16511 Garfield Unit 9C · Paramount, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity at your hand! Welcome to this beautifully updated 1983 manufactured home, offering the perfect blend of modern style, affordability, and a prime Paramount location. Featuring 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this turnkey residence is completely ready for you to move right in and start enjoying the Southern California lifestyle! Step inside to discover a bright, open-concept floor plan boasting contemporary upgrades throughout. The freshly remodeled interior features stylish flooring, updated fixtures, and a gorgeous kitchen that flows seamlessly into the living area—perfect for both daily living and entertaining. The primary bedroom serves as a peaceful retreat
Key facts
- Gorgeous kitchen
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on a private, paved road; Directions: On Cherry Ave; north of 91 Fwy turns into Garfield, between Meridian Dr. and Jackson Street
- Financial info: Land lease in place ($920 per month, seller-reported)
- HOA & community: Part of an association; Senior community; Park name: Paramount Mobile Village; Community features include street lighting and sidewalks; Manager approval required
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Two carport/parking spaces
- Utilities: Standard electric service; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected (private sewer); Water connected (private water)
- Home design: Single-family manufactured home; One story; Mobile home model PSC 703 (10' x 50')
- Construction: Year built per builder; Mobile construction
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Community pool; Paved roads and driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms located on the first floor
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms with shower and shower-in-tub options
- Interior features: Turnkey condition; All bedrooms on main level; Ground-floor entry via Garfield
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a dedicated room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $949 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 3.2% in Paramount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#432 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Paramount Unified (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #416 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.99%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $225,000
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16511 S Garfield Ave S Unit B17 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (0%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $125 | 92 |
| 16601 Garfield Ave #110 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-4%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $120 | 86 |
| 16707 Garfield Ave #1512 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (+4%) | 8mo | $234,000 | $225 | 82 |
| 16600 Orange Ave #130 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+4%) | 1mo | $244,000 | $235 | 77 |
| 16600 Orange Ave #22 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+6%) | 14mo | $242,000 | $229 | 68 |
| 16707 Garfield Ave #1609 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (+8%) | 11mo | $227,000 | $210 | 68 |
| 16600 Orange Ave #63 | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (+12%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $125 | 59 |
| 16600 Orange Ave #23 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,118 (+12%) | 9mo | $252,000 | $225 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $22,822
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $68,149
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90723
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,582 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $526/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$542
- Net cashflow
- $949
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,054 | -5% $1,001 | +0% $949 | +5% $897 | +10% $844 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $745 | -5% $847 | +0% $949 | +5% $1,051 | +10% $1,153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,042 | -0.5pp $996 | base $949 | +0.5pp $901 | +1.0pp $852 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7029 Orange Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,519 | $3.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1319 E 68th St Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $2,600 | $2.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 6663 Gundry Ave Unit 1 Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $2,195 | $2.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6765 Lemon Ave Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $3,800 | $3.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6576 Falcon Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $2,195 | $2.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6890 Paramount Blvd Unit 12 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,695 | $2.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 15351 Orange Ave #26 Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 837 | $2,550 | $3.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6501 Cherry Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,874 | $2.05 | 16d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7115 Somerset Blvd Unit A Paramount, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,250 | $3.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7115 Somerset Blvd Unit B Paramount, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,250 | $2.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2921 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,495 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2890 E Artesia Blvd Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $2,595 | $3.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6673 Hammond Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 825 | $2,295 | $2.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6667 Hammond Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,700 | $3.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6315 Cherry Ave Long Beach, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,691 | $2.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 15334 Orizaba Ave Paramount, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $3,095 | $2.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6202 Cherry Ave Unit 6202 Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,175 | $2.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 15142 Georgia Ave Paramount, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $3,200 | $3.70 | 8d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2352 E Poppy St Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 800 | $3,395 | $4.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2354 E Poppy St Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 800 | $3,395 | $4.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3384 E 67th St Apt 2 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,234 | $3.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7227 Richfield St Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $2,450 | $2.75 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7317 Richfield St Unit 7317 Paramount, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $3,200 | $3.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 16825 Passage Ave Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 860 | $2,899 | $3.37 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 16825 Passage Ave Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 860 | $2,950 | $3.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6045 Cherry Ave Unit 1 Long Beach, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $2,850 | $2.60 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 17045 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $2,175 | $2.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 17050 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $2,495 | $3.01 | 21d | 2 | 1.35mi |
| 15005 Indiana Ave Paramount, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $3,300 | $2.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 17114 Passage Ave Bellflower, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,275 | $2.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5948 John Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $2,495 | $2.87 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5948 John Ave Unit 5948 Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $2,495 | $2.87 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5933 Gaviota Ave Long Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,800 | $3.50 | 5d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 8523 Cedar St Bellflower, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $3,000 | $2.55 | 7d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-02$185,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $526 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,406 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$880/yr (+$73/mo · 167.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$526
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,479
- − Management
- −$2,479
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $8,835
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,120
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,268/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully updated 1983 manufactured home is move-in ready with modern updates and a prime Paramount location. The interior and exterior are in good condition, and minor improvements can further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Adding a front door mat and entryway table — These small touches can improve the home's curb appeal and functionality.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers/renters.
- Both Adding a small outdoor seating area — An outdoor seating area can increase the home's appeal and functionality, especially in a Southern California setting.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding a front door mat and entryway table — These small touches can improve the home's curb appeal and functionality. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive to potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Adding a small outdoor seating area — An outdoor seating area can increase the home's appeal and functionality, especially in a Southern California setting. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paramount Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629850
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,631
- Composite
- 21.25/100
- National rank
- #8398
- State rank
- #416 of 517 in CA
Livability — Paramount
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #432
- US rank
- #14664
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paramount, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 52,050
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,050
- Household income
- $75,250
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2420.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 26% Black 9% White 4% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 71%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 67% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -459.80%
- Current HPI
- 478.1981
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.99%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $185,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $526 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…