502 NW 59th St · Lawton, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +3.9/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Super cute home on a corner lot nestled on Lawton's west side. Very affordable for an owner occupant or an investor. Home has been in the same family for decades and has been immaculately maintained. The roof was recently redone. Out back a spacious covered patio overlooks one of the larger backyards in the neighborhood. It also has a one car garage and is close to elementary, middle and high schools. This is a great deal you don't want to pass up.
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Larger backyards
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1 parking space; 1 covered parking space; 1-car garage
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electric service
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; Brick veneer construction; Composition roof; R-1 single family zoning
- Construction: Brick veneer; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Porch; Patio; Chain link fence; Public maintained road; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Electric cooling
- Interior features: Window coverings; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry area in garage; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 6.0% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
- Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Edison Es (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #667 of 845 statewide, top 82%, 476 students, 0% FRL); Eisenhower Ms (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #90 of 345 statewide, top 27%, 1,035 students, 0% FRL); Eisenhower Hs (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #215 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 1,350 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 403 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $55k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.31%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $73,950
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 NW 59th St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 875 (+3%) | 8mo | $67,000 | $77 | 85 |
| 5333 NW Euclid Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+6%) | 3mo | $102,000 | $113 | 73 |
| 406 NW 56th St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (+12%) | 0mo | $110,000 | $116 | 66 |
| 5341 NW Glenn Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 930 (+9%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $145 | 66 |
| 6213 NW Cherry Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 800 (-6%) | 3mo | $56,000 | $70 | 61 |
| 6435 NW Compass Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 800 (-6%) | 3mo | $65,100 | $81 | 57 |
| 6414 NW Compass Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+6%) | 8mo | $67,000 | $74 | 57 |
| 6814 NW Willow Springs Dr | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+6%) | 2mo | $86,000 | $96 | 55 |
| 6808 NW Willow Springs Dr | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+6%) | 3mo | $87,000 | $97 | 55 |
| 5369 NW Oak Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+6%) | 7mo | $63,000 | $70 | 54 |
| 68101 NW Willow Springs Dr | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (+6%) | 6mo | $78,350 | $87 | 51 |
| 6424 NW Compass Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (+12%) | 8mo | $67,000 | $71 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $8,679
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $42,179
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73505
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 403
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,031 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $698/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$217
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $349 | -5% $327 | +0% $304 | +5% $281 | +10% $259 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $223 | -5% $263 | +0% $304 | +5% $345 | +10% $386 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $344 | -0.5pp $324 | base $304 | +0.5pp $283 | +1.0pp $262 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $79,900 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 452-char remark
-
2026-06-09$79,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $698 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $719 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$21/yr (+$2/mo · 3.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,373
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$698
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$990
- − Management
- −$990
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,496
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$599
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,050/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawton
- NCES district ID
- 4017250
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,618
- Composite
- 19.68/100
- National rank
- #8732
- State rank
- #137 of 270 in OK
Livability — Lawton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #15131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawton, OK
- County
- Comanche County · 96,361 people
- City population
- 89,233
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,790
- Household income
- $58,272
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1986.0
Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 124,518 people
- By 2030
- 124,231 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 122,193 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 120,368 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 120,492 · -3.2%
- By 2100
- 123,113 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comanche
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.88%
- Current HPI
- 169.4524
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.14%
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+45.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $79,900 LBRMLS
- 1997-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $698 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…