2595 Atlanta #19 · Riverside, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 22 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$216,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your dream home in the highly desirable Santiago Estates! This beautifully remodeled, turnkey property is ready for you to move right in and start enjoying. Step inside to a bright and spacious 1,344 sq ft layout featuring 3 bedrooms + Office and 2 bathrooms, designed with both comfort and style in mind. The stunning upgraded kitchen is the heart of the home, complemented by dual-pane windows and sleek laminate wood flooring throughout. The oversized primary suite offers a private retreat with its own ensuite bathroom, perfect for relaxing at the end of the day. Enjoy peace of mind with major upgrades including a newer AC and heating system, new ducting, and fresh interior and exterior paint. Outside, you’ll love the low-maintenance yard—ideal for easy living without sacrificing outdoor space. Plus, Santiago Estates offers fantastic community amenities including a sparkling pool and spa. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and freeway access, this home truly has it all. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your private showing today before it’s gone!
Key facts
- Newer ac
- Dual-pane windows
- Upgraded kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $216k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $216k).
- Recommended offer: $203k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.0% in Riverside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#337 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, commute B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, crime F.
- Riverside Unified (urban): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #574 of 1,400 in CA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 156 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($203k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.06%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,000
- List price
- $216,000
- Delta
- 30.91%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1560 Massachussetts Ave #94 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-3%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $142 | 83 |
| 79 Round Table Dr | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 16mo | $110,000 | $82 | 77 |
| 2595 Atlanta Ave #19 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (0%) | 24mo | $190,000 | $141 | 75 |
| 2595 Atlanta #33 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (0%) | 24mo | $220,000 | $164 | 75 |
| 98 Sir Galahad Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-7%) | 13mo | $159,900 | $128 | 63 |
| 1560 Massachusetts Ave #138 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 20mo | $179,900 | $125 | 62 |
| 2 Round Table Dr | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,224 (-9%) | 18mo | $121,000 | $99 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-17,994
- Equity at exit
- $32,206
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-8,525
- Equity at exit
- $18,676
Cash invested: $60,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92507
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,340 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,133
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$270 /mo · $3,240/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $356
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,000
- Closing costs
- $6,480
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2770 Atlanta Ave Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $2,030 | $2.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1370 Wheaton Way Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,595 | $2.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1301 Wheaton Way Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $2,750 | $2.39 | 1d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1251 Massachusetts Ave Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 785 | $2,300 | $2.93 | 43d | 7 | 0.41mi |
| 1201 W Blaine St Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $2,160 | $2.35 | 1d | 7 | 0.46mi |
| 1175 W Blaine St Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $2,220 | $2.81 | 10d | 4 | 0.54mi |
| 1046 Spruce St Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $2,400 | $3.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3472 Anderson Ave Unit 02N Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $1,950 | $2.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1662 Palermo Dr Riverside, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1657 | $1,000 | $0.60 | 19d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1170 Tripoli St Riverside, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $545 | $0.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3429 Rustin Ave Riverside, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,225 | $2.06 | 1d | 4 | 0.72mi |
| 1966 W Linden St Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 12d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1966 W Linden St Unit 1960 Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1120 W Linden St Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $2,339 | $3.12 | 2d | 13 | 0.83mi |
| 3170 Canyon Crest Dr Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 575 | $2,502 | $4.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 807 W Blaine St Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $2,275 | $2.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1471 Everton Pl Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $2,400 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1415 Everton Pl Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,000 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1424 Everton Pl Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $2,700 | $2.34 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3996 Iowa Ave Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–8.0 | 687 | $1,462 | $2.13 | 12d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3131 Watkins Dr Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $2,110 | $2.05 | 2d | 4 | 1.02mi |
| 3523 Strong St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1126 | $3,200 | $2.84 | 10d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3077 Wendell Way Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $2,950 | $2.74 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3516 Tyco Dr Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $2,600 | $2.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3647 Elliotta Dr Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,895 | $2.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3452 Mulberry St Unit 2 Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,795 | $1.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3745 Strong St Riverside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $1,995 | $2.55 | 4d | 2 | 1.36mi |
| 3050 Mission Inn Ave Riverside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $2,675 | $3.82 | 4d | 10 | 1.38mi |
| 1066 Orange St Unit 1090-2 Riverside, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,595 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3451 5th St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,250 | $1.91 | 4d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3451 5th St Unit 3451 Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $3,295 | $1.94 | 4d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3845 Strong St Riverside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $2,800 | $2.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $216,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $216,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $216,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $216,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $216,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $216,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $216,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $216,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $216,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $216,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $216,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $216,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-03-29$216,000 Active 1126-char remark
Show marketing remark (1126 chars)
Welcome to your dream home in the highly desirable Santiago Estates! This beautifully remodeled, turnkey property is ready for you to move right in and start enjoying. Step inside to a bright and spacious 1,344 sq ft layout featuring 3 bedrooms + Office and 2 bathrooms, designed with both comfort and style in mind. The stunning upgraded kitchen is the heart of the home, complemented by dual-pane windows and sleek laminate wood flooring throughout. The oversized primary suite offers a private retreat with its own ensuite bathroom, perfect for relaxing at the end of the day. Enjoy peace of mind with major upgrades including a newer AC and heating system, new ducting, and fresh interior and exterior paint. Outside, you’ll love the low-maintenance yard—ideal for easy living without sacrificing outdoor space. Plus, Santiago Estates offers fantastic community amenities including a sparkling pool and spa. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and freeway access, this home truly has it all. Don’t miss this incredible opportunity—schedule your private showing today before it’s gone!
