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206 Mountain Penny Ln
C+ Composite 61.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$110,000

206 Mountain Penny Ln · Kimmel, PA 16625
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 994 sqft · Manufactured public records · 171 Days on market
Built 1986 5.31 ac lot $111/sqft · 33% above area Est $73k · 50% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home! Private Remarks: All information and numbers are estimates and to be verified by buyer.

Key facts

  • Private well
  • Over 5 acres
  • Storage shed

Tags

OVER 5 ACRESPRIVATE WELLSTORAGE SHEDEAT-IN KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Claysburg-Kimmel SD (rural): math 37% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #284 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Bedford County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $110k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.78%
Cash-on-cash
12.45%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$73,454
List price
$110,000
Delta
49.75%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$40,709
Equity at exit
$57,034
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
4.51×
Total profit
$108,037
Equity at exit
$94,306

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16625

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,289 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $915/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$320

Break-even live

Break-even rent $885
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on marketlisting id $110,000 Active 171 DOM
  2. 2026-05-21
    price $110,000 597-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!

  3. 2026-05-21
    price $110,000 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!

  4. 2026-03-10
    status Active 597-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!

  5. 2026-03-10
    status Active 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!

  6. 2026-02-22
    status Pending 597-char remark
    Show marketing remark (597 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home! Private Remarks: All information and numbers are estimates and to be verified by buyer.

  7. 2026-02-11
    status Pending 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!

  8. 2026-01-22
    status Active 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!

  9. 2026-01-12
    status Pending 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!

  10. 2025-12-05
    price $135,000 597-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!

  11. 2025-12-05
    price $135,000 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!

  12. 2025-11-13
    price $143,000 597-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!

  13. 2025-11-13
    price $143,000 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home!

  14. 2025-11-05
    listed $155,000 Active 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (597 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home! Private Remarks: All information and numbers are estimates and to be verified by buyer.

  15. 2025-11-05
    listed $155,000 Active 597-char remark
    Show marketing remark (597 chars)

    Tired of home searching?? Welcome to your Home Sweet Home at 206 Mountain Penny Lane! This well-maintained singlewide sits on over 5 acres and features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and generous living spaces, including a cozy living room and an eat-in kitchen. Also, a large garage and storage shed for all your outdoor gear. With plenty of land to make your own and a private well and septic, this property has it all. Schedule your showing today and get ready to celebrate the Holidays in your new home! Private Remarks: All information and numbers are estimates and to be verified by buyer.

  16. 2019-06-20
    soldstatus $65,000
  17. 2019-06-19
    soldstatus $65,000
  18. 2018-12-17
    listed $65,000
  19. 1993-07-01
    soldstatus $15,000
  20. 1979-09-01
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$915 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,326 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$412/yr (+$34/mo · 45.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,471
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$915
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,238
− Management
−$1,238
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,170
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$521
After-tax cash flow
$3,315/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Claysburg-Kimmel SD
NCES district ID
4206120
Math proficiency
37% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,568
Composite
37.68/100
National rank
#4365
State rank
#284 of 539 in PA

Livability — Kimmel

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,551

Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,395 people
By 2030
43,353 · -4.5%
By 2040
38,858 · -14.4%
By 2050
34,162 · -24.7%
By 2075
24,868 · -45.2%
By 2100
16,910 · -62.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 6% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Bedford

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.6) · D 15.4% · R 84.0%
2008→2024 swing
-23.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.8pp · 2024: -68.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.6 2020: R+67.7 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+44.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.20%
Current HPI
122.9552
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1000.0% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $110,000 AHARMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-10 Relisted AHARMLS
  • 2026-02-22 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-11 Pending AHARMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Relisted AHARMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Pending AHARMLS
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $135,000 AHARMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $143,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $143,000 AHARMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Listed $155,000 AHARMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Listed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2019-06-19 Sold (MLS) $65,000 AHARMLS
  • 2018-12-17 Listed $65,000 AHARMLS
  • 1993-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
  • 1979-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $915 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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