18051 Biscayne Blvd #1604 · Aventura, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this gorgeous 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence offering luxury living at its finest! Located on the 16th floor, this spacious condo boasts a bright, open layout with beautiful white ceramic floors flowing throughout. Modern kitchen, featuring granite countertops, sleek cabinetry, and a premium cooktop. Every room feels airy and expansive with large windows that fill the home with natural light. Enjoy walk-in closets, a huge open balcony with city views, and elegant finishes throughout. Enjoy an array of resort-style amenities, including pool, fitness center, clubhouse, barbecue area, and tennis courts. Building is situated in a prime location near Aventura Mall, fine dining, shopp
Key facts
- Premium cooktop
- City views
- Walk-in closets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions/conditions
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $1,050; Association fee includes amenities; Community clubhouse; On-site fitness center
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Detached garage; Guest parking; 1 covered space (1-car garage)
- Security: Complex fenced; Security guard
- Utilities: Has cooling (central air); Has heating (central)
- Home design: Condo/Co-op (attached property); 16th floor entry; 17 total stories; Bay front waterfront; Has a view
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Balcony; Barbecue; Tennis court(s); Open balcony/patio; Complex is fenced; Security guard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Icemaker; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-362 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $286k (18.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
- Recommended offer: $286k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: health & safety A+, amenities A, commute A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Aventura Waterways K-8 Center (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #664 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 2,168 students, 32% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Dr. Michael M. Krop Senior High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,235 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 64% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1879 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,362/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 228 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 15117% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 228 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.80%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-32,448
- Equity at exit
- $110,948
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-33,014
- Equity at exit
- $141,048
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1879
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,362 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$350 /mo · $4,197/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$1,050
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$916
- Net cashflow
- $-362
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-163 | -5% $-262 | +0% $-362 | +5% $-461 | +10% $-560 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-706 | -5% $-534 | +0% $-362 | +5% $-189 | +10% $-17 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-185 | -0.5pp $-273 | base $-362 | +0.5pp $-452 | +1.0pp $-545 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,050 · $12,600/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $350,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $350,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $350,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $350,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $350,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $350,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $350,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $350,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $350,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $350,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $350,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $350,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $350,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $350,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-02-06historical $2,300
-
2026-02-01$2,300
-
2026-02-01historical $2,300
-
2026-01-09$2,300
-
2025-11-04$350,000 Active
-
2024-11-11historical
-
2024-09-18historical $2,800
-
2024-09-05price $460,000
-
2024-09-05price $2,800
-
2024-09-04price $469,000
-
2024-07-25price $489,000
-
2024-07-03price $2,990
-
2024-06-26price $492,000
-
2024-06-15$495,000 Active
-
2024-05-12$3,200
-
2022-09-01soldstatus $454,000
-
2021-08-02soldstatus $364,000
-
2019-07-19soldstatus $179,000
-
2016-05-27historical
-
2016-02-05$245,000 Active
-
1997-03-13soldstatus $40,000
-
1997-03-13soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,197 · $350/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,197 · $350/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $52,345
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$4,197
- − Insurance
- −$6,868
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,188
- − Management
- −$4,188
- − HOA
- −$12,600
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable loss
- −$9,484
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,276
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,063/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Aventura
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #1834
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aventura, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 34,147
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-94.2% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-06 Rental Removed $2,300 ZUMPER1
- 2026-02-01 Listed for Rent $2,300 ZUMPER1
- 2026-02-01 Rental Removed $2,300 MARMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed for Rent $2,300 MARMLS
- 2025-11-04 Listed $350,000 MARMLS
- 2024-11-11 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-09-18 Rental Removed $2,800 MARMLS
- 2024-09-05 Price Changed $460,000 MARMLS
- 2024-09-05 Price Changed $2,800 MARMLS
- 2024-09-04 Price Changed $469,000 MARMLS
- 2024-07-25 Price Changed $489,000 MARMLS
- 2024-07-03 Price Changed $2,990 MARMLS
- 2024-06-26 Price Changed $492,000 MARMLS
- 2024-06-15 Listed $495,000 MARMLS
- 2024-05-12 Listed for Rent $3,200 MARMLS
- 2022-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $454,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $364,000 Public Records
- 2019-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $179,000 Public Records
- 2016-05-27 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2016-02-05 Listed $245,000 MARMLS
- 1997-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1997-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,197 · -10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…