3202 Herrick St · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$36,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable Ranch home that sits on a corner lot! All new flooring (2025), New paint (2025), New roof (2023), new plumbing (2025). .. .. spacious fenced-in yard, large 6x10 shed, and basement is dry. Seller is moving to Florida and has done all the right things to prepare for departure! Close to I-69, I-475, and I-75.
Key facts
- New plumbing
- New flooring
- New paint
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 50 x 120 (0.14 acres)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Total of 5 rooms; Full, unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($932 rent vs $36k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 11.6% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Holmes Stem Middle School Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #420 of 493 statewide, top 86%, 324 students, 90% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $252 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $36k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.41%
- DSCR
- 3.24
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $38,272
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3214 Clairmont St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-2%) | 4mo | $30,500 | $42 | 90 |
| 3305 Larchmont St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 736 (0%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $61 | 89 |
| 3310 Larchmont St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 688 (-6%) | 2mo | $18,000 | $26 | 82 |
| 3510 Hogarth Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 796 (+8%) | 3mo | $32,500 | $41 | 74 |
| 2805 Reynolds St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (-4%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $50 | 72 |
| 2710 Reynolds St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 751 (+2%) | 5mo | $56,500 | $75 | 71 |
| 1326 Hughes Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 814 (+11%) | 6mo | $70,900 | $87 | 70 |
| 2641 Brown St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 783 (+6%) | 2mo | $36,500 | $47 | 68 |
| 2717 Gibson St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 687 (-7%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $73 | 67 |
| 959 Tacken St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (+2%) | 4mo | $24,900 | $33 | 64 |
| 1115 Barney Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 833 (+13%) | 5mo | $43,500 | $52 | 57 |
| 916 Mann St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 647 (-12%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $54 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $26,402
- Equity at exit
- $5,442
- IRR
- 61.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.91×
- Total profit
- $80,816
- Equity at exit
- $3,156
Cash invested: $10,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48503
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $932 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$191
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,207/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$196
- Net cashflow
- $429
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $450 | -5% $440 | +0% $429 | +5% $419 | +10% $409 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $356 | -5% $392 | +0% $429 | +5% $466 | +10% $503 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $448 | -0.5pp $439 | base $429 | +0.5pp $420 | +1.0pp $410 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,125
- Closing costs
- $1,095
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 352 Bradley Ave Unit 343 Sheffield Ave-Apt C Flint, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $900 | $1.60 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 343 Sheffield Apt. C Ave heuristic Flint, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $900 | $1.60 | 26d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $36,500 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-16pricedays on market $40,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $45,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $45,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-05$45,000 Active 316-char remark
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Adorable Ranch home that sits on a corner lot! All new flooring (2025), New paint (2025), New roof (2023), new plumbing (2025). .. .. spacious fenced-in yard, large 6x10 shed, and basement is dry. Seller is moving to Florida and has done all the right things to prepare for departure! Close to I-69, I-475, and I-75.
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2026-05-05$45,000 Active
Show marketing remark (316 chars)
Adorable Ranch home that sits on a corner lot! All new flooring (2025), New paint (2025), New roof (2023), new plumbing (2025). .. .. spacious fenced-in yard, large 6x10 shed, and basement is dry. Seller is moving to Florida and has done all the right things to prepare for departure! Close to I-69, I-475, and I-75.
-
2025-04-25soldstatus $21,500 Closed 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.
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2025-04-25soldstatus $21,500 Closed
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.
-
2025-04-03status Pending
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.
-
2025-04-03status Pending 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.
-
2025-03-17price $25,200
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.
-
2025-03-17price $25,200 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.
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2025-01-31$28,000 Active
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2025-01-22$28,000 Active 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
HUD Home- Great opportunity on this 2 bedroom home on a corner lot in the City of Flint. The home has a good curb appeal with a covered front porch and fenced back yard with shed. The interior has a good layout. Kitchen has plenty of cabinet space. Formal dining area and large living room.
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2010-12-06historical
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2008-08-11soldstatus $39,500
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2008-03-26historical
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2008-03-26historical
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2007-07-24$39,904
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2007-07-24$39,904
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2007-01-12$47,900
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2007-01-12historical
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2007-01-12$47,900
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2000-12-20soldstatus $41,000
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2000-12-20soldstatus $41,000
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2000-12-19soldstatus $41,000
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2000-11-14historical
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2000-10-20$45,000
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2000-10-20$45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,207 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,207 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,188
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,045
- − Property taxes
- −$1,207
- − Insurance
- −$182
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$895
- − Management
- −$895
- − Depreciation
- −$1,062
- Taxable income
- $4,901
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,176
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,975/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,347
- Household income
- $44,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1293.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.84%
- Current HPI
- 130.1152
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.35%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-05 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-25 Sold (MLS) $21,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-25 Sold (MLS) $21,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-03 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-03 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-17 Price Changed $25,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-17 Price Changed $25,200 REALCOMP
- 2025-01-31 Listed $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-22 Listed $28,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
- 2008-03-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-03-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-07-24 Listed $39,904 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-07-24 Listed $39,904 REALCOMP
- 2007-01-12 Listed $47,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-01-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-01-12 Listed $47,900 REALCOMP
- 2000-12-20 Sold (MLS) $41,000 REALCOMP
- 2000-12-20 Sold (MLS) $41,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 2000-11-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-10-20 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2000-10-20 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,207 · -19.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…