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4846 295th St
B Composite 73.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

4846 295th St · Toledo, OH 43611
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 676 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1948 5,000 sqft lot Est $123k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SOLD PRIOR TO AUCTION! We apologize for any inconvenience, this auction has been cancelled. The seller accepted a sight unseen offer. Check out this 2-bedroom home in Point Place! Full basement and detached 1.5 garage. Minimum bid auction $69,000 on Tuesday June 16th, 2026 @ 4 PM! Preview and registration open at 3PM. Come bid your price!

Key facts

  • 5,000 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1948

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; No attached units; No common walls
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Basement: full; Awning(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($943 rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ottawa River Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,193 of 1,584 statewide, top 76%, 321 students, 0% FRL); Woodward High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 672 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $67,965 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.65%
Cash-on-cash
15.56%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$123,032
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2831 118th St 0.31mi 2/1.0 659 (-2%) 2mo $137,500 $209 80
4850 296th St 0.05mi 2/1.0 733 (+8%) 9mo $144,000 $196 76
2819 117th St 0.27mi 2/2.0 659 (-2%) 6mo $119,650 $182 75
2421 106th Rd 0.34mi 2/1.0 668 (-1%) 10mo $129,900 $194 74
4627 286th St 0.43mi 2/1.0 698 (+3%) 9mo $53,000 $76 67
2730 109th St 0.23mi 1/1.0 (-1) 625 (-8%) 7mo $105,000 $168 66
2930 123rd St 0.49mi 2/1.0 717 (+6%) 8mo $160,500 $224 61
4614 Edgemont Rd 0.68mi 2/1.0 725 (+7%) 13mo $115,000 $159 45
4623 283rd St 0.53mi 2/1.0 753 (+11%) 22mo $130,000 $173 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$4,804
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$24,836
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43611

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$943 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,247/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$198
Net cashflow
$251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $626
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $290 -5% $270 +0% $251 +5% $231 +10% $212
Rent -10% $176 -5% $213 +0% $251 +5% $288 +10% $325
Rate -1.0pp $285 -0.5pp $268 base $251 +0.5pp $233 +1.0pp $215

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2830 131st St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 760 $825 $1.08 14d 1 0.64mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    remarks 340-char remark
  2. 2026-06-15
    status $69,000 Pending 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    listed $69,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,247 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,247 · $104/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,318
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,247
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$905
− Management
−$905
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$2,043
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$490
After-tax cash flow
$2,517/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
18,664
Household income
$62,042
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
298.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.15%
Current HPI
245.2841
Rent YoY
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $69,000 NORIS

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,247 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…