-
2024-07-03soldstatus $190,000 Closed Sale 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Welcome to this Turnkey home located in Santiago Estates. It has been completely remodeled. It has a gorgeous kitchen, dual pane windows and laminate wood floors throughout the home. It is very spacious at 1,344 square feet. The home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. It has a big primary bedroom with an ensuite bathroom. It has an upgraded AC and heating system with new ducts and new paint inside and out . The yard is spacious and requires low maintenance. There is a community pool and spa. This property is located close to shopping , restaurants, and the freeway. This is a must see !!!
-
2024-06-18status Pending Sale 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Welcome to this Turnkey home located in Santiago Estates. It has been completely remodeled. It has a gorgeous kitchen, dual pane windows and laminate wood floors throughout the home. It is very spacious at 1,344 square feet. The home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. It has a big primary bedroom with an ensuite bathroom. It has an upgraded AC and heating system with new ducts and new paint inside and out . The yard is spacious and requires low maintenance. There is a community pool and spa. This property is located close to shopping , restaurants, and the freeway. This is a must see !!!
-
2024-06-11$189,000 Active 597-char remark
Show marketing remark (597 chars)
Welcome to this Turnkey home located in Santiago Estates. It has been completely remodeled. It has a gorgeous kitchen, dual pane windows and laminate wood floors throughout the home. It is very spacious at 1,344 square feet. The home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. It has a big primary bedroom with an ensuite bathroom. It has an upgraded AC and heating system with new ducts and new paint inside and out . The yard is spacious and requires low maintenance. There is a community pool and spa. This property is located close to shopping , restaurants, and the freeway. This is a must see !!!
-
2023-08-02soldstatus $175,000 Closed Sale
-
2023-06-27historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-06-21$169,000 Active
-
2018-10-18historical
-
2018-10-05status Active
-
2018-09-05historical Hold Do Not Show
-
2018-08-17price $84,999
-
2018-08-02price $94,999
-
2018-05-01price $89,498
-
2018-04-18$85,000 Active
-
2004-07-31historical
-
2004-03-31$58,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 22 unhealthy d/yr today · 27 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,076
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,099
- − Property taxes
- −$3,240
- − Insurance
- −$1,080
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,246
- − Management
- −$2,246
- − Depreciation
- −$6,284
- Taxable income
- $880
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$211
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,056/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverside Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0633150
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,038
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #7563
- State rank
- #574 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Riverside
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #337
- US rank
- #11613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Riverside, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 367,890
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,015
- Household income
- $75,303
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3590.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 21% Asian 14% Two or more races 13% Black 9% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 44%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Ukrainian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 36% Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -401.54%
- Current HPI
- 442.9617
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+269.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Listed $216,000 CRMLS
- 2024-07-03 Sold (MLS) $190,000 CRMLS
- 2024-06-18 Pending — CRMLS
- 2024-06-11 Listed $189,000 CRMLS
- 2023-08-02 Sold (MLS) $175,000 CRMLS
- 2023-06-27 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2023-06-21 Listed $169,000 CRMLS
- 2018-10-18 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2018-10-05 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2018-09-05 Delisted — CRMLS
- 2018-08-17 Price Changed $84,999 CRMLS
- 2018-08-02 Price Changed $94,999 CRMLS
- 2018-05-01 Price Changed $89,498 CRMLS
- 2018-04-18 Listed $85,000 CRMLS
- 2004-07-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2004-03-31 Listed $58,500 CRMLS
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $248 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…