206 Mountain Penny Ln · Kimmel, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home! Private Remarks: All information and numbers are estimates and to be verified by buyer.
Key facts
- Private well
- Over 5 acres
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Claysburg-Kimmel SD (rural): math 37% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #284 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Bedford County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $110k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.45%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $73,454
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- 49.75%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $40,709
- Equity at exit
- $57,034
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.51×
- Total profit
- $108,037
- Equity at exit
- $94,306
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16625
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,289 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $915/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $110,000 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!
-
2026-05-21price $110,000 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!
-
2026-03-10status Active 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!
-
2026-03-10status Active 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!
-
2026-02-22status Pending 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home! Private Remarks: All information and numbers are estimates and to be verified by buyer.
-
2026-02-11status Pending 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!
-
2026-01-22status Active 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!
-
2026-01-12status Pending 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!
-
2025-12-05price $135,000 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!
-
2025-12-05price $135,000 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!
-
2025-11-13price $143,000 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!
-
2025-11-13price $143,000 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!
-
2025-11-05$155,000 Active 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home! Private Remarks: All information and numbers are estimates and to be verified by buyer.
-
2025-11-05$155,000 Active 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home! Private Remarks: All information and numbers are estimates and to be verified by buyer.
-
2019-06-20soldstatus $65,000
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2019-06-19soldstatus $65,000
-
2018-12-17$65,000
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1993-07-01soldstatus $15,000
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1979-09-01soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $915 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,326 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$412/yr (+$34/mo · 45.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,471
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$915
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,238
- − Management
- −$1,238
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $2,170
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$521
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Claysburg-Kimmel SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206120
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,568
- Composite
- 37.68/100
- National rank
- #4365
- State rank
- #284 of 539 in PA
Livability — Kimmel
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,551
Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,395 people
- By 2030
- 43,353 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 38,858 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 34,162 · -24.7%
- By 2075
- 24,868 · -45.2%
- By 2100
- 16,910 · -62.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 6% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Bedford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.6) · D 15.4% · R 84.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.8pp · 2024: -68.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.6 2020: R+67.7 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+44.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.20%
- Current HPI
- 122.9552
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+1000.0% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $110,000 AHARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-10 Relisted — AHARMLS
- 2026-02-22 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-11 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2026-01-22 Relisted — AHARMLS
- 2026-01-12 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $135,000 AHARMLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $143,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $143,000 AHARMLS
- 2025-11-05 Listed $155,000 AHARMLS
- 2025-11-05 Listed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2019-06-19 Sold (MLS) $65,000 AHARMLS
- 2018-12-17 Listed $65,000 AHARMLS
- 1993-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 1979-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $915 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…