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3216 Spartan #40
C- Composite 51.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,000

3216 Spartan #40 · Olney, MD 20832
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 996 sqft · Condo public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1973 $622/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Renovated Top Floor 3-Bedroom Unit in this desirable location of Olney! Completely renovated in 2020, this unit shows like a brand new home with new LVP floorings in the living room, dining room and hallway areas. Gourmet kitchen features granite countertops, stainless steel appliances and sleek white cabinets. Spacious primary bedroom with large windows, walk-in closet and half bath. Two other bedrooms provide ample room and closet space. Full size bathroom with in-unit Washer and Dryer. Relax at the over-sized balcony overlooking trees and greenery! Condo fees include water and electricity for heating and cooling (excluding plug-in electricity). Convenient location near grocery stores,

Key facts

  • $622 HOA
  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $622.24; HOA covers air conditioning, common area maintenance, heat, and water; Community amenities include pool, picnic area, and playground

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking lot with 2 spaces (total 2 garage/parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Condominium unit (Unit/Flat); Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Entry on level 3; Pets allowed with size/weight restrictions
  • Construction: Brick construction; Year of major renovation: 2020
  • Exterior features: Community outdoor pool; Picnic area; Tot lots/playground; Above-grade other structures

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
  • Interior features: No one lives above the unit; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup in the unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $239k).
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.9% in Olney — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#40 in MD, #1,468 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Montgomery County Public Schools (suburban): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #3 of 24 in MD (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sherwood Elementary (math 33% / reading 38%, grade F, #136 of 860 statewide, top 16%, 521 students, 27% FRL); William H. Farquhar Middle (math 15% / reading 53%, grade F, #51 of 225 statewide, top 23%, 674 students, 32% FRL); James Hubert Blake High (math 47% / reading 65%, grade C, #83 of 222 statewide, top 38%, 1,784 students, 59% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,880 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (2,054 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $239,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.09%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-23,875
Equity at exit
$35,636
10-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-765
Equity at exit
$20,664

Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20832

Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,955 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,581/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$622
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$621
Net cashflow
$228

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,667
Max offer price $239,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $363 -5% $296 +0% $228 +5% $160 +10% $93
Rent -10% $-5 -5% $111 +0% $228 +5% $345 +10% $462
Rate -1.0pp $348 -0.5pp $289 base $228 +0.5pp $166 +1.0pp $103

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,750
Closing costs
$7,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18106 Windsor Hill Dr #102 Olney, MD 2.0 1.5 1032 $2,350 $2.28 4d 1 0.24mi
18101 Marksman Cir Olney, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 992 $2,716 $2.74 0d 8 0.34mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$622 · $7,464/yr
Likely covers
waterelectric
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 850-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $239,000 Active 850-char remark
  3. 2026-04-24
    historical $239,000 850-char remark
  4. 2022-08-08
    historical
  5. 2022-07-24
    listed $225,000 Active
  6. 2020-07-21
    soldstatus $181,000
  7. 1989-11-21
    soldstatus $85,000
  8. 1987-06-24
    soldstatus $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,581 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,093 · $174/mo
Expected delta
+$512/yr (+$43/mo · 32.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,465
− Mortgage interest
−$13,388
− Property taxes
−$1,581
− Insurance
−$1,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,837
− Management
−$2,837
− HOA
−$7,464
− Depreciation
−$6,953
Taxable loss
−$790
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$190
After-tax cash flow
$2,927/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400480
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$97,191
Composite
35.62/100
National rank
#4889
State rank
#3 of 24 in MD

Livability — Olney

Score
81/100
State rank
#40
US rank
#1468

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute C+ Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Olney, MD
County
Montgomery County · 961,106 people
City population
25,553
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
25,553
Household income
$168,524
Rent vs Own
13.1% rent · 86.9% own
Severe rent burden
374.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,173,231 people
By 2030
1,237,402 · +5.5%
By 2040
1,365,115 · +16.4%
By 2050
1,491,592 · +27.1%
By 2075
1,803,893 · +53.8%
By 2100
2,035,619 · +73.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5% Korean 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+53.3) · D 75.2% · R 21.9% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+8.7pp toward D · 2008: 44.6pp · 2024: 53.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+53.3 2020: D+59.6 2016: D+55.5 2012: D+43.4 2008: D+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -359.69%
Current HPI
270.4649
Rent YoY
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+320.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Sold (MLS) $239,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $239,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Coming Soon $239,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-08-08 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-07-24 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $181,000 Public Records
  • 1989-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 1987-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,581 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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