%) 10mo $130,000 $115 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.1%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-42,665
Equity at exit
$31,831
10-year hold
IRR
-22.0%
Equity multiple
0.00×
Total profit
$-59,500
Equity at exit
$18,458

Cash invested: $59,776 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33870

Home prices YoY
-20.0%
Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
475
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,547 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,120
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $808/yr
Insurance
$89
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$-54

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,615
Max offer price $203,948
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,372
Closing costs
$6,405
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8761 Watersound Cir Sebring, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1090 $1,600 $1.47 21d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    pricedays on market $65,000 Active 262 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 261 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 260 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 259 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 258 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 256 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 253 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 252 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 251 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 250 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 245 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 244 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 243 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 242 DOM
  15. 2026-01-16
    price $85,000
  16. 2025-09-30
    listed $99,500 Active
  17. 2025-01-08
    soldstatus $60,000
  18. 2025-01-07
    historical
  19. 2024-12-07
    listed $65,000 Active
  20. 2018-06-15
    soldstatus $100,000 287-char remark
    Show marketing remark (287 chars)

    Newer style home, centrally located close to parks, lakes and commerce. This home features a split floor plan, with comfortable size living room, and kitchen, attached two car garage and rear screened in porch. Additional features include fenced in yard three bedrooms and two bathrooms.

  21. 2018-05-04
    listed $100,000 287-char remark
    Show marketing remark (287 chars)

    Newer style home, centrally located close to parks, lakes and commerce. This home features a split floor plan, with comfortable size living room, and kitchen, attached two car garage and rear screened in porch. Additional features include fenced in yard three bedrooms and two bathrooms.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$808 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$808 · $67/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,560
− Mortgage interest
−$11,959
− Property taxes
−$808
− Insurance
−$1,067
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,485
− Management
−$1,485
− Depreciation
−$6,211
Taxable loss
−$4,454
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,069
After-tax cash flow
$421/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highlands
NCES district ID
1200840
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,276
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4672
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sebring

Score
66/100
State rank
#618
US rank
#11992

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Highlands County · 98,898 people
City population
50,797
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
Population (ZIP)
25,195
Household income
$49,942
Rent vs Own
31.3% rent · 68.7% own
Severe rent burden
994.0

Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,674 people
By 2030
99,615 · -0.1%
By 2040
99,342 · -0.3%
By 2050
98,242 · -1.4%
By 2075
93,291 · -6.4%
By 2100
79,894 · -19.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Highlands

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.68%
Current HPI
273.9861
Rent YoY
▼ -0.29%
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-15.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-16 Price Changed $85,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-09-30 Listed $99,500 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-07 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-07 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-06-15 Sold (MLS) $100,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2018-05-04 Listed $100,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $808 · +124.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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