7-Plex
7329 15th Ave NW · Seattle, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,400,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 7 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
The Ballard Seven is a 7-unit apartment complex located just blocks from Ballard High School. The property unit mix consists of (1) Studio, (3) 1 bedroom/1bath and (3) 2 bedroom/1bath apartments. One 2 bedroom apartment is 1,100 sf and features a large rooftop terrace. The apartment interiors have been diligently maintained by the current ownership, which includes recent plumbing and electrical upgrades. This offering presents an investor with a cash-flow positive investment on day 1 with a simple value add path to an above market cash on cash return. The property has historically low vacancy and the current rents are within 10% of market rates which offers an attractive risk profile for a
Key facts
- Rooftop terrace
- Plumbing upgrades
- Electrical upgrades
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4×1bd/1ba + 3×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $1.40M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $168/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.29M (7.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.27M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 1.6% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $12,945/mo this rent would consume 109% of the median local household income ($143k/yr) (locally 1547% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $42k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.27M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $543k; list at $1.40M implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.61%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,603,901
- List price
- $1,400,000
- Delta
- -12.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-154,540
- Equity at exit
- $208,745
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-49,253
- Equity at exit
- $121,046
Cash invested: $392,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Seattle
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+52
ZIP-level market 98107
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 65.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,945 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,342
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,122 /mo · $13,466/yr
- Insurance
- −$583
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,718
- Net cashflow
- $1,179
Break-even live
7-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 1 | 1 | $7,176 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,794 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,794 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,794 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $1,794 |
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $5,769 |
| #5 | 2 | 1 | $1,923 |
| #6 | 2 | 1 | $1,923 |
| #7 | 2 | 1 | $1,923 |
| Total (7 units) | $12,945 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $350,000
- Closing costs
- $42,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $1,400,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,400,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,400,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,400,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,400,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,400,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,400,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $1,400,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,400,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,400,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,400,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,400,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,400,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,400,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-04price $1,400,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,475,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,475,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,475,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,475,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-03-17$1,475,000 Active
-
2024-08-12historical $1,595
-
2024-07-28$1,595
-
2024-07-28historical $1,595
-
2024-07-27$1,595
-
2003-12-22soldstatus $543,200
-
1981-06-12soldstatus $126,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $13,466 · $1,122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13,720 · $1,143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$254/yr (+$21/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $155,340
- − Mortgage interest
- −$78,422
- − Property taxes
- −$13,466
- − Insurance
- −$7,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$12,427
- − Management
- −$12,427
- − Depreciation
- −$40,727
- Taxable loss
- −$9,129
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,191
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,343/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seattle Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5307710
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,695
- Composite
- 60.76/100
- National rank
- #1649
- State rank
- #19 of 291 in WA
Livability — Seattle
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #4033
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seattle, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 706,262
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,776
- Household income
- $142,662
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1547.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Asian 13% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Chinese 5% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1408.40%
- Current HPI
- 297.0696
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.80%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+1070.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $1,475,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-12 Rental Removed $1,595 LISTANZA
- 2024-07-28 Listed for Rent $1,595 LISTANZA
- 2024-07-28 Rental Removed $1,595 SEATTLERENTALS
- 2024-07-27 Listed for Rent $1,595 SEATTLERENTALS
- 2003-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $543,200 Public Records
- 1981-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $126,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $13,466 · -9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…