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3202 Herrick St
B Composite 71.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$36,500

3202 Herrick St · Flint, MI 48503
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 736 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1923 6,098 sqft lot Est $38k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable Ranch home that sits on a corner lot! All new flooring (2025), New paint (2025), New roof (2023), new plumbing (2025). .. .. spacious fenced-in yard, large 6x10 shed, and basement is dry. Seller is moving to Florida and has done all the right things to prepare for departure! Close to I-69, I-475, and I-75.

Key facts

  • New plumbing
  • New flooring
  • New paint

Tags

CORNER LOTNEW FLOORINGNEW PAINTNEW ROOFNEW PLUMBINGSPACIOUS FENCED-IN YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 50 x 120 (0.14 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Total of 5 rooms; Full, unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($932 rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 11.6% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Holmes Stem Middle School Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #420 of 493 statewide, top 86%, 324 students, 90% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $252 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $36k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $35,405 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.55%
Cap rate
20.41%
Cash-on-cash
50.41%
DSCR
3.24
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$38,272
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3214 Clairmont St 0.05mi 2/1.0 720 (-2%) 4mo $30,500 $42 90
3305 Larchmont St 0.14mi 2/1.0 736 (0%) 5mo $45,000 $61 89
3310 Larchmont St 0.11mi 2/1.0 688 (-6%) 2mo $18,000 $26 82
3510 Hogarth Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 796 (+8%) 3mo $32,500 $41 74
2805 Reynolds St 0.40mi 2/1.0 704 (-4%) 3mo $35,000 $50 72
2710 Reynolds St 0.45mi 2/1.0 751 (+2%) 5mo $56,500 $75 71
1326 Hughes Ave 0.16mi 2/1.0 814 (+11%) 6mo $70,900 $87 70
2641 Brown St 0.43mi 2/1.0 783 (+6%) 2mo $36,500 $47 68
2717 Gibson St 0.45mi 2/1.0 687 (-7%) 1mo $50,000 $73 67
959 Tacken St 0.64mi 2/1.0 748 (+2%) 4mo $24,900 $33 64
1115 Barney Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 833 (+13%) 5mo $43,500 $52 57
916 Mann St 0.55mi 2/1.0 647 (-12%) 3mo $35,000 $54 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.2%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$26,402
Equity at exit
$5,442
10-year hold
IRR
61.4%
Equity multiple
8.91×
Total profit
$80,816
Equity at exit
$3,156

Cash invested: $10,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48503

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
12.3%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$932 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$191
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,207/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$429

Break-even live

Break-even rent $389
Max offer price $36,500
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $450 -5% $440 +0% $429 +5% $419 +10% $409
Rent -10% $356 -5% $392 +0% $429 +5% $466 +10% $503
Rate -1.0pp $448 -0.5pp $439 base $429 +0.5pp $420 +1.0pp $410

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,125
Closing costs
$1,095
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
352 Bradley Ave Unit 343 Sheffield Ave-Apt C Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 564 $900 $1.60 22d 1 0.94mi
343 Sheffield Apt. C Ave heuristic Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 564 $900 $1.60 26d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $36,500 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $40,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $40,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $40,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $45,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $45,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
  18. 2026-05-05
    listed $45,000 Active 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Adorable Ranch home that sits on a corner lot! All new flooring (2025), New paint (2025), New roof (2023), new plumbing (2025). .. .. spacious fenced-in yard, large 6x10 shed, and basement is dry. Seller is moving to Florida and has done all the right things to prepare for departure! Close to I-69, I-475, and I-75.

  19. 2026-05-05
    listed $45,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Adorable Ranch home that sits on a corner lot! All new flooring (2025), New paint (2025), New roof (2023), new plumbing (2025). .. .. spacious fenced-in yard, large 6x10 shed, and basement is dry. Seller is moving to Florida and has done all the right things to prepare for departure! Close to I-69, I-475, and I-75.

  20. 2025-04-25
    soldstatus $21,500 Closed 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.

  21. 2025-04-25
    soldstatus $21,500 Closed
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.

  22. 2025-04-03
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.

  23. 2025-04-03
    status Pending 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.

  24. 2025-03-17
    price $25,200
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.

  25. 2025-03-17
    price $25,200 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.

  26. 2025-01-31
    listed $28,000 Active
  27. 2025-01-22
    listed $28,000 Active 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.

  28. 2010-12-06
    historical
  29. 2008-08-11
    soldstatus $39,500
  30. 2008-03-26
    historical
  31. 2008-03-26
    historical
  32. 2007-07-24
    listed $39,904
  33. 2007-07-24
    listed $39,904
  34. 2007-01-12
    listed $47,900
  35. 2007-01-12
    historical
  36. 2007-01-12
    listed $47,900
  37. 2000-12-20
    soldstatus $41,000
  38. 2000-12-20
    soldstatus $41,000
  39. 2000-12-19
    soldstatus $41,000
  40. 2000-11-14
    historical
  41. 2000-10-20
    listed $45,000
  42. 2000-10-20
    listed $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,207 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,207 · $101/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,188
− Mortgage interest
−$2,045
− Property taxes
−$1,207
− Insurance
−$182
− Repairs & maintenance
−$895
− Management
−$895
− Depreciation
−$1,062
Taxable income
$4,901
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,176
After-tax cash flow
$3,975/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,347
Household income
$44,411
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1293.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.84%
Current HPI
130.1152
Rent YoY
▲ 12.35%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-25 Sold (MLS) $21,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-25 Sold (MLS) $21,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-03 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-03 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-17 Price Changed $25,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-17 Price Changed $25,200 REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-31 Listed $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-22 Listed $28,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-12-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
  • 2008-03-26 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-03-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-07-24 Listed $39,904 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-07-24 Listed $39,904 REALCOMP
  • 2007-01-12 Listed $47,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-01-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-01-12 Listed $47,900 REALCOMP
  • 2000-12-20 Sold (MLS) $41,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-12-20 Sold (MLS) $41,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
  • 2000-11-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-10-20 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-10-20 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,207 · -19.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…