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4803 Southern Blvd Duplex
C+ Composite 62.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.5/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

4803 Southern Blvd · Youngstown, OH 44512
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,416 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1951 7,492 sqft lot Est $101k · 39% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000

Key facts

  • 7,492 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1951

Tags

SCREENED-IN BACK PORCHES DINING AND EVERYDAY AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Owner pays trash collection and water; Tenants pay electricity and gas; Top unit actual rent reported at $900 (leased)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces; Carport with 1 space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story multifamily building; One building on the lot; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,416
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Aluminum siding; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Public water; Public sewer

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (top unit occupied, bottom unit vacant)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air; Wall/window AC units
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $229/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Boardman Local (urban): math 63% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #189 of 656 in OH (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.22%
Cash-on-cash
14.01%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,536
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4803 Southern Blvd 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,416 (0%) 1mo $140,700 $99 100
4307 Helena Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,414 (-0%) 6mo $100,000 $71 72
4891 Southern Blvd 0.05mi 4/2.0 1,576 (+11%) 11mo $110,000 $70 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$13,006
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$77,755
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44512

Home prices YoY
-21.0%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,764 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$144 /mo · $1,732/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$457

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,185
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 69%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,764

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
158 Beechwood Dr Youngstown, OH 3.0 1.5 1438 $1,100 $0.76 13d 1 0.16mi
236 Hilton Ave Youngstown, OH 4.0 1.5 1488 $1,195 $0.80 21d 1 1.00mi
457 Mathews Rd Boardman, OH 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 43d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-09
    historical Contingent
  3. 2026-04-04
    listed $139,900 Active
  4. 2025-03-30
    historical $900
  5. 2025-03-29
    listed $900
  6. 2025-03-14
    historical $900
  7. 2025-03-14
    listed $900
  8. 2021-12-07
    soldstatus $110,000
  9. 2021-11-30
    soldstatus $110,000 Closed 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000

  10. 2021-11-06
    status Pending 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000

  11. 2021-10-04
    historical Contingent 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000

  12. 2021-08-20
    price $114,999 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000

  13. 2021-05-08
    status Active 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000

  14. 2021-05-02
    historical Contingent 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000

  15. 2021-04-20
    listed $115,000 Active 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000

  16. 2020-11-26
    historical
  17. 2020-07-10
    listed $109,000 Active
  18. 2008-03-14
    soldstatus $72,500
  19. 2008-03-14
    soldstatus $72,500
  20. 2007-09-26
    listed $79,900
  21. 2005-07-11
    soldstatus $67,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,732 · $144/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,957 · $163/mo
Expected delta
+$225/yr (+$19/mo · 13.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,168
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,732
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,693
− Management
−$1,693
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$3,443
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$826
After-tax cash flow
$4,661/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Boardman Local
NCES district ID
3904830
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$47,613
Composite
56.62/100
National rank
#1142
State rank
#189 of 656 in OH

Livability — Youngstown

Score
81/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#1506

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Mahoning County · 84,956 people
City population
28,503
Metro
Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
Population (ZIP)
32,536
Household income
$63,317
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
910.0

Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,932 people
By 2030
218,387 · -2.5%
By 2040
205,367 · -8.3%
By 2050
193,606 · -13.5%
By 2075
173,694 · -22.4%
By 2100
151,147 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.75%
Current HPI
213.1446
Rent YoY
▲ 6.56%
Metro
Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+108.8% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-09 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $139,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-03-30 Rental Removed $900 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-03-29 Listed for Rent $900 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-03-14 Rental Removed $900 RENTALBEAST
  • 2025-03-14 Listed for Rent $900 RENTALBEAST
  • 2021-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2021-11-30 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MLSNOW
  • 2021-11-06 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2021-10-04 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2021-08-20 Price Changed $114,999 MLSNOW
  • 2021-05-08 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2021-05-02 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2021-04-20 Listed $115,000 MLSNOW
  • 2020-11-26 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2020-07-10 Listed $109,000 MLSNOW
  • 2008-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
  • 2008-03-14 Sold (MLS) $72,500 MLSNOW
  • 2007-09-26 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
  • 2005-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,732 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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