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1077 New Hope Rd
B Composite 70.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

1077 New Hope Rd · Lawrenceville, GA 30045
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,360 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1983 0.60 ac lot $110/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Opportunity in a Prime Location! Located on desirable New Hope Road in Lawrenceville, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offers approximately 1,360 square feet and sits on a beautiful lot with strong potential. Built in 1983, the home features both a front and back porch and is ready for updates-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize. Positioned in a high-visibility area with potential commercial use (buyer to verify zoning and intended use with Gwinnett County), this property presents a unique opportunity for future development or live/work possibilities. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, with access to the Archer High School district, adding to its overall appeal. Sold as-is. No seller disclosures. Cash or rehab loan preferred. Must sign hold harmless document before touring. See private remarks.

Key facts

  • Near dining
  • Future development
  • Near shopping

Tags

FRONT AND BACK PORCHPOTENTIAL COMMERCIAL USEFUTURE DEVELOPMENTLIVE WORK POSSIBILITIESNEAR SHOPPINGNEAR DINING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Underground utilities; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Double wide mobile home; One level; Facing and entry details not provided
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Block foundation; Property listed as fixer
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Front porch; Rear porch; Shed(s); Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Other kitchen features
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Master bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level); Master bathroom with other features
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $777 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 3.8% in Lawrenceville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in GA, #473 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
  • Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lovin Elementary School (math 31% / reading 38%, grade F, #531 of 1,228 statewide, top 45%, 893 students, 63% FRL); Mcconnell Middle School (math 39% / reading 51%, grade D, #103 of 470 statewide, top 23%, 2,176 students, 51% FRL); Archer High School (math 32% / reading 33%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 3,134 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $150k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.51%
Cash-on-cash
22.20%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$329,832
List price
$150,000
Delta
-54.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
181 Bernice Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,448 (+6%) 12mo $310,000 $214 65
977 Hilltop Ct 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,372 (+1%) 21mo $332,000 $242 64
112 Bernice Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,482 (+9%) 12mo $325,000 $219 58
867 Mccart Rd 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,216 (-11%) 0mo $175,000 $144 53
865 Turner Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,515 (+11%) 13mo $310,000 $205 44
1471 Beechwood Cir 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,243 (-9%) 24mo $325,000 $261 43
425 Madison Chase Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,519 (+12%) 19mo $340,000 $224 38
152 Park Place Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,242 (-9%) 18mo $290,000 $233 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$18,483
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$53,913
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30045

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Rents YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
426
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,302 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$192 /mo · $2,308/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$483
Net cashflow
$777

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,318
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1145 Brook Meadow Ct Lawrenceville, GA 3.0 2.0 1856 $2,300 $1.24 19d 1 0.20mi
980 Hilltop Ct Lawrenceville, GA 4.0 2.0 1536 $2,000 $1.30 24d 1 0.36mi
102 Park Place Dr Lawrenceville, GA 3.0 2.0 1444 $2,295 $1.59 18d 1 0.69mi
111 Park Place Dr Lawrenceville, GA 4.0 3.0 1872 $2,281 $1.22 24d 1 0.74mi
907 Keldron Ct Lawrenceville, GA 3.0 2.0 1752 $2,400 $1.37 19d 1 0.81mi
564 Kirtley Ct Lawrenceville, GA 3.0 2.0 1760 $2,080 $1.18 2d 1 0.85mi
209 Park Place Dr Lawrenceville, GA 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,849 $1.25 3d 1 0.98mi
445 Windsor Brook Ln Lawrenceville, GA 4.0 2.0 1720 $2,071 $1.20 4d 1 1.08mi
54 Oxford Brook Way Lawrenceville, GA 3.0 2.0 1672 $2,150 $1.29 44d 1 1.13mi
69 Forest Pl Lawrenceville, GA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,650 $1.50 13d 1 1.34mi
291 Summer Pond Trl Lawrenceville, GA 3.0 2.0 1676 $1,450 $0.87 22d 1 1.36mi
280 Summer Pond Trl Lawrenceville, GA 4.0 2.5 1576 $2,173 $1.38 44d 1 1.41mi
429 Strickland Ct Lawrenceville, GA 3.0 2.0 1580 $1,850 $1.17 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $150,000 Pending 32 DOM
    Show marketing remark (896 chars)

    Great Opportunity in a Prime Location! Located on desirable New Hope Road in Lawrenceville, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offers approximately 1,360 square feet and sits on a beautiful lot with strong potential. Built in 1983, the home features both a front and back porch and is ready for updates-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize. Positioned in a high-visibility area with potential commercial use (buyer to verify zoning and intended use with Gwinnett County), this property presents a unique opportunity for future development or live/work possibilities. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, with access to the Archer High School district, adding to its overall appeal. Sold as-is. No seller disclosures. Cash or rehab loan preferred. Must sign hold harmless document before touring. See private remarks.

  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-05-16
    price $200,000 896-char remark
    Show marketing remark (896 chars)

    Great Opportunity in a Prime Location! Located on desirable New Hope Road in Lawrenceville, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offers approximately 1,360 square feet and sits on a beautiful lot with strong potential. Built in 1983, the home features both a front and back porch and is ready for updates-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize. Positioned in a high-visibility area with potential commercial use (buyer to verify zoning and intended use with Gwinnett County), this property presents a unique opportunity for future development or live/work possibilities. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, with access to the Archer High School district, adding to its overall appeal. Sold as-is. No seller disclosures. Cash or rehab loan preferred. Must sign hold harmless document before touring. See private remarks.

