Duplex
4803 Southern Blvd · Youngstown, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000
Key facts
- 7,492 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1951
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Owner pays trash collection and water; Tenants pay electricity and gas; Top unit actual rent reported at $900 (leased)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces; Carport with 1 space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story multifamily building; One building on the lot; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,416
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Aluminum siding; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (top unit occupied, bottom unit vacant)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Central air; Wall/window AC units
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $229/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 7.0% in Youngstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#99 in OH, #1,506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Boardman Local (urban): math 63% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #189 of 656 in OH (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.01%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,536
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4803 Southern Blvd | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,416 (0%) | 1mo | $140,700 | $99 | 100 |
| 4307 Helena Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,414 (-0%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $71 | 72 |
| 4891 Southern Blvd | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 | 1,576 (+11%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $70 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $13,006
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $77,755
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44512
- Home prices YoY
- -21.0%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,764 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,732/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $457
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,764 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $882 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $882 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,764 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158 Beechwood Dr Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1438 | $1,100 | $0.76 | 13d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 236 Hilton Ave Youngstown, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1488 | $1,195 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 457 Mathews Rd Boardman, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-05-23status Pending
-
2026-04-09historical Contingent
-
2026-04-04$139,900 Active
-
2025-03-30historical $900
-
2025-03-29$900
-
2025-03-14historical $900
-
2025-03-14$900
-
2021-12-07soldstatus $110,000
-
2021-11-30soldstatus $110,000 Closed 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000
-
2021-11-06status Pending 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000
-
2021-10-04historical Contingent 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000
-
2021-08-20price $114,999 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000
-
2021-05-08status Active 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000
-
2021-05-02historical Contingent 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000
-
2021-04-20$115,000 Active 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Great income property , tenants pay every thing , except water trash collection and maintenance paid by the landlord . Up & down duplex , Boardman T/S , Boardman schools , both units each has living room , 2 bedrooms , 1 full bath , kitchen , and eating area. full basement divided in 2 sections with laundry hookup for each unit. each unit has 1 detach garage. 1 carport for the first floor unit . 100% occupied. Gross yearly income$15,000
-
2020-11-26historical
-
2020-07-10$109,000 Active
-
2008-03-14soldstatus $72,500
-
2008-03-14soldstatus $72,500
-
2007-09-26$79,900
-
2005-07-11soldstatus $67,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,732 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,957 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- +$225/yr (+$19/mo · 13.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,732
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,693
- − Management
- −$1,693
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $3,443
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$826
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,661/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Boardman Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904830
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,613
- Composite
- 56.62/100
- National rank
- #1142
- State rank
- #189 of 656 in OH
Livability — Youngstown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #1506
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Mahoning County · 84,956 people
- City population
- 28,503
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,536
- Household income
- $63,317
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 910.0
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.75%
- Current HPI
- 213.1446
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.56%
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+108.8% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-09 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-04 Listed $139,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-03-30 Rental Removed $900 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-03-29 Listed for Rent $900 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-03-14 Rental Removed $900 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-03-14 Listed for Rent $900 RENTALBEAST
- 2021-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-30 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-11-06 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2021-10-04 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2021-08-20 Price Changed $114,999 MLSNOW
- 2021-05-08 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2021-05-02 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2021-04-20 Listed $115,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-11-26 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2020-07-10 Listed $109,000 MLSNOW
- 2008-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
- 2008-03-14 Sold (MLS) $72,500 MLSNOW
- 2007-09-26 Listed $79,900 MLSNOW
- 2005-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,732 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…