12748 Route 6 · Burlington, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this properly maintained home in a great location for those who enjoy the outdoors and peaceful surroundings. This property offers an inviting open floor plan with spacious rooms and easy first floor living, making it a great option for families looking for a convenient place to call home. Step outside onto the nicely sized deck, perfect for relaxing and enjoying the fresh air. The property also features a chicken coop and storage shed, offering added functionality and a touch of country living. With very low taxes and a setting that provides easy access to nature, this home is a great opportunity for buyers seeking comfort, space, and value.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Nicely sized deck
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-14/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $110k (0.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (19.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $89k (19.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,533 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D+.
- Troy Area SD (rural): math 19% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #427 of 539 in PA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Bradford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Bradford County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $110k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.04%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,403
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -40.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
2.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $8,019
- Equity at exit
- $43,964
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $35,249
- Equity at exit
- $63,786
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16947
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $885 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $939/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $-1
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $109,900 Pending 89 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active Under Contract 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active Under Contract 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active Under Contract 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active Under Contract 85 DOM
-
2026-05-15historical Active Under Contract 661-char remark
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
Welcome to this properly maintained home in a great location for those who enjoy the outdoors and peaceful surroundings. This property offers an inviting open floor plan with spacious rooms and easy first floor living, making it a great option for families looking for a convenient place to call home. Step outside onto the nicely sized deck, perfect for relaxing and enjoying the fresh air. The property also features a chicken coop and storage shed, offering added functionality and a touch of country living. With very low taxes and a setting that provides easy access to nature, this home is a great opportunity for buyers seeking comfort, space, and value.
-
2026-04-09status Active 661-char remark
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
Welcome to this properly maintained home in a great location for those who enjoy the outdoors and peaceful surroundings. This property offers an inviting open floor plan with spacious rooms and easy first floor living, making it a great option for families looking for a convenient place to call home. Step outside onto the nicely sized deck, perfect for relaxing and enjoying the fresh air. The property also features a chicken coop and storage shed, offering added functionality and a touch of country living. With very low taxes and a setting that provides easy access to nature, this home is a great opportunity for buyers seeking comfort, space, and value.
-
2026-03-16historical Active Under Contract 661-char remark
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
Welcome to this properly maintained home in a great location for those who enjoy the outdoors and peaceful surroundings. This property offers an inviting open floor plan with spacious rooms and easy first floor living, making it a great option for families looking for a convenient place to call home. Step outside onto the nicely sized deck, perfect for relaxing and enjoying the fresh air. The property also features a chicken coop and storage shed, offering added functionality and a touch of country living. With very low taxes and a setting that provides easy access to nature, this home is a great opportunity for buyers seeking comfort, space, and value.
-
2026-03-07$109,900 Active 661-char remark
Show marketing remark (661 chars)
Welcome to this properly maintained home in a great location for those who enjoy the outdoors and peaceful surroundings. This property offers an inviting open floor plan with spacious rooms and easy first floor living, making it a great option for families looking for a convenient place to call home. Step outside onto the nicely sized deck, perfect for relaxing and enjoying the fresh air. The property also features a chicken coop and storage shed, offering added functionality and a touch of country living. With very low taxes and a setting that provides easy access to nature, this home is a great opportunity for buyers seeking comfort, space, and value.
-
2023-03-27soldstatus $71,277
-
2023-03-17soldstatus $71,277 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
2 bedroom ranch home in West Burlington. Would be great for a single person or a couple. Master bath, larger rooms. There are 2 sheds on the property for storage. Priced to sell quickly.
-
2023-01-21$69,900 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
2 bedroom ranch home in West Burlington. Would be great for a single person or a couple. Master bath, larger rooms. There are 2 sheds on the property for storage. Priced to sell quickly.
-
2010-11-03soldstatus $69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $939 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,338 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$399/yr (+$33/mo · 42.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,621
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$939
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$850
- − Management
- −$850
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable loss
- −$1,920
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$461
- After-tax cash flow
- $447/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Troy Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4223790
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,987
- Composite
- 28.7/100
- National rank
- #6690
- State rank
- #427 of 539 in PA
Livability — Burlington
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1533
- US rank
- #20149
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 163
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,653
Population outlook (Bradford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,236 people
- By 2030
- 54,660 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 49,502 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 44,277 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 33,420 · -41.6%
- By 2100
- 22,919 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bradford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.6% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -47.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.9 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+24.6 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- Current HPI
- 176.375
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+57.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Contingent — NMPA
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — NMPA
- 2026-03-16 Contingent — NMPA
- 2026-03-07 Listed $109,900 NMPA
- 2023-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $71,277 Public Records
- 2023-03-17 Sold (MLS) $71,277 NMPA
- 2023-01-21 Listed $69,900 NMPA
- 2010-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $939 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…