  6. 2026-05-16
    price $200,000 896-char remark
    Show marketing remark (896 chars)

    Great Opportunity in a Prime Location! Located on desirable New Hope Road in Lawrenceville, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offers approximately 1,360 square feet and sits on a beautiful lot with strong potential. Built in 1983, the home features both a front and back porch and is ready for updates-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize. Positioned in a high-visibility area with potential commercial use (buyer to verify zoning and intended use with Gwinnett County), this property presents a unique opportunity for future development or live/work possibilities. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, with access to the Archer High School district, adding to its overall appeal. Sold as-is. No seller disclosures. Cash or rehab loan preferred. Must sign hold harmless document before touring. See private remarks.

  7. 2026-05-12
    price $230,000 896-char remark
    Show marketing remark (896 chars)

    Great Opportunity in a Prime Location! Located on desirable New Hope Road in Lawrenceville, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offers approximately 1,360 square feet and sits on a beautiful lot with strong potential. Built in 1983, the home features both a front and back porch and is ready for updates-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize. Positioned in a high-visibility area with potential commercial use (buyer to verify zoning and intended use with Gwinnett County), this property presents a unique opportunity for future development or live/work possibilities. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, with access to the Archer High School district, adding to its overall appeal. Sold as-is. No seller disclosures. Cash or rehab loan preferred. Must sign hold harmless document before touring. See private remarks.

  8. 2026-05-12
    price $230,000 896-char remark
    Show marketing remark (896 chars)

    Great Opportunity in a Prime Location! Located on desirable New Hope Road in Lawrenceville, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offers approximately 1,360 square feet and sits on a beautiful lot with strong potential. Built in 1983, the home features both a front and back porch and is ready for updates-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize. Positioned in a high-visibility area with potential commercial use (buyer to verify zoning and intended use with Gwinnett County), this property presents a unique opportunity for future development or live/work possibilities. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, with access to the Archer High School district, adding to its overall appeal. Sold as-is. No seller disclosures. Cash or rehab loan preferred. Must sign hold harmless document before touring. See private remarks.

  9. 2026-05-07
    price $240,000 896-char remark
    Show marketing remark (896 chars)

    Great Opportunity in a Prime Location! Located on desirable New Hope Road in Lawrenceville, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offers approximately 1,360 square feet and sits on a beautiful lot with strong potential. Built in 1983, the home features both a front and back porch and is ready for updates-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize. Positioned in a high-visibility area with potential commercial use (buyer to verify zoning and intended use with Gwinnett County), this property presents a unique opportunity for future development or live/work possibilities. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, with access to the Archer High School district, adding to its overall appeal. Sold as-is. No seller disclosures. Cash or rehab loan preferred. Must sign hold harmless document before touring. See private remarks.

  10. 2026-05-07
    price $240,000 896-char remark
    Show marketing remark (896 chars)

    Great Opportunity in a Prime Location! Located on desirable New Hope Road in Lawrenceville, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offers approximately 1,360 square feet and sits on a beautiful lot with strong potential. Built in 1983, the home features both a front and back porch and is ready for updates-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize. Positioned in a high-visibility area with potential commercial use (buyer to verify zoning and intended use with Gwinnett County), this property presents a unique opportunity for future development or live/work possibilities. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, with access to the Archer High School district, adding to its overall appeal. Sold as-is. No seller disclosures. Cash or rehab loan preferred. Must sign hold harmless document before touring. See private remarks.

  11. 2026-05-01
    listed $250,000 Active 896-char remark
  12. 2026-04-24
    listed $250,000 New 896-char remark
    Show marketing remark (896 chars)

    Great Opportunity in a Prime Location! Located on desirable New Hope Road in Lawrenceville, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home offers approximately 1,360 square feet and sits on a beautiful lot with strong potential. Built in 1983, the home features both a front and back porch and is ready for updates-perfect for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize. Positioned in a high-visibility area with potential commercial use (buyer to verify zoning and intended use with Gwinnett County), this property presents a unique opportunity for future development or live/work possibilities. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major roadways, with access to the Archer High School district, adding to its overall appeal. Sold as-is. No seller disclosures. Cash or rehab loan preferred. Must sign hold harmless document before touring. See private remarks.

  13. 1989-06-05
    soldstatus $52,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,308 · $192/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,308 · $192/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,624
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,308
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,210
− Management
−$2,210
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$7,381
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,771
After-tax cash flow
$7,555/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gwinnett County
NCES district ID
1302550
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$62,416
Composite
36.5/100
National rank
#4648
State rank
#32 of 174 in GA

Livability — Lawrenceville

Score
85/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#473

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute B+ Cost of living A Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Gwinnett County · 952,346 people
City population
276,247
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
44,993
Household income
$104,350
Rent vs Own
16.8% rent · 83.2% own
Severe rent burden
659.0

Population outlook (Gwinnett County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,106,028 people
By 2030
1,211,414 · +9.5%
By 2040
1,422,277 · +28.6%
By 2050
1,623,204 · +46.8%
By 2075
2,105,240 · +90.3%
By 2100
2,443,321 · +120.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Black 43% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 11% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% American 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Gwinnett

2024 margin
D (+16.5) · D 57.6% · R 41.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+26.8pp toward D · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: 16.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.5 2020: D+18.3 2016: D+5.8 2012: R+9.4 2008: R+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -120.05%
Current HPI
228.0768
Rent YoY
▼ -1.09%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+185.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Pending FMLS
  • 2026-05-30 Price Changed $150,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-30 Price Changed $150,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $185,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $185,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $200,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $200,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $230,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $230,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $240,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $240,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $250,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $250,000 GAMLS
  • 1989-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,308 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…