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692-685 Lahonton Heights Dr
D- Composite 35.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

692-685 Lahonton Heights Dr · Stones Landing, CA 96130
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 952 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 306 Days on market
Built 1985 0.31 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming home in the desirable Stones Landing community at Eagle Lake! This property offers two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, plus an additional bedroom/game room downstairs along with laundry hookups. The lower level also includes a one-car garage (dirt floor) and a large cemented space that could be converted into additional living quarters, workshop, or storage. Enjoy evenings under the stars on the spacious covered deck, perfect for outdoor entertaining. Situated on a corner lot with some landscaping, this home provides both privacy and potential. Located in the beautiful Eagle Lake recreational area, where you’ll find hiking, biking, off-road trails, boating, and wo

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Landscaping
  • Biking

Tags

COVERED DECKCORNER LOTLANDSCAPINGEAGLE LAKE RECREATIONAL AREAHIKINGBIKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage (1 space)
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Fenced yard; Outbuilding; Corner lot; Level lot; Unimproved road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Heating & cooling: Wood stove heating; Baseboard heating; Ceiling fans; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Window coverings; Living room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-458/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (3.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (24.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Susanville Elementary (town): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #350 of 517 in CA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mckinley Elementary (413 students, 63% FRL); Diamond View Middle (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #224 of 498 statewide, top 46%, 303 students, 65% FRL); Lassen High (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #750 of 1,170 statewide, top 66%, 820 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 240 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Lassen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lassen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 306 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,888 (24.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 306 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.88%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.8%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-32,478
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-31,686
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96130

Active inventory
240
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,389 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,058/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$-38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,437
Max offer price $178,252
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $67 -5% $14 +0% $-38 +5% $-91 +10% $-143
Rent -10% $-148 -5% $-93 +0% $-38 +5% $17 +10% $72
Rate -1.0pp $55 -0.5pp $9 base $-38 +0.5pp $-86 +1.0pp $-135

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $185,000 Active 306 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $185,000 Active 305 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $185,000 Active 303 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 302 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 301 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 300 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 299 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $185,000 Active 297 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $185,000 Active 296 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 293 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 292 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 291 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 290 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $185,000 Active 287 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 286 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 285 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 284 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 283 DOM
  19. 2025-08-19
    listed $185,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,058 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,406 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$348/yr (+$29/mo · 32.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 22 unhealthy d/yr today · 26 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,667
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$1,058
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,333
− Management
−$1,333
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$3,728
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$895
After-tax cash flow
$436/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Susanville Elementary
NCES district ID
0638550
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$49,068
Composite
25.69/100
National rank
#7387
State rank
#350 of 517 in CA

Livability — Stones Landing

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Stones Landing, CA
Population (ZIP)
20,892

Population outlook (Lassen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,112 people
By 2030
26,732 · -1.4%
By 2040
25,536 · -5.8%
By 2050
23,262 · -14.2%
By 2075
18,620 · -31.3%
By 2100
14,679 · -45.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 17% Black 9% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lassen

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.0) · D 21.8% · R 75.8% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -34.2pp · 2024: -54.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.0 2020: R+51.5 2016: R+51.3 2012: R+39.8 2008: R+34.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.12%
Current HPI
136.1585
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-08-19 Listed $185,000 LAORMLS

Property tax history

-3.9%/yr

Latest (2020): $1,058 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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