692-685 Lahonton Heights Dr · Stones Landing, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 22 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming home in the desirable Stones Landing community at Eagle Lake! This property offers two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, plus an additional bedroom/game room downstairs along with laundry hookups. The lower level also includes a one-car garage (dirt floor) and a large cemented space that could be converted into additional living quarters, workshop, or storage. Enjoy evenings under the stars on the spacious covered deck, perfect for outdoor entertaining. Situated on a corner lot with some landscaping, this home provides both privacy and potential. Located in the beautiful Eagle Lake recreational area, where you’ll find hiking, biking, off-road trails, boating, and wo
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Landscaping
- Biking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (1 space)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public sewer; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Fenced yard; Outbuilding; Corner lot; Level lot; Unimproved road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Heating & cooling: Wood stove heating; Baseboard heating; Ceiling fans; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Window coverings; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-458/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (3.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (24.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $139k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Susanville Elementary (town): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #350 of 517 in CA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mckinley Elementary (413 students, 63% FRL); Diamond View Middle (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #224 of 498 statewide, top 46%, 303 students, 65% FRL); Lassen High (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #750 of 1,170 statewide, top 66%, 820 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: 240 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Lassen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lassen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 306 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 306 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.88%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-32,478
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-31,686
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96130
- Active inventory
- 240
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,389 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,058/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $-38
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $67 | -5% $14 | +0% $-38 | +5% $-91 | +10% $-143 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-148 | -5% $-93 | +0% $-38 | +5% $17 | +10% $72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $55 | -0.5pp $9 | base $-38 | +0.5pp $-86 | +1.0pp $-135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $185,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $185,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $185,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $185,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $185,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2025-08-19$185,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,058 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,406 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$348/yr (+$29/mo · 32.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 22 unhealthy d/yr today · 26 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,667
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,058
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,333
- − Management
- −$1,333
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$3,728
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$895
- After-tax cash flow
- $436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Susanville Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0638550
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,068
- Composite
- 25.69/100
- National rank
- #7387
- State rank
- #350 of 517 in CA
Livability — Stones Landing
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stones Landing, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,892
Population outlook (Lassen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,112 people
- By 2030
- 26,732 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 25,536 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 23,262 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 18,620 · -31.3%
- By 2100
- 14,679 · -45.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 17% Black 9% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lassen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.0) · D 21.8% · R 75.8% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -34.2pp · 2024: -54.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.0 2020: R+51.5 2016: R+51.3 2012: R+39.8 2008: R+34.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.12%
- Current HPI
- 136.1585
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-08-19 Listed $185,000 LAORMLS
Property tax history
-3.9%/yrLatest (2020): $1,058 